The PGA Tour season is quickly coming to an end with the FedEx Cup Playoffs kicking off next week. This week, the tour heads to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship, which will be the final chance for players to finish within the top-125 in the FedEx Cup standings and qualify for the playoffs. Those players with the most to gain could be options to fill out your betting card.
The Wyndham Championship is held at Sedgefield Country Club and measures out to a modest 7,130-yard, par-70 layout. Sedgefield is one of the most straightforward courses that we see all season long. Players have a variety of options off the tee, and many will choose to go less than driver to put the ball in the fairway and set up short-to-mid iron approaches.
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The majority of approach shots will fall in the 150-175 yard range, but longer hitters will be left with just a wedge on plenty of the par 4s. While Sedgefield only has two par 5s, they are both extremely short and will be reachable for the majority of the field. Expect to see boatloads of eagles and birdies on those holes, and anyone who is making pars on the par 5s will be losing strokes to the field.
Targeting the prototypical ball strikers will be your best angle of attack this week, and it’s not surprising to see elite ball strikers such as Webb Simpson having an elite track record at this event. Sedgefield plays as one of the easiest courses on tour, with winning scores frequently in the 20-under par range. Think of it as the East Coast’s John Deere Classic with a slightly better field, albeit still one of the weakest fields we see all season.
Before we get into this week's picks, here's a reminder to check me out on Twitter ( @DFSBenj ) for even more NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA daily fantasy content and gambling advice.
Key Stats for Sedgefield CC
Ball Striking
Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
Birdie or Better Percentage
Strokes Gained Approach: 150-175 Yards
Wyndham Championship betting advice
Outright Bets to Consider
*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Jordan Spieth 20/1
It’s been a rough year for Jordan Spieth, and he needs a solid few weeks to qualify for the Tour Championship. His ball striking has been a mess, and his good results have mostly been made up through his short game and excellent putting. With that being said, his results have been trending in the right direction after finishing T20 at The Open Championship and T12 last week at the WGC FedEx Invitational. Spieth’s number of 20/1 is a great value in a field that is extremely weak, and this is likely his best chance to get a win this season. Nothing about his ball striking makes me feel good about this bet, but Spieth is too talented of a player to be held down for much longer.
Alexander Noren 50/1
I really like the 50/1 and over range this week, where there's a ton of value to be found. Alex Noren is a class player who has a pedigree of winning events on both the PGA and European Tour. Noren is an elite ball striker at his best, and he has played his best golf of the season over the last month. Noren has posted finishes of T26, T11, and T12 over his last 3 events, all of which came in elite fields (BMW Championship, The Open, WGC Invitational). This is crazy good value for a player with the long term quality that Noren has, and I’ll gladly jump on him in such a weak field.
Joaquin Nieman 55/1
I’ve been on Joaquin Niemann a ton over the second half of the season, and he could become the next young gun to grab his first career win after watching Matthew Wolff and Colin Morikawa win within the last month. Niemann is a class ball striker and has every bit the amount of talent of Wolff, Morikawa, and fellow youngster Viktor Hovland. His results have been excellent his summer, with seven finishes inside of the top-31, including two top-fives and another top-10 since the PGA Championship. He missed the cut in his last appearance at The Open, but I won’t hold that against him, as that was his first tournament on a British-style links course played in brutal conditions.
Sungjae Im 80/1
Sungjae Im has quietly been one of the best rookies on the PGA Tour this season, and he has been one of the most active golfers on any tour, playing in 30 events. Im had racked up five straight top-26 finishes before missing the cut at The Open. However, his second round 80 can somewhat be attributed to the worst possible tee time draw. The Wyndham Championship is a prime event for a ball striker like Im, who stripes it better than most players in this field. We’ve seen Im in the 50/1 range a few times in the second half of the season, so we are getting a steal at 80/1 in a weak field event that will be a birdie fest. He has finished T21 and T31 in his last two events coming off of a rest week.