NFL Week 3 is here, and with it comes some interesting betting opportunities. With two favorites of 20-plus points (Patriots, Cowboys) and an overwhelming majority of home favorites, you know things could get crazy this week. Whether you prefer your action straight up, against/with the spread, or over/under a point total, BetQL can help you make smarter decisions with its proprietary NFL Model. Premium members have full access to weekly Best Bets, updated odds, public betting data, line movement data, and all of their other tools to help ensure you make the most profitable betting picks possible.
As always, I used BetQL’s features to inform my Week 3 bets. At 3-3 through two weeks, I will look to get on the right side of .500 on Sunday!
Week 3 DFS Lineups:
FD cash | FD GPP | DK cash | DK GPP | Y! cash | Y! GPP
NFL Week 3 Betting Picks: Spread pick of the week
All data presented is as of Thursday morning. You can track all NFL line movement on BetQL’s Line Movement Dashboard.
Cowboys (-21.5) vs. Dolphins
The Cowboys opened as 15.5-point favorites against the Dolphins, but the line has moved all the way up to 21.5. As seen in the first two weeks, this Dolphins squad is flat-out embarrassing. They haven’t been able to move the ball on offense and have been utterly manhandled on defense, ,resulting in a minus-92 point differential. Trading away Minkah Fitzpatrick certainly didn’t help Miami’s potential to cover the spread in this contest.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys offense has clicked under new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, scoring 35 points in Week 1 against the Giants and then 31 in Week 2 against Washington. There’s no reason to expect Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper and company to struggle, and Dallas's defense should be able to control the game.
MORE WEEK 3 DFS: Stacks | Top values | RotoQL Lineup Builder
NFL Week 3 Betting Picks: Moneyline pick of the week
49ers (-280) vs. Steelers
San Francisco picked up two impressive road wins to start the year, taking down the Buccaneers 31-17 in Week 1 before dismantling the Bengals 41-17 in Week 2. The Niners have been dominant and noticeably made massive strides defensively after struggling mightily on that side of the ball last year.
Now without Ben Roethlisberger, the Steelers will turn to Mason Rudolph at quarterback. Further, James Conner (knee) is banged up and will be at less than 100 percent if he suits up. Expect another victory for the 49ers, this time in San Francisco.
WEEK 3 NON-PPR RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker
NFL Week 3 Betting Picks: Over/under pick of the week
Broncos vs. Packers (OVER 43)
You can access BetQL’s Broncos vs. Packers game page for free in Week 3!
Our NFL Model projects the total of this game at 50.5 points -- 7.5 points higher than the consensus of 43. Interestingly, 70 percent of the tickets written and 68 percent of the money has gone on the under at the mid-week point.
In Week 2, Aaron Rodgers had an animated exchange with head coach Matt LaFleur, who recently revealed that Jamaal Williams will see more work in tandem with Aaron Jones. While Green Bay’s offense has looked stale in past weeks, expect that to change, especially given Rodgers’s clear frustration in the first two games.
The Broncos have not recorded a sack or a turnover under new head coach and defensive guru Vic Fangio, which is a telling sign heading into Week 3. When Rodgers has had time in the pocket, he has consistently thrived, and that should be no different on Sunday if the Packers can keep Von Miller and Bradley Chubb away from him. On the other side, Joe Flacco has looked decent so far for the Broncos, even against a tough Bears squad last week when he threw for 292 yards and a touchdown.
Bet against the public and take the OVER in this matchup.
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