Thursday night's MLB slate is a condensed two-gamer featuring the series finale of the heated Blue Jays-Yankees four-game set and the series opener between the NL-leading Dodgers and the surging Cardinals. Even though only two games are on the docket, there's still an opportunity to craft a player prop parlay for tonight's action via SuperDraft. Users who sign up for SuperDraft can pick their favorite over/unders via SuperDraft's Fantasy Props feature, bringing them closer to the action while having a chance to win cash prizes.
SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay (maximum six legs), the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep will be challenging.
Below, we'll break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Thursday night's two-game MLB slate. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.
Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Thursday 5/18
* Entry -four picks (10X) potential payout if all four legs parlayed*
1. Aaron Judge, CF, Yankees @ Blue Jays - OVER 1.5 bases
Judge has had an eventful early-week series, and he looks to continue his power surge against Toronto starter Jose Berrios. In 19 career at-bats against Berrios, Judge sports a .316 average (six hits, including a homer) while slugging .526.
Berrios is one of the toughest pitchers to predict on a game-to-game basis, but considering he's allowed a total of 21 hits over his past three starts, we think the Yankees lineup -- with Judge at the forefront -- can square him up enough to score their fair share of runs tonight. Couple Berrios' inconsistencies with Judge batting .281 with 10 home runs in 25 games at Rogers Centre since 2020, and we think the reigning AL MVP continues his hot streak with at least two bases tonight.
2. Jose Berrios, SP, Blue Jays vs. Yankees - UNDER 5.5 strikeouts
We're not sure Berrios can sit down six-plus Yankee hitters tonight, making his UNDER 5.5 strikeout prop a worthwhile addition to our parlay. In 163 career plate appearances against Berrios, Yankee hitters have racked up a respectable .339 wOBA along with an impressive .448 xSLG.
Berrios ranks below the league-average in strikeout rate this season (49th percentile) and now faces a Yankees lineup striking out at the fourth-lowest clip over the past month (20.5 percent). There's a decent chance he's unable to make it through six innings tonight, which would likely result in the righthander failing to reach six strikeouts.
3. Freddie Freeman, 1B, Dodgers @ Cardinals - OVER 1.5 bases
Freeman, who sits in the 98th percentile in xBA and 92 percentile in xSLG, is always a good bet to record two-plus total bases against Adam Wainwright and the Cardinals bullpen tonight. He's riding a four-game hitting streak against Waino, dating back to his time in Atlanta.
Freeman has also doubled in consecutive games against Wainwright after struggling to reach base against him earlier in his career. Wainwright's allowed 15 hits in 10 innings pitched over his first two starts this season, which isn't good news against one of the game's toughest outs.
4. Julio Urias, SP, Dodgers @ Cardinals - OVER 5 strikeouts
With Urias' strikeout prop sitting at five, we'll take a chance on the Dodgers co-ace sitting eclipsing this number in a game in which Los Angeles needs him to work deep. From a usage standpoint, the Dodgers bullpen isn't in great shape after Wednesday's starter Dustin May worked one inning before exiting the game with an elbow injury. L.A. was also forced to use six relievers in Monday's 12-inning win over Minnesota, so Dave Roberts and company would relish the opportunity to get six-plus innings from Urias tonight.
When Urias has pitched six complete innings this season (five starts) he's gone OVER five strikeouts four times, and even against a stingy Cardinals lineup hitting their stride, we think the lefthander will be able to punch out six-plus Redbirds.
