Despite losing rookie Jabari Parker to a season-ending injury, Milwaukee has done a commendable job (5-5) keeping its head above water. In fact, the Bucks lost Parker when they last matched up against the Suns.
AccuScore has the Suns as fairly heavy 68.3 percent favorites to win, a number that would warrant a -215 price on the money-line. Books are offering the Suns at -170, suggesting a 63 percent chance to win.
Those numbers combined with the fact Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last seven games at home presents some value on the money-line in this case. However, bettors are generally averse to laying such a high price.
AccuScore Best Bet: The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 100-94 and there's about a 62 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 209.5, a 2-star (out of four) AccuScore Hot Trend. The total has gone UNDER in the Bucks' last five games.
Although Phoenix has a few advantages in the simulated box score including the projected turnovers, Milwaukee does average 5-6 more assists than Phoenix. In a close game, better ball movement can be the key to converting on key, late-game possessions.
Projected Leaders
Brandon Knight: 17 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds, 1 steal, 3 TOs
Eric Bledsoe: 18 points, 6 assists, 6 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 block, 3 TOs
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