The fantasy football regular season is winding down, and once Week 10 is officially in the books, over 70 percent of the fantasy regular season's been completed. As we head toward the home stretch of the regular season, each week constitutes a "must-win," not only to secure a playoff berth but also to better your draw come playoff time. In order to keep your fantasy championship aspirations alive, we present our Week 10 fantasy sleeper picks, which include Jaylen Warren, Kyler Murray, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
We always stress that any of our sleeper picks could disappoint in Week 10. We like to take some chances with our sleeper picks because recommending a bunch of "must-starts" simply isn't needed. You shouldn't start our sleeper picks over proven, early-round studs, but if your roster is already loaded with stars, then you don't need our advice anyway. If nothing else, our sleeper picks can help you find DFS values, as the prices of these players should be affordable.
We had a good feel for WRs and TEs last week, with JuJu Smith-Schuster, Demario Douglas, Luke Musgrave, and Cade Otton producing solid numbers. Derek Carr and the Falcons D/ST also did their part, but overall, it was a tough week for our sleeper picks. We trust our process and expect a bounce-back showing in Week 10.
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Let's break down our favorite bubble players for a pivotal week in all fantasy leagues.
WEEK 10 FANTASY ADVICE: Busts | Projections | Start 'em, sit 'em
Fantasy RB Sleepers Week 10
Tyler Allgeier, Falcons @ Cardinals (Sloan Piva). Allgeier has quietly posted double-digit half-point PPR performances in two of the past three weeks, averaging a whopping 19 touches per game in that span. Lord only knows why Arthur Smith won't just make rookie RB Bijan Robinson Atlanta's workhorse back and be done with it, but it probably has something to do with hating the existence of fantasy football. Allgeier should be plenty busy once again in Arizona against a Cards team that has surrendered the third-most fantasy points per game (FPPG) to RBs this season.
Brian Robinson Jr., Commanders at Seahawks (Vinnie Iyer). The Commanders need to settle their pass-happy offense a little more to have any shot at Seattle, and Robinson can power through for some chunk runs and has a good shot to make a TD return.
Jaylen Warren, Steelers vs. Packers (Matt Lutovsky). Warren finally had that big breakout fantasy owners had been waiting for, posting 113 total yards on 14 touches last week. Najee Harris still had four more touches (and scored a rushing TD), but Warren is involved enough to merit a flex spot against Green Bay’s No. 23 run defense.
WEEK 10 STANDARD RANKINGS:
QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | D/STs | Kickers
Fantasy QB Sleepers Week 10
Kyler Murray, Cardinals vs. Falcons (Piva). It was a wise decision by Jonathan Gannon to delay Murray's 2023 debut until after Week 9's matchup against the bruising Browns. Atlanta seems like a much more pleasant season-opener for the talented QB coming back from a torn ACL. The Falcons have allowed the seventh-most FPPG to QBs, and they just made Josh Dobbs and Will Levis look like Pro Bowlers over the past two weeks. Cobra Kyler could be the next to KO the ATL.
Josh Dobbs, Vikings vs. Saints (Iyer). The Saints’ defense can be tough, but his running gives him a nice floor in his first Minnesota home start. The weapons around him can lift him to strong streaming numbers. He might be startable more weeks than not, especially when Justin Jefferson (hamstring) returns.
Taylor Heinicke, Falcons @ Cardinals (Lutovsky). Heinicke managed 268 passing yards, 20 rushing yards, and one TD in his 2023 starting debut, and a similar output is in order against a Cardinals’ defense allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game (FPPG) to QBs. Atlanta is always a threat to run in all of its touchdowns, but Heinicke has a decent floor and high ceiling given the matchup.
WEEK 10 PPR RANKINGS:
QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | D/STs | Kickers
Fantasy WR Sleepers Week 10
Khalil Shakir, Bills vs. Broncos (Piva). Shakir might be the best wide receiver that the majority of fantasy owners have never heard of, yet he plays for one of the better offenses in the NFL. The second-year wideout out of Boise State has hauled in 18-of-19 targets this season for 224 yards and a TD, but his opportunity and production have both ramped up recently. Over Buffalo's past three games, Shakir has caught all 14 of his targets for 184 yards. Pat Surtain II will spend most of Week 10 on Stefon Diggs, so don't be surprised if Shakir finds the end zone against the Broncos. Denver has allowed the most yards, the second-most points, and the fourth-most passing TDs in the NFL this season.
Rashid Shaheed, Saints @ Vikings (Iyer). He has a good shot for a big-play TD working downfield inside playing off Chris Olave. His speed will be needed more in the dome.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks vs. Commanders (Lutovsky). It's always tough to trust JSN when Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf are healthy, but all three receivers could get theirs this week. Washington allows the third-most FPPG to WRs, and JSN is coming off a six-catch, seven-target game.
WEEK 10 DFS:
DK lineup | FD lineup | Best values | Best stacks
Fantasy TE Sleepers Week 10
Hunter Henry, Patriots vs. Colts (Piva). With Kendrick Bourne (knee) hitting the IR recently, Henry immediately launched back into the discussion of Mac Jones' favorite pass-catcher. The veteran tight end enjoyed a 16-percent target share in New England's narrow loss to the Commanders, and he accounted for the Pats' only TD reception. Carolina's TEs combined for 14.2 half-PPR points against Indy last week, around what we project for Henry.
Trey McBride, Cardinals vs. Falcons (Iyer). Ride him one more time, as this matchup is much better with competent QB play from Kyler Murray to help him compile well playing off Hollywood Brown.
Gerald Everett, Chargers vs. Lions (Lutovsky). Everett disappointed in a favorite matchup last week, but he still figures to be more involved in the Chargers’ offense with Mike Williams (knee) and Josh Palmer (knee) out. Against a Lions’ defense allowing the sixth-most FPPG to TEs, Everett should post TE1 numbers in a down week for the position.
Fantasy Defense Sleepers Week 10
Seattle Seahawks vs. Commanders (Piva). Throw away the game tape from the Seahawks-Ravens game last week because that was just an abject disaster. This should be a get-right game for the Seahawks, with Sam Howell bringing his NFL-leading nine interceptions and 44 sacks into Lumen Field. Only four NFL teams have yielded more D/ST points per game than the Commanders this season.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Texans (Iyer). They have plenty of pass-rush and coverage pop while facing a pass-happy offense. More dropbacks lead to more fantasy points.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Jets (Lutovsky). The Raiders are riding high with a new, defensive-minded coach, and we expect the good times to continue against a Jets’ offense allowing the third-most FPPG to D/STs.