Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin 3: Expert prediction, best bets for 2022 undisputed super-middleweight title fight

Andreas Hale

Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin 3: Expert prediction, best bets for 2022 undisputed super-middleweight title fight image

Canelo Alvarez and Gennadiy Golovkin will meet for a third time on September 17 inside the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas to settle their contentious rivalry once and for all. 

With their first meeting in 2017 ending in a controversial split draw and their rematch in 2018 finding Canelo win a decision by the narrowest of margins, their feud reached a fevered pitch when the two sides couldn’t come to terms for a third bout. They ended up going their separate ways, with Canelo making history by becoming the undisputed super-middleweight champion in less than a year, while Golovkin battled injuries but went 4-0 with three knockouts.

But following Canelo’s loss to Dmitry Bivol in the light-heavyweight division back in May, the Mexican superstar will go back down to 168 pounds to defend his titles against Golovkin in one of the most anticipated fights of the year. 

MORE: Join DAZN to watch Canelo vs. Golovkin 3

How will the third fight in the trilogy play out? 

Allow The Sporting News to offer some betting advice on Canelo-GGG 3.

All betting lines courtesy of Caesar’s Sportsbook

Betting Odds for Canelo vs. GGG 3

  • Canelo Alvarez: -500
  • Gennadiy Golovkin: +380

Prop Bets for Canelo vs. GGG 3

  • Canelo by (T)KO: +150
  • Canelo by decision: +105
  • Golovkin by (T)KO: +850
  • Golovkin by decision: +650
  • Fight goes to decision: -155
  • Fight doesn’t go to decision: +122

Expert Prediction for Canelo vs. GGG 3

When Manny Pacquiao met Juan Manuel Marquez for the fourth time, Pacquiao entered as a considerable favorite, despite their previous three fights being nip and tuck affairs. Pacquiao went on a historic rampage through weight classes between the second and third fights. And then he lost a controversial decision to Timothy Bradley before he faced Marquez. 

And then Marquez knocked him out.

Does any of this sound familiar? It should. After narrowly defeating GGG, Canelo rampaged through weight classes, made some history, and lost a decision before he heads into the highly anticipated trilogy with Golovkin. He’ll be the favorite because of what he did outside of the GGG fights, and those close fights are now a distant memory. 

Not saying that history will repeat itself, but Golovkin being a +380 underdog is too good not to take a swing at. For the past four years, all Golovkin has thought about is Canelo. Yes, he is both 40 years of age and moving up in weight, but a few factors are on his side heading into this fight. 

For one, GGG is a very busy fighter who is both an exceptional boxer and a power puncher, while Canelo has seen his punch output take a dip over the years. There may be instances where Canelo’s lacking work rate hands rounds over to Golovkin. Canelo cemented his place as the pound-for-pound king by picking his spots against the likes of Caleb Plant, Callum Smith, Sergey Kovalev, and Billy Joe Saunders. His expectation is to pound them into submission eventually. 

MORE: GGG interview on Clobberin' Time | Canelo-GGG 3 podcast

But what if they don’t submit?

Canelo found that out the hard way against Bivol, who refused to go away and outworked Canelo. Golovkin is in a similar spot, considering that he’s never been stopped and knows exactly what to expect from Canelo. 

Expect this to be another close fight that will require Canelo to pick up the activity and hope that he can keep GGG from outworking him. If he’s unable to hurt Golovkin or make him respect his power, the upset will be in play. 

The betting line is too good to not take GGG to pull off the upset against his rival.

Sporting News Prediction: Gennadiy Golovkin to win (+380)

Who will win the fight on September 17th? in Sporting News - Canelo GGG 3 / AJ Usyk 2 on Decide

When is Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin 3? 

  • Date: Saturday, September 17
  • Main card: 8 p.m. ET | 1 a.m. BST | 10 a.m. AEST (Sunday)
  • Main Event: 11 p.m. ET | 4 a.m. BST | 1 p.m. AEST (approximate)

 

Canelo will face off against Golovkin for the third time on September 17. The main card will air at 8 p.m. ET | 1 a.m. BST | 10 a.m. AEST (Sunday). Canelo and GGG should make their way to the ring around 11 p.m. ET | 4 a.m. BST | 1 p.m. AEST, depending on how long the undercard fights last. 

How to watch Canelo vs. GGG 3

  • Live stream: DAZN

The Canelo vs. GGG main card will air on DAZN, which will show the fight via a special pay-per-view format. 

MORE: Join DAZN to watch Canelo vs. Golovkin 3

Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin 3 PPV price: How much does the card cost?

  • Current DAZN subscribers: $64.99 in the U.S. and Canada, £9.99 in the U.K. 
  • New DAZN subscribers: $84.99 in the U.S., $89.98 in Canada, £17.98 in the U.K.

Because it is a pay-per-view event, the fight will cost $64.99 in the United States for current subscribers and $84.99 for new subscribers. (A monthly DAZN subscription in the U.S. is $19.99 a month or $99.99 a year.)

In Canada, the cost of the DAZN PPV will be $64.99 for current subscribers and $89.98 for new subscribers. 

Customers in the U.K. can sign up for DAZN for £7.99 per month. The fight will cost £9.99 for current subscribers and £17.98 for new subscribers. 

In Australia, the cost of the DAZN PPV will cost $44.99 AUD for current subscribers and $48.98 AUD for new subscribers. 

Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin 3 fight card

  • Canelo Alvarez (c) vs. Gennadiy Golovkin for the WBA, WBC, IBF, WBO, and The Ring super-middleweight titles
  • Jesse Rodriguez (c) vs. Israel Gonzalez for the WBC super-flyweight title
  • Diego Pacheco vs. Enrique Collazo for the WBC USNBC Silver super-middleweight title
  • Ali Akhmedov vs Gabe Rosado for the IBF North American super-middleweight title
  • Austin Williams vs. Kieron Conway for the WBA International middleweight title
  • Marc Castro vs. Kevin Mendoza; Lightweights
  • Aaron Aponte vs. Fernando Molina; Super-Lightweights
  • Anthony Herrera vs. Delvin McKinley; Super-Flyweights

Andreas Hale

Andreas Hale Photo

Andreas Hale is the senior editor for combat sports at The Sporting News. Formerly at DAZN, Hale has written for various combat sports outlets, including The Ring, Sherdog, Boxing Scene, FIGHT, Champions and others. He has been ringside for many of combat sports’ biggest events, which include Mayweather-Pacquiao, Mayweather-McGregor, Canelo-GGG, De La Hoya-Pacquiao, UFC 229, UFC 202 and UFC 196, among others. He also has spent nearly two decades in entertainment journalism as an editor for BET and HipHopDX while contributing to MTV, Billboard, The Grio, The Root, Revolt, The Source, The Grammys and a host of others. He also produced documentaries on Kendrick Lamar, Gennadiy Golovkin and Paul George for Jay-Z’s website Life+Times.