MLB picks of the day – AccuScore calls Red Sox vs. Blue Jays

Tomi Rantanen for AccuScore

MLB picks of the day – AccuScore calls Red Sox vs. Blue Jays image
AccuScore’s predictions are based on 10,000-plus simulations performed by the company’s computer.  Throughout the baseball season, AccuScore will be stacking up its projections against Las Vegas odds and recommending wagers when value presents itself.

Check The Linemakers on Sporting News' odds page for current baseball lines from Las Vegas.

Toronto Blue Jays -122 (vs Boston Red Sox)
R.A. Dickey vs Clay Buchholz

We like the Blue Jays a lot, with their capability of scoring and turning games in a single inning. The Jays' pitching is suspect, but they boast the sort of offensive threat that leaves other teams wondering and pitchers wavering in their shoes. Boston has had its fair share of problems on the mound as well and has not been very impressive in other aspects of the game, either.

Based on AccuScore simulations, Toronto has a 60.2 percent chance to win Monday's game, which would take the odds all the way to -151. At -122, there is great value for a better batting team with vs. an underachieving group.

Supporting trends: The Blue Jays are 25-15 at home, 24-12 as a home favorite and 15-10 vs. an opponent with a losing record....The Red Sox are 17-23 on the road, 23-37 vs. an opponent with a winning record and 6-9 when Clay Buchholz starts.

AccuScore’s season-to-date record on LM: 51-55 (-4.49 units)

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Tomi Rantanen for AccuScore