Who will win the Masters in 2022? Odds, betting favorites, expert picks & more to know

Jacob Camenker

Who will win the Masters in 2022? Odds, betting favorites, expert picks & more to know image

Bettors, rejoice. The first major tournament on the 2022 PGA Tour is here. The Masters will take place from April 7 to April 10, as Augusta National Golf Club looks to crown its newest winner.

Hideki Matsuyama earned his first green jacket — and first major win ever — in 2021. He will potentially look to defend that title but will face a stacked field of competitors featuring countless former major winners. Chief among them are Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka and Jordan Spieth. Add in recent winners Scottie Scheffler and Cameron Smith for good measure and it's hard to predict who will win the major event in 2022.

That said, bettors have one major advantage in predicting this event. The Masters are played at Augusta every year. As such, you can look back at performance in previous years and see which players are built to handle the course and which aren't. When pairing that with recent performance, savvy gamblers can usually predict which players may be near the top of the leaderboard.

There are some wild cards in 2022, of course. Matsuyama hasn't been fully healthy in recent weeks, so if he plays, he may not be at 100 percent. Then, there's Tiger Woods, who seems likely to play in his first tour event since 2020 after a car crash he suffered in February of 2021. He probably won't win, but people love to bet on him, especially with his odds looking lower than usual.

The 7,475-yard Augusta course will pose a challenge to players. It's one of the longest on the tour, but it won't automatically favor the bigger swingers. Instead, it will favor the golfers with the best combination of power and an approach game, as avoiding long putts at Augusta is critical.

Here's everything you need to know to bet on the 2022 Masters, including the latest tournament odds and best bets for the event.

Masters Tournament odds 2022

Jon Rahm (+900) enters the Masters as the favorite to win, per odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Rahm won his first major tournament, the U.S. Open, in 2021. It is his only one to date, but he has 13 professional wins and has finished inside the top 21 in five of the six events he has participated in this year.

Scottie Scheffler (+1200)Justin Thomas (+1400)Cameron Smith (+1400) and Dustin Johnson (+1600) round out the rest of the top-five golfers in terms of odds to win the tournament. Scheffler is the current World No. 1 after winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational, his second victory this season. Thomas, Johnson and McIlroy have also been ranked No. 1 in the world during their careers.

Tiger Woods plans to play "as of right now." If he plays, he'll enter the tournament with +5000 odds to win despite it being his first PGA Tour event since suffering major injuries in a February 2021 car accident.

Those looking for veteran golfer Phil Mickelson will not find him on this list. He is not participating in the Masters for the first time in 28 years.

Below are the odds for the top golfers in this year's Masters tournament. Only competitors with 100-1 or better odds are listed.

Golfer Odds to win
Jon Rahm +900
Scottie Scheffler +1200
Justin Thomas +1400
Cameron Smith +1400
Dustin Johnson +1600
Rory McIlroy +2000
Viktor Hovland +2000
Brooks Koepka +2000
Xander Schauffele +2000
Collin Morikawa +2000
Jordan Spieth +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +3500
Will Zalatoris +3500
Russell Henley +3500
Daniel Berger +4000
Bryson DeChambeau +4500
Louis Oosthuizen +4500
Tiger Woods +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Adam Scott +5500
Tyrell Hatton +5500
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Marc Leishman +5500
Shane Lowry +5500
Corey Conners +5500
Paul Casey +6000
Joaquin Niemann +6500
Bubba Watson +6500
Billy Horschel +7000
Sungjae Im +7500
Justin Rose +8000
Sergio Garcia +8000
Abraham Ancer +8000
Max Homa +8000
Patrick Reed +8000
Tommy Fleetwood +9000
Si Woo Kim +9000
Gary Woodland +10000

 

MORE: Why Phil Mickelson is missing the Masters for the first time in 28 years

Masters expert picks

The 2022 Masters will be played at Augusta National Golf Club, as always. The course has hosted the event since its inception in 1934, though the course has undergone countless renovations and changes over the years.

Augusta National is one of the longest courses on the PGA Tour. The course used to be just 6,985 yards in length but has expanded to 7,475 yards over the last 20 years.

Because of the length of the course, strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) will be important. Twelve of the 18 holes are at least 440 yards in length, so big hitters will be able to shorten the course a bit and set up easier approach shots.

As such, strokes gained approaching the green (SG:APR) will also carry significant importance. Why? Because it is fairly easy to putt at Augusta inside of 10 feet, per Mark Broadie of Golf.com. But outside of it, golfers can get themselves into trouble, as Augusta has the highest three-putt rate of any PGA Tour course. So, we'll keep an eye on the best putters inside 10 and the ones with the lowest 3-putt rate as well.

With those key stats in mind, Justin Thomas (+1400) looks like the best bet of the favorites. Thomas has the fifth-best approach game on the PGA Tour this season in SG:APR but he has also been a top-15 performer off the tee. His weakness so far this season has been putting inside of 10 feet, but as mentioned, it is fairly easy to execute inside of 10 feet at the Masters. The harder part is getting there, but Thomas is equipped to do that.

Collin Morikawa (+2000) is in a similar spot to Thomas in that he's excellent both off the tee and approaching the green. He ranks 20th in SG:OTT and 10th in SG:APR this season, so he checks a lot of the boxes we'd look for in a high-end value. His one weakness this year is his putting, which has been below-average inside of 10 feet (111th-ranked overall). However, he has proven that he can get hot with the putter before, so feel free to trust him in this spot if you prefer his game to Thomas'.

If you're looking for a sleeper pick, Shane Lowry (+5500) looks like an appealing option. Lowry missed the cut in three of his first four Masters appearances, but in each of the last two years, he has finished within the top 25.

It also helps that Lowry is playing some of his best golf to start the 2022 PGA Tour season. He finished second in the Honda Classic, 12th at the Players Championship and 13th at the Valspar Championship in his last three tournaments. He ranks inside the top 53 in each of the four main stat categories we're looking at for this tournament, as is particularly good with his approach (14th in SG:APR) and putting (31st in putting inside 10 feet and seventh in 3-putt avoidance).

One final name to keep an eye on is Hideki Matsuyama (+3500). His numbers suggest that he is a solid bet here, and he proved it last year by winning the tournament. That said, while he looks like a decent value pick, his status will need to be monitored in the lead-up to the tournament as he deals with a neck injury. As such, you probably shouldn't bet him to win now, but you can keep an eye on him to see if he makes the cut line. If he does and is within a few strokes of the leader, he could be a worthwhile weekend hedge bet.

MORE: Best quotes, moments from Tiger Woods' Hall of Fame induction

Masters Tournament winners by year

The reigning winner of the Masters Tournament is Hideki Matsuyama. He won the 2021 event by one stroke over Will Zalatoris and will seek to become the first back-to-back champion of the event since Tiger Woods won it in 2001 and 2002.

No player has won more Masters titles than Jack Nicklaus. The Golden Bear won six times during his career, with the first coming in 1963 and the last in 1986. Woods isn't far behind him, having won his fifth Masters in 2019. Woods first won the Masters in 1997.

Year Winner Score
2021 Hideki Matsuyama -10
2020 Dustin Johnson -20
2019 Tiger Woods -13
2018 Patrick Reed -15
2017 Sergio Garcia -9
2016 Danny Willett -5
2015 Jordan Spieth -18
2014 Bubba Watson -8
2013 Adam Scott -9
2012 Bubba Watson -10
2011 Charl Schwartzel -14
2010 Phil Mickelson -16
2009 Angel Cabrera -12
2008 Trevor Immelman -8
2007 Zach Johnson +1
2006 Phil Mickelson -7
2005 Tiger Woods -12
2004 Phil Mickelson -9
2003 Mike Weir -7
2002 Tiger Woods -12
2001 Tiger Woods -16
2000 Vijay Singh -10
1999 José María Olazábal -8
1998 Mark O'Meara -9
1997 Tiger Woods -18
1996 Nick Faldo -12
1995 Ben Crenshaw -14
1994 José María Olazábal -9
1993 Bernhard Langer -11
1992 Fred Couples -13
1991 Ian Woosnam -11
1990 Nick Faldo -10
1989 Nick Faldo -5
1988 Sandy Lyle -7
1987 Larry Mize -3
1986 Jack Nicklaus -9
1985 Bernhard Langer -6
1984 Ben Crenshaw -11
1983 Seve Ballesteros -8
1982 Craig Stadler -4
1981 Tom Watson -8
1980 Seve Ballesteros -13
1979 Fuzzy Zoeller -8
1978 Gary Player -11
1977 Tom Watson -12
1976 Raymond Floyd -17
1975 Jack Nicklaus -12
1974 Gary Player -10
1973 Tommy Aaron -5
1972 Jack Nicklaus -2
1971 Charles Coody -9
1970 Billy Casper -9
1969 George Archer -7
1968 Bob Goalby -11
1967 Gay Brewer -8
1966 Jack Nicklaus E
1965 Jack Nicklaus -17
1964 Arnold Palmer -12
1963 Jack Nicklaus -2
1962 Arnold Palmer -8
1961 Gary Player -8
1960 Arnold Palmer -6
1959 Art Wall Jr. -4
1958 Arnold Palmer -4
1957 Doug Ford -5
1956 Jack Burke Jr. +1
1955 Cary Middlecoff -9
1954 Sam Snead +1
1953 Ben Hogan -14
1952 Sam Snead -2
1951 Ben Hogan -8
1950 Jimmy Demaret -5
1949 Sam Snead -6
1948 Claude Harmon -9
1947 Jimmy Demaret -7
1946 Herman Keiser -6
1942 Byron Nelson -8
1941 Craig Wood -8
1940 Jimmy Demaret -8
1939 Ralph Guldahl -9
1938 Henry Picard -3
1937 Byron Nelson -5
1936 Horton Smith -3
1935 Gene Sarazen -6
1934 Horton Smith -4

Jacob Camenker

Jacob Camenker Photo

Jacob Camenker first joined The Sporting News as a fantasy football intern in 2018 after his graduation from UMass. He became a full-time employee with TSN in 2021 and now serves as a senior content producer with a particular focus on the NFL. Jacob worked at NBC Sports Boston as a content producer from 2019 to 2021. He is an avid fan of the NFL Draft and ranked 10th in FantasyPros’ Mock Draft Accuracy metric in both 2021 and 2022.