Projected Week 8 NFL DFS ownership percentage, advice for DraftKings, FanDuel contests

Stephen Keech

Projected Week 8 NFL DFS ownership percentage, advice for DraftKings, FanDuel contests image

With only two teams on bye, we have a big Sunday afternoon main NFL DFS slate, and that means plenty of viable options for DraftKings and FanDuel tournaments. Unfortunately, there's no Lamar Jackson, Ezekiel Elliott, Patrick Mahomes, or Dalvin Cook, but there are still plenty of studs who stand out. That's why you need to know Week 8 daily fantasy football projected ownership percentages before locking in your lineup picks.

After looking at ownership projections from RotoGrinders, we'll break down some key players so you can feel better about your lineups heading into the Week 8 slate of games.

Week 8 DFS Lineups: 
Y! Cash | Y! GPP | FD Cash | FD GPP | DK Cash | DK GPP

Week 8 Projected NFL DFS Ownership: Quarterback

LOW: Josh Allen, Bills vs. Eagles (7.2% pOWN on both FanDuel and DraftKings). Allen was listed as a fade last week, and while he still performed at salary-based expectations, he wasn’t a GPP winner. I think that could be change this Sunday. For as great as the Eagles pass rush was the last two seasons, it's taken a step back this year and led to Philadelphia's secondary getting heavily exposed, something that should bode particularly well for burner John Brown, Allen’s top stacking partner. Philadelphia remains a tougher team to move the ball against on the ground, which should lead to a more pass-heavy game plan. Allen’s ability to add value with his legs can’t be understated and gives him a sky-high ceiling. He’s currently our fifth-highest projected QB in terms of ownership, but he’ll be among my top two come Sunday.

HIGH: Matthew Stafford, Lions vs. Giants (8.9% pOWN on FanDuel, 9.3% on DraftKings). We currently expect Stafford to be more popular than Allen, and I personally don’t see a great case to roster the Lions QB if he’s going to be popular. He does step into a plus matchup with the Giants and Kerryon Johnson is down, creating an opportunity for the Lions to throw the ball more – I’m just not sold they will. The Lions do have one of the highest team totals of the weekend (FanDuel Indiana currently has their implied total at 28 points), but the Giants remain a solid unit to target with the ground game, especially after watching Chase Edmonds tear them to shreds a week ago. I’d much prefer Allen to Stafford and will also prioritize Jared Goff, Deshaun Watson and Russell Wilson above him.

Other notable QBs at low ownership with a chance to boom: Daniel Jones (@ Lions)

Notable QBs that I think are being overvalued: Matt Ryan (vs. Seahawks)

WEEK 8 NON-PPR RANKINGS
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker

Week 8 Projected NFL DFS Ownership: Running Back

LOW: Marlon Mack, Colts vs. Broncos (5.5% pOWN on FanDuel, 6.4% on DraftKings). He’s coming off of an inefficient week in a game with a low total, two things that should lead to low ownership for Indy’s lead back. Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins still aren’t siphoning enough work from Mack to impact him much/ Mack has seen fewer than 18 touches just once this season, and his goal-line work isn’t really threatened by the aforementioned backs. While Denver’s defense might still be a unit the public is afraid of, they shouldn’t fear it. Running backs have performed well against this unit, and Denver remains an above-average pass defense, setting up well for a heavy usage day for Mack. Among the mid-range RBs, he’s toward the top of my GPP and cash game list.

HIGH: Sony Michel, Patriots vs. Browns (11.0% pOWN on FanDuel, 9.0% on DraftKings). Running backs who are as touchdown dependent as Michel – especially with no passing game involvement – are backs I am very wary of rostering in large-field GPPs, especially on bigger slates. A guy like Michel may make plenty of sense on a short slate or in a Showdown format, but on full slates I think he needs too much to go right in order to be a difference maker. Sure, he had that perfect storm on Monday night, but I am not betting on a repeat performance despite the Patriots once again entering as large favorites. I can see the Browns pass rush leading to more short, quick-hitting routes, something that would figure to get James White more involved in the offense, and it’s absolutely possible we see Rex Burkhead more involved as he gets healthier.

Other notable RBs at low ownership with a chance to boom: James White (vs. Browns), Tevin Coleman (vs. Seahwks), Josh Jacobs (@ Texans)

Other notable RBs that I think are being overvalued: Carlos Hyde (vs. Raiders)

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WEEK 8 PPR RANKINGS: Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end

Week 8 Projected NFL DFS Ownership: Wide Receiver

LOW: Phillip Dorsett, Patriots vs. Browns (3.2% pOWN on FanDuel, 7.4% on DraftKings). With Josh Gordon on IR, Dorsett becomes the Patriots top perimeter threat, a role that is typically very valuable. I’m not sure how Mohamed Sanu factors in during his Pats debut, but I don’t see him being a real threat to Dorsett’s immediate workload. Dorsett has been a trusted option in the red zone for Brady even with a healthy receiving corps and found the painted grass on four targets Monday night despite a run-heavy attack. He had seen seven and nine targets in the previous two games, respectively, and I’d expect him to be right around that number on Sunday. He’s far too cheap on both major sites for his current role, and if ownership is going to remain this low on him, I will be vastly overweight on both the main and late-afternoon slates.

HIGH: Kenny Stills, Texans vs. Raiders (15.8% pOWN on FanDuel, 24.7% on DraftKings). This one can go both ways. In cash games, I have no real issue with rostering Stills – he figures to see a lot of what Will Fuller left behind, playing nearly every snap after Fuller left the game in Week 7. However, he’s still a big-play dependent receiver who is unlikely to be a target share monster with Keke Coutee, Jordan Akins and Darren Fells also likely to pick up some of the targets left behind by Fuller. It’s also been a few weeks since we’ve seen a DeAndre Hopkins explosion, and I fully plan on going heavy on Hopkins which will make it tougher to play Stills outside of Texans stacks. He’s currently projected to be the most heavily owned WR on DraftKings, and in GPPs over there, I’d be fine with the fade. There are still plenty of mouths to feed in this offense, and Fuller himself wasn’t all that consistent while healthy.

Other notable WRs at a low ownership with a chance to boom: Courtland Sutton (@ Colts), Tyler Boyd (vs. Rams in UK), DJ Chark (vs. Jets), Keke Coutee (vs. Raiders), Curtis Samuel (@ 49ers)

Other notable WRs that I think are being overvalued: Chris Godwin (@ Titans), Calvin Ridley (vs. Seahawks)

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MORE WEEK 8 DFS: Stacks | Values | Lineup Builder

Week 8 Projected NFL DFS Ownership: Tight end

LOW: Austin Hooper, Falcons vs. Seahawks (9.9% pOWN on FanDuel, 9.3% on DraftKings). Matt Ryan (ankle) remains questionable but did get in some work on Friday, suggesting he’s likely on the right side of the questionable tag. Seattle has shown some cracks against TEs this year and Hooper has made strides as a more consistent target for Ryan. That mixed with Sanu’s absence, which should free up some short/intermediate targets, bodes well for Hooper. This game does have some sneaky shootout potential and even if Ryan can’t go, as Matt Schaub, who is still somehow an NFL quarterback in 2019, showed some rapport with Hooper in his relief appearance last weekend.

Other notable TEs at a low ownership with a chance to boom: Noah Fant (@ Colts)

Notable TEs that I think are being overvalued: Hunter Henry (@ Bears)

Stephen Keech