With SuperDraft posting its slew of total base and strikeout props for Tuesday's MLB slate, we've selected our favorite props we feel yield value, attempting to boost your win probability and adding some funds to your DFS bankroll. Users who sign up for SuperDraft can pick their favorite over/unders via SuperDraft's Fantasy Props feature, bringing them closer to the action while having a chance to win cash prizes.
SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay (maximum six legs), the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep will be challenging.
Below, we'll break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Tuesday night's MLB slate. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.
Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Tuesday 6/20
* Entry-four picks (10X) potential payout if all four legs parlayed*
1. George Kirby, SP, Mariners @ Yankees - OVER 4.5 strikeouts
Kirby faces the Yankees for a second time this season, looking to replicate his eight-inning, three-hit, seven-strikeout effort against them on May 31. With his K-prop sitting at an attainable 5.5, we think Kirby's ability to work deep into the game gives him a chance to rack up six-plus strikeouts.
Kirby's averaging over six innings per start this season, and his elite command (1.9 BB%) helps keep his pitch count low enough to work deep into games. Additionally, with the Yankees striking out at the 10th highest rate the past month, another six-plus inning outing gives Kirby a chance to end his night with six-plus Ks.
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2. Corbin Carroll, RF, Diamondbacks @ Brewers - OVER 1.5 bases
Carroll's routinely a smart bet to go OVER 1.5 bases, as the frontrunner for NL Rookie of the Year continues to produce at the plate, ranking in the 80th percentile in xwOBA while posting the second-highest OPS in the bigs (.982). Tonight, he'll face Milwaukee right Colin Rea (3-4, 4.81 FIP, 1.41 HR/9), who's having trouble generating swings-and-misses (36th percentile in whiff rate, 12th percentile in chase rate) and limiting hard contact (19th percentile in hard-hit rate). Factor in Carroll's elite sprint speed (99th percentile), and it'll take only one ball hit near a gap to eclipse 1.5 total bases.
3. Corey Seager, SS, Rangers @ White Sox - UNDER 1.5 bases
We're not sure Seager's able to total two-plus bases against Chicago righty Dylan Cease, who's coming off one of his more effective outings in his most recent start against the Dodgers (5.1 IP, 10 K, 3 BB). It's never easy betting Seager's total bases UNDER, but if there's a starter who has a strong enough repertoire of pitches to limit his effectiveness, it's Cease. If Cease can get ahead with his 96-mile-per-hour heater to set up his secondary pitches, he'll have a chance to quiet Seager's bat tonight.
Cease's elite slider yielding a -5 run value along with a 38 percent whiff rate figures to be his go-to put-away pitch in plus counts tonight. Although he's fared well against essentially every pitch type, Seager is registering a 31.4 whiff rate against sliders this season, so the edge in deep counts likely goes toward Cease. Add in the fact Seager's yet to face Cease in his career during regular season action, Cease should have the advantage in three potential head-to-head at-bats tonight.
4. Seth Lugo, SP, Padres @ Giants - OVER 3.5 strikeouts
Lugo's tasked with giving the Padres a quality start to end the Giants' eight-game winning streak, and we think he'll fan four-plus Giants hitters in the process. Lugo faces a Giants lineup tallying the fifth-highest strikeout rate (24.9 percent) while he's posted a 25 percent K-rate in 32 plate appearances against current Giants hitters.
Lugo does sit below the league average in strikeout rate (38th percentile) but his K-prop of 3.5 has already baked in his strikeout numbers. San Francisco's strikeout-heavy lineup is one we could see Lugo have success against, so we'll gladly buy low on the veteran righty to punch out at least four batters tonight.
