With the NBA Finals shifting to South Beach, the Nuggets will try to get back into the win column tonight in Game 3 of the 2023 NBA Finals (8:30 p.m. ET, ABC). The Nuggets had a chance to take a 2-0 series lead last weekend, but the Heat won Game 2,111-108, handing Denver its first loss at home this postseason.
The Nuggets got a ridiculous performance from two-time NBA MVP Nikola Jokic, who dropped 41 points (16-28 FG, 2-5 3pt), 11 rebounds, and assists. However, it wasn't enough, as Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon only scored 18 and 12 points a piece. At the same time, Michael Porter Jr. struggled offensively, scoring five points on 2-of-8 shooting from the field and 1-of-6 from three-point range.
As for the Heat, they received balanced scoring throughout its starting lineup, as three out of five starters scored 20 or more points. Gabe Vincent led the Heat with 23 points on an efficient eight-of-12 shooting from the field and four-of-six from three-point range. Heading into Game 3, the Nuggets will hope Porter Jr. can bounce back from a rough Game 2 performance, especially if they want to go up 2-1 on the road. Bettors looking to put down a couple of wagers on another solid scoring performance from Porter Jr. can do it on SuperDraft or BetMGM.
On SuperDraft, bettors can pick an over/under on two or more player props. If you hit both, you win up to 3X the amount wagered, and the return increases each time you add another prop. Think of it as a "Same Game Parlay." More legs equal more risk, but also a bigger potential payout. However, not all players have the same props, so keep that in mind as you pick your over/under plays and try to win some cash during tonight's game.
One thing to keep in mind is that users can't play more than one prop for a single player in a SuperDraft entry. Therefore, we will spotlight some of our favorite SuperDraft props and a couple of player props you can bet on at BetMGM.
Michael Porter Jr. SuperDraft Player Prop Picks for Nuggets-Heat Game 3
Michael Porter Jr. OVER 14.5 points
Porter Jr. is coming off his worst offensive performance in this year's playoffs but has a chance to change the narrative about himself tonight in Game 3. The 24-year-old forward has struggled through the first two games of the NBA Finals, shooting 29.2 percent from the field and 17.6 percent from three-point range.
However, the former first-round pick has played better on the road in the postseason, which should Nuggets' fans and users some hope for tonight. Porter Jr. is scoring 15.8 points per game away from the Mile High City in the playoffs and has gone OVER in four out of his past seven road contests. The key for Porter Jr. to hit this number is knocking down threes. In the games that he went over, MPJ made at least two threes. If he can play like how he did in the Western Conference Finals against the Lakers, the Nuggets should be in great shape to win tonight.
Michael Porter Jr. OVER 7.5 rebounds
The veteran small forward dominated the glass in Game 1 as he recorded 13 rebounds. He could not do it again in Game 2 as the Heat made their adjustments, and Porter Jr. finished with six rebounds. Despite that, users should look to take the over in this spot, as the vet is averaging 9.1 rebounds per game in his past 10 games.
Furthermore, Porter Jr. is recording 8.2 boards per game in the playoffs and has gone OVER 7.5 rebounds in 10 out of his last 17 games. If his shot is not falling early, there's no reason why Porter Jr. should not be down in the paint crashing the glass.
Michael Porter Jr. BetMGM Player Prop Bets for Nuggets-Heat Game 3
Odds courtesy of BetMGM, an Authorized Gaming Operator of the NBA. Click HERE to sign up!
Michael Porter Jr. OVER 2.5 threes (-120)
Since we like Porter Jr. to score more than 14.5 points tonight in Game 3, it's only right we take the OVER on his three-pointer prop. The 24-year-old has struggled from beyond the arc through the first two games of this series (17.6 percent). However, it doesn't take away from what we saw from Porter Jr. throughout the Nuggets' NBA Finals run. He's shooting 37.5 percent from deep in the playoffs and shot 42.5 percent in the WCF.
Game 3 could be a nice bounce-back spot for Porter Jr., who has gone over 2.5 threes in four of his past seven road games. He's only shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc on the road in the playoffs, which might scare away some bettors. We will trust that Porter Jr. will snap out of his shooting slump.
Michael Porter Jr. to have a double-double (+375)
For our last player prop bet for Porter Jr., we will look at his double-double prop, which is at +375. He's almost averaging a double-double this postseason with 14 points and 8.2 rebounds per game. When Porter Jr. has a double-double in the playoffs, the Nuggets have a 6-2 record. The only games they lost were Games 3 and 4 against the Suns in the Western Conference semifinals.
We believe Porter Jr. can score 10 points after being held to five points in Game 2. However, it might be tough for him to get 10 rebounds, especially if Kevin Love is in the starting lineup. That being said, at +375 odds, the implied probability of this prop cashing is 21 percent. It's not high, but it's worth sprinkling a few dollars on it, as Porter Jr. has to be a factor tonight.
