Picking a winner based on the odds for Wednesday night's NASCAR All-Star Race at Bristol Motor Speedway is tricky because the event is unprecedented. Because of the NASCAR schedule shake-up amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the annual non-points race will run at the world's fastest half-mile for the first time in its 36-year history.
The good news is the NASCAR Cup Series has run at Bristol once this year, giving us a decent idea of who might have speed when the series returns Wednesday night for the All-Star Race. The problem is Brad Keselowski lucked into a win in that May race after Chase Elliott and Joey Logano wrecked while battling for the lead in the closing laps. Kyle Busch and Ryan Blaney also had strong cars that day.
MORE: Complete starting lineup for NASCAR All-Star Race
Further complicating our picks for Wednesday night's NASCAR All-Star Race is the new choose cone rule, which will allow all drivers (rather than just the leader) to pick their lanes for all restarts. There's no telling how that rule change will impact the finish of Wednesday night's race.
Below are the complete Vegas odds to win Wednesday night's All-Star Race at Bristol, plus our top three picks of drivers who could end up taking the checkered flag.
NASCAR All-Star Race odds to win at Bristol
Though the 2020 NASCAR All-Star Race was moved from Charlotte to Bristol, the favorites to win Wednesday night's event likely are some of the same names that would have been atop the odds board for a race at Charlotte.
Kevin Harvick, the favorite to win Wednesday night's All-Star Race, is the Cup points leader and arguably the hottest driver in the series. He and Denny Hamlin are tied for the most wins this season with four apiece. Chase Elliott, who is fourth in the Cup points standings, had a strong run at Bristol in May before his late-race crash with Joey Logano.
Below are the complete odds to win Wednesday night's All-Star Race at Bristol, courtesy of DraftkingsSportsbook.
| Driver | Odds to win Bristol All-Star Race |
| Kevin Harvick | +450 |
| Chase Elliott | +600 |
| Denny Hamlin | +600 |
| Kyle Busch | +700 |
| Brad Keselowski | +800 |
| Joey Logano | +800 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +800 |
| Ryan Blaney | +900 |
| Kurt Busch | +1200 |
| Alex Bowman | +2000 |
| Jimmie Johnson | +2000 |
| Erik Jones | +2200 |
| Matt Kenseth | +2800 |
| Cole Custer | +4000 |
| Ryan Newman | +4000 |
| Justin Haley | +8000 |
The odds board above only includes the drivers locked into the field for the All-Star Race. Three of the last four positions in Wednesday night's All-Star lineup will be the stage winners of the Open, with the winner of the fan vote getting the 20th and final spot.
Clint Bowyer (+400) is the favorite to win the Open, followed by Aric Almirola (+550), William Byron (+550), Christopher Bell (+650) and Matt DiBenedetto (+650).
NASCAR at Kentucky expert picks
1. Kyle Busch
Busch's 17-race winless drought has to end at some point, and he typically runs well at Bristol. He led 100 laps in the May race at Bristol with the same short track package before finishing fifth.
2. Chase Elliott
Elliott had one of the cars to beat at Bristol in May before he and Logano got together and crashed on a late-race restart. The strongest car in the Hendrick Motorsports stall this season should have another shot at a Bristol victory Wednesday night.
3. Joey Logano
Like Elliott, Logano has a chance for revenge Wednesday night after losing the May Bristol race in the late-race incident. All three Team Penske cars have been strong this year on short tracks.