For this Week 13 DraftKings cash game lineup I will jam CMC because KISS — keep it simple, stupid (especially when playing cash contests in NFL DFS). Great advice! Hurts my feelings every time.
We were on Sam Darnold and Jarvis Landry early last week but moved off to get Matt Ryan and now I feel like a sheep. And I'm sad. Time to grit my way through despondence and back to the cash line in Week 13.
WEEK 13 NON-PPR RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker
DraftKings Week 13 Picks: NFL DFS cash lineup
Playing under a $50K salary cap for Sunday afternoon ET contests.
UPDATED QB Lamar Jackson, Ravens vs. 49ers ($7,000). His explosion against the Rams is not priced in since it came on Monday night after the $7K was set. Jackson's averaging 30 DK and needs only 25 points to hit 3.5X.
INITIAL QB Aaron Rodgers, Packers @ Giants ($6,500). When a defense reignites Trubisky, you fade that defense. We saw it with the Lions and now with the Giants - these are perfect rebound defenses. Only the Bengals allow more yards per pass than Big Blue.
RB Christian McCaffrey, Panthers vs. Washington ($10,500). I got away with fading CMC two weeks ago and then burned last week, resisting to just find a way to pair the 30-plus DK points with Derrick Henry. Not this week: I'm returning to my September-October roots of auto-lock McCaffrey.
WEEK 13 DFS LINEUPS:
FD Cash | FD GPP | DK GPP | Y! Cash | Y! GPP
RB Jonathan Williams, Colts vs. Titans ($5,300). Williams saw 29 touches in mostly neutral game script last Thursday, obviously a commanding role in this backfield share post-Mack. He's priced up $2,300 but it honestly should be closer to double that.
UPDATED WR Christian Kirk, Cardinals vs. Rams ($5,700). Kirk ranked ninth among receivers in targets during the four weeks heading into the Cardinals' bye. His 26% target market share over the span nearly laps runner-up Larry Fitzgerald at 15%, distancing Kirk as the alpha for Kyler Murray.
INITIAL WR Davante Adams, Packers @ Giants ($7,000). Again, the Giants rank near the very bottom in various metrics defending the pass, while Rodgers and Adams get depressed prices after the ugly Sunday night at San Francisco. Adams has seen a league-high target share since Week 10.
UPDATED WR Robert Woods, Rams @ Cardinals ($5,500). Woods averages 10 targets over the past two weeks and could pay off with the Rams in a get-right spot against a Cardinals defense allowing more passing yards than anyone.
INITIAL WR Sterling Shepard, Giants vs. Packers ($4,900). Golden Tate entered the concussion protocol, and Darius Slayton surprisingly goes $400 more than Shepard, who has seen nine targets in each of his past four healthy games.
UPDATED WR Auden Tate, Bengals vs. Jets ($3,800). Tate has averaged the 10 targets over Andy Dalton's past three starts so this feels like a free square with the Red Rifle back.
INITIAL WR Chris Conley, Jaguars vs. Buccaneers ($4,500). Atlanta stumbled against the maligned Bucs defense last week, though that's in some part due to Julio Jones getting injured and the offense already missing Devonta Freeman and Mohamed Sanu. Conley's seen at least seven targets in five-straight games and faces a still-No. 32 Bucs unit in DK points allowed to receivers.
WEEK 13 PPR RANKINGS: Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end
TE Jack Doyle, Colts vs. Titans ($3,300). Colts tight ends rank sixth in fantasy points scored, as NFL.com's Graham Barfield notes. So this price does not at all account for the absence of Eric Ebron.
MORE WEEK 13 DFS: Stacks | Values | Lineup Builder
UPDATED FLEX Miles Sanders, Eagles ($5,400). Jordan Howard was ruled out for the Eagles and Chase Edmonds is back in the mix in Arizona's backfield. I'll take the greater certainty in Sanders locking down the lion's share compared to Kenyan Drake at similiar price point.
INITIAL FLEX Kenyan Drake, Cardinals vs. Rams ($5,600). Drake ranked fourth among running backs in receptions over the two weeks heading into the Cardinals' Week 12 bye. That's all while securing double-digit carries in each contest, indicating a cemented role in an offense that targets RB heavily.
MORE WEEK 13:
Waiver pickups | FAAB budget | Snap counts | Stock watch | Fantasy playoff SOS
UPDATED DST Packers @ Giants ($3,400). PFF has charged Daniel Jones for the third-most turnover-worthy plays and we could get another ugly outing in the pouring rain akin to when the Cardinals visited last month.
INITIAL DST Cardinals vs. Rams ($2,300). Close to basement price for a defense hosting Jared Goff, who PFF ranked as a top-three quarterback in turnover-worthy plays heading into this past weekend.