Zeke's exit from the Week 10 slate will certainly juice projected NFL DFS ownership for Le'Veon Bell and Todd Gurley. We'll need to determine just how much and the effect of pricing on DraftKings ownership this Sunday.
With UFCollective projections as a guide, we'll dive into NFL trends and elements of lineup construction that could determine whether tournament/GPP plays offer enough differentiation from the pack to push an entry above the crowd.
For DraftKings' 11-game featured slate.
WEEK 10 DFS:
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Week 10 NFL DFS Ownership Projections: Quarterback
All aboard the Jared Goff ($6,700) train. It's public knowledge to go Goff against any below-average defense because the Rams will run it up. ... Ryan Fitzpatrick ($4,900) could also go at least medium-owned on a price tag that doesn't seem to fully adjust for no Jameis.
Drew Brees ($6,900) should go low-owned, as most of the $7Kish shares will likely be on Dak Prescott, Goff and Matthew Stafford. UFCollective pegs Brees for less than five percent owned. ... Kirk Cousins ($5,900) should continue to decent volume with Washington's inability to run, but injuries and a tough matchup should keep him super contrarian even at his deflated price this week.
Week 10 NFL DFS Ownership Projections: Running Back
Le'Veon Bell ($9,800) and Todd Gurley ($8,700) could both near 30 percent owned, and UFCollective doesn't have any other backs coming close. Jamming both in the same GPP lineup at those prices should prove difficult, however. ... Orleans Darkwa ($4,500) against the Niners could be a popular cap-relief spot to pair with one of them, as San Fran gets run over on the weekly.
Lamar Miller ($5,200) will go completely abandoned in the Deshaun Watson wake even though he's the lead back facing a Rams D allowing the second-most DraftKings points to running backs. ... UFCollective's second release saw a surge in Bilal Powell ($4,000) ownership, going from contrarian to projected in the double digits with Matt Forte out.
Week 10 NFL DFS Ownership Projections: Receiver
The people are counting on a bounce-back week from A.J. Green ($7,700) after getting thrown out with Jalen Ramsey. Tennessee's defense provides a nice get-right spot. ... UFC Collective sees Marvin Jones ($6,200) and Robby Anderson ($5,200) edging Green in ownership. Both have found the end zone a fair amount recently, unlike some of the high-priced WRs on slate.
Will Fuller ($4,700) has seen a nosedive in price while his target volume's remained about the same. Tom Savage is basically radioactive for DK ownership. ... Adam Thielen ($6,700) could go somewhat contrarian with Stefon Diggs interestingly a couple hundo cheaper.
Week 10 NFL DFS Ownership Projections: Tight End
Evan Engram ($6,200) and Garrett Celek ($2,500) figure to bring the chalk to that Giants-Niners matchup, probably the only from this contest to do so. They're two of the three tight ends slated for double-digit ownership in UFCollective's Friday release.
Jason Witten ($4,400) burned the people in spots recently and could find his way to low-owned in a Falcons-Cowboys matchup with the week's highest Vegas total. ... Jack Doyle ($5,200) probably caps out at medium-owned this week against a Steelers defense allowing the second-fewest points to opposing tight ends.