Monday's 10-game MLB card gives way to plenty of worthwhile player prop opportunities for DFS players on SuperDraft. Users who sign up for SuperDraft can pick their favorite over/unders via SuperDraft's Fantasy Props feature, bringing them closer to the action while having a chance to win cash prizes.
SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay, the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep is challenging.
Below, we'll break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Monday's MLB slate. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.
Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Monday 7/31
*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks
1. Corbin Burnes, SP, Brewers @ Nationals - OVER 6 strikeouts
It's never easy racking up Ks against a stingy Nationals offense boasting the league's second-lowest K rate (18.3%), but if any pitcher can eclipse their strikeout total against them, it's Burnes. The 2021 NL Cy Young is amidst his strongest stretch of the season, posting a 0.94 WHIP with 48 strikeouts in his past 43.2 innings. While it's unlikely he wins the Cy Young for the second time in three seasons, his hot stretch has resulted in a vault up the odds boards. Burnes' current 16-1 price tag pits him with the fifth-best odds as of July 31.
His ability to work deep into games aids in his chances of punching out seven-plus Nats hitters, as Burnes is averaging north of six innings per start over his past five outings. Burnes also fares better against lefthanded hitters this season (28.6 K% vs. LHB vs. 21.6 K% vs. RHB), which increases his chances of reaching seven-plus Ks against the lefthanded-heavy Nationals lineup.
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2. Yordan Alvarez, DH, Astros vs. Guardians - OVER 7.5 fantasy points
Since returning from an oblique injury that sidelined him for six weeks, Alvarez hasn't skipped a beat, recording six hits in his first four games back. Tonight, he'll start the game facing newly-acquired Guardians starter Noah Syndergaard (1-4, 7.16 ERA, 1.95 HR/9), who's making his first big league start since June 7 after a rehab stint in Triple-A.
Syndergaard's inability to generate swings and misses (eighth percentile in whiff rate) doesn't bode well in his chances of limiting Alvarez's production tonight, potentially leading to the power-hitting DH posting eight-plus fantasy points. Alvarez likely comes to bat in an RBI situation or two as the fifth-place hitter, giving him ample opportunities to drive in some runs while recording an extra-base hit. Look for Air Yordan the 'Stros offense to feast against Syndergaard and company.
3. Taijuan Walker, SP, Phillies @ Marlins - OVER 4 strikeouts
Walker's been a reliable starter every fifth day for Rob Thomson and the Phillies, posting a 9-2 record with a 3.09 ERA over his past 15 starts. With his strikeout prop sitting at an achievable number, we'll gladly back Walker's OVER in a solid matchup against a subpar Marlins offense recording the 12th-highest K rate (23.5%) while ranking 12 percent below the league average in wRC+ (88) over the past week.
Walker sits in just the 34th percentile in K rate this season, which is why his K prop sits at four, but he's done a fine job of forcing opposing hitters to chase pitches outside the zone (52nd percentile in chase rate). Discipline isn't the Marlins' strong suit, posting the eighth-highest chase rate (30.2%) and the fourth-lowest walk rate (7%). We think Walker takes advantage of Miami's free-swinging approach, punching out five Fish in the process.
4. Xander Bogaerts, SS, Padres @ Rockies - OVER 1.5 bases
Bogaerts and the surging Padres look to keep their bats going ahead of their early-week set at Coors Field. There's a good chance the Friars' offense shows out tonight, facing Austin Gomber (8-8, 5.83 ERA, .305 BABIP) in the friendliest of hitting environments.
While Bogaerts hasn't played at the level DFS players are accustomed to (2.6 WAR), if there's ever a spot to back him, it's against the contact-heavy Gomber (15.4 K%). The lefthanded Gomber is a reverse splits guy, but righties are still hitting .278 with a .798 OPS against him this season. Additionally, 15 of the 22 home runs allowed by Gomber came against righties, so Bogaerts is in a favorable spot to post two-plus bases in Monday's series opener.
