Thursday features a small seven-game MLB slate for us to sort through and find some value, so let’s find some today on the BetQL model and keep cashing in as we move along quickly in the baseball season.
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Today's Best MLB Bets: Odds, lines, & picks for Thursday
BetQL Five-Star Bet: Athletics @ Orioles UNDER 10 runs (-115, BetMGM)
For our free play of the day, the Baltimore Orioles will be taking on the visiting Oakland Athletics. The model is loving the total here, rating the under 10 as a five-star value. BetQL projects nine runs -- a full run below what the books are putting up right now. We still think it will be a higher-scoring contest, but 10 is a bit too high.
The A's are sending right-hander Adam Oller to the hill for this one. In 2022, he started 14 games for Oakland and struggled with a 6.30 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over 74.1 innings. So far this season, he has logged 9.2 innings with a 4.66 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, so it hasn't been too much better for him to start the 2023 season.
Baltimore is starting Cole Irvin, who gave up three runs on four hits and four walks over 4.2 innings in his last start against the Yankees. He's failed to last five innings in either of his first two starts and has fallen to a 9.35 ERA and 9-6 K-to-BB through 8.2 innings.
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Thursday's top MLB player prop
Tigers SP Spencer Turnbull o2.5 ER at Blue Jays (-165, BetMGM)
Detroit is sending right-hander Spencer Turnbull to the hill today to take on the Blue Jays in Toronto. It was in doubt whether or not he would get this start after apparently suffering a neck stinger in his last appearance, but he is expected to start today. In that last start, he yielded five earned runs on five hits and two walks with just a single strikeout while falling to 0-2 on the season. His velocity has been down after coming back from TJ surgery, and he has a massive 13.50 ERA in two starts.
MLB betting trends for Thursday
Not only does the BetQL model find the most valuable MLB bets every day, but it also finds some fantastic betting trends to help you make more informed bets. Whether that be a situational, historical, or coaching trend, we have something for every game that shows why a team might be valuable that night.
Athletics-Orioles: Mark Kotsay is 26-62 SU in the first half of the season while coaching Oakland.
Phillies-Reds: David Bell is 38-53 SU vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse while coaching Cincinnati.
Twins-Yankees: Aaron Boone is 70-40 SU at home with a moneyline of -100 to -150 while coaching New York.
Tigers-Blue Jays: John Schneider is 22-4 SU vs. poor baserunning teams averaging 0.5 or fewer SBs per game while coaching Toronto.
Pirates-Cardinals: Derek Shelton is 38-82 SU vs. left-handed starters while coaching Pittsburgh.
Brewers-Padres: The Brewers are 54-54 SU vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the past two years.
For more of today's MLB betting trends, click here, and to check out a new BetQL section that highlights bets that check the most boxes when it comes to four categories: BetQL Model projections, BetQL Community picks, Sharp Betting data, "Fade the Public" data, click here.
