We have an excellent 15-game MLB slate on Tuesday after a crazy eight-game slate on Monday night. The subway series between the Yankees and Mets starts tonight at Citi Field, the Blue Jays and Orioles face off at Camden Yards, and the streaking A's look for their seventh-straight win against the Rays. If fans want to wager on Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bryan Reynolds, Edward Cabrera, Pablo Lopez, or other player props tonight, they should check out SuperDraft.
On SuperDraft, users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay (maximum six legs), the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep will be challenging.
Below, we'll break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Tuesday night's MLB slate. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.
Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Tuesday 6/13
* Entry -four picks (10X) potential payout if all four legs parlayed*
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 1B, Blue Jays @ Orioles - OVER 1.5 total bases
Guerrero Jr. is hitting .254 with one home run, six RBIs, and 11 strikeouts in his past 15 games, which is unlike him. However, we believe the 24-year-old first baseman can get back on track tonight against Orioles starter Dean Kremer.
Kremer has been below average this season, sporting a 6-3 record with a 4.89 ERA in 13 starts, which is eerily similar to his production at Camden Yards (4.91 ERA, .252 OBA). Moreover, the 27-year-old starter has allowed six home runs in 37.1 innings against righthanded hitters, which is fantastic news for Guerrero Jr., who is hitting .271 with nine home runs and 36 RBIs off of righties.
Kremer has a 37.7-percent hard-hit rate, .320 BABIP allowed, and 45.3-percent fly-ball percentage over the past 21 days. Based on those stats, Guerrero Jr. should be able to get on a base a couple of times or hit one out of the park, as he's hitting .319 with four home runs and six RBIs in 19 career at-bats against Kremer. Vlad Jr. has only gone OVER 1.5 total bases in four out of his past 10 games, but with his type of power, Guerrero Jr. only needs one swing to cash the OVER, and he loves to hit at Camden Yards over his career (.341/.389/.564 with seven home runs).
2. Pablo Lopez, SP, Twins vs. Brewers - OVER 7 strikeouts
Conventional wisdom says to take the UNDER on Lopez's strikeout prop tonight due to his struggles at home this season (6.11 ERA, .256 OBA). The veteran starting pitcher was lit up in his last two home starts against the Guardians and Blue Jays, allowing 13 hits, 10 earned runs, and two home runs.
However, the 27-year-old righty has 42 strikeouts in 35.1 innings at home. We think Lopez can figure out a Brewers' lineup that ranks fourth worst with a 25.3-percent strikeout percentage. Milwaukee is also hitting .234 against righthanded pitching and has five players with a strikeout percentage of 24 or higher. Despite his recent struggles, Lopez has a 33.3-percent hard-hit percentage and a 3.7-percent barrel rate in his past 18.1 innings. We will lean on those trends to back us up in taking the OVER tonight at Target Field.
3. Bryan Reynolds, LF, Pirates @ Cubs - OVER 1.5 total bases
The 28-year-old outfielder is entering tonight's series opener against the Cubs on a five-game hitting streak, but he only has one extra-base hit (a double) over that span. With that in mind, SD users might be tempted to take the UNDER on Reynolds' total base prop. However, we will take the OVER against Cubs starter Jameson Taillon, who has an 8.27 ERA and .333 average against at Wrigley Field this season.
Taillon has been getting smack around at home, allowing four earned runs in three-straight starts. Reynolds has gone OVER 1.5 total bases in just three out of his past 10 games, which doesn't spell success for this prop to hit. However, Reynolds is hitting a scorching .303/.379/.537 with 14 doubles, six home runs, and 28 RBIs against righthanded pitching this season.
4. Edward Cabrera, SP, Marlins @ Mariners - UNDER 6 strikeouts
It's fair to think Cabrera will thrive tonight on the mound against Seattle, who has the second-worst strikeout percentage in MLB (25.6) behind the Twins. However, we don't think Cabrera will smash the OVER on his strikeout prop, as he has a 5.91 ERA and is recording just 5.4 Ks per game on the road.
For this UNDER to hit, the Mariners must show some discipline at the plate, as Cabrera is posting 3.1 walks per game on the road. Walks have been an issue for the young pitcher, who has 38 in 63 innings pitched this season and already has eight this month. We wouldn't be shocked to see Cabrera go OVER, but there are plenty of trends that are working against him here.
