FanDuel NFL prop bets: Brock Purdy to lead divisional round in passing among specials to consider

For NFL fans who want more betting action on games than just rooting for a team to cover the point spread or to surpass the over/under total, FanDuel Sportsbook has a huge mix of unusual prop bets to choose from involving this weekend's divisional round games.

Options include: Will a receiver in any of the four games make a reception that covers at least 75 yards? Will any tight end have 150-plus receiving yards?

Will there be a walk-off game-winning field goal? Which QB will throw for the most yards? In which game will the most points be scored?

Below, we'll identify betting options that look like winners at good value via FanDuel Sportsbook. Below that we'll point out those props that should be avoided.

Here are some that look like money-makers.

Brock Purdy, Lamar Jackson and Jared Goff to combine for 8-plus TD passes in divisional round (+600)

It would be nice if the odds were a little big longer — naturally — but this prop has a good chance of coming in based on what's transpired recently.

Twice since Dec. 15 this trio teamed to throw at least eight TD passes on the same weekend. They totaled eight in Week 15 and had 10 in Week 17.

However, of the three defenses they faced in Week 17, two ranked in the bottom three in defensive passer rating. The third foe was 18th.

Also, fingers crossed that Purdy can handle throwing in the rain. The forecast on NFLweather.com early Friday was for a 70 percent chance of precipitation at kickoff.

More: Super Bowl Futures Odds | Best NFL Betting Promos & Bonuses 

Four of the following five players to score at least one TD: Detroit RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Baltimore RB Gus Edwards, San Francisco receivers Deebo Samuel and George Kittle, and Kansas City TE Travis Kelce (+750)

For starters, they all apparently are as healthy as they can be this late in the season since none has a  "Q" adjacent his name on the depth chart. That's a good head start.

Gibbs, who had 11 TDs in the regular season plus one last week in the wild card round, and Edwards, who had 13, look like surefire TD scorers playing for teams that are solid favorites.

And as far as the receivers, Kelce has a good chance of taking advantage of Buffalo's injury woes at linebacker and also in the secondary. He was targeted 10 times last week against Miami.

That leaves one more guy who needs to come through. The guess here is that the speedy, shifty Samuel will break free as a receiver or as a running back. He's totaled 12 scores in 2023.

Read: How to bet on the NFL | NFL prop bets 

Most passing yards in divisional round (San Francisco's Brock Purdy +460)

The 49ers will be going agains the NFC's seventh-seeded team in Green Bay, which yielded 403 air yards to Dallas' Dak Prescott last round and was on the field for 89 plays, the second-most for any team this year. 

The most snaps for any defense this year was 92, and that was for Philadelphia in an overtime win over Buffalo. In the Eagles' next game, that exhausted unit went up against the 49ers and Purdy, who totaled 314 yards in a 42-19 romp. Analysts after that game said Eagles defenders looked a step slow. That could be the case with Green Bay's guys Saturday.

And with 49ers receivers leading the league in yards after the catch, all the better.

Each of the eight teams to have two or more passing TDs in the divisional round (+5500)

On the surface, the chances of this occurring seem quite slim, but then again that's why the odds are so long and making this prop rather attractive.

All eight teams ranked tied for 12th or better in touchdown passes this season. So far, so good.

However, in the previous three division rounds covering a total of 12 games, only seven times did a team have two-plus passing scores. And there were never more than three in one year.

No one said hitting on this entertaining prop was going to be easy, but at these hefty odds it's worth a fun shot.

Divisional round bonuses: Best NFL betting bonuses

Each of the eight teams to kick at least one field goal and score at last one touchdown (+600)

Recent history indicates the chances of this occurring aren't bad.

In divisional round play from 2020-22, that FG and TD combo occurred for 20 of the 24 teams, and in 2019 all eight of them had at least one 3-pointer and a touchdown.

Divisional round props to avoid

Now for some NFL props to avoid this weekend. 

There will be a score in each quarter of the four divisional round games (+115)

Last week this same prop was available for the six wild card round games at odds of +350 and for the third time in four seasons bettors taking this offer cashed in.

Thus, it could well happen again here with two fewer games, but at greatly reduced odds.

So, look elsewhere if you're not willing to risk money for a payoff that's not much better than even money.

Each of the teams playing in this round will score at least two TDs (+400)

Considering that over the past 10 years that's happened only once, in 2018, the short odds don't make this a good risk.

It would have been worth a wager had the odds been more like those mentioned above regarding the eight teams having two or more passing TDs.

Between two of San Francisco RB Christian McCaffrey, 49ers TE George Kittle and Kansas City TE Travis Kelce, two will score at least three touchdowns each (+23000)

Those odds look spectacular until taking a deeper dive into the players' scoring history.

First off, what are the chances a pair of 49ers teammates are going to score three TDs apiece? It didn't happen in any game this year.

Secondly, although Kittle has a three-TD game on his 2023 resume, in no other outing did he have more than one score.

And then there's Kelce. He's had a fabulous career generating gobs of yards, but only twice in 10 years did he have three-plus TDs in an outing. He didn't have any such games this season.

Finally, McCaffrey did have a pair of games with three-plus touchdowns, but both came against defensively challenged Arizona.

Packers' Aaron Jones to have 3-plus rushing TDs (+7500)

Really? The guy is hurting (knee, finger issues) and was limited in midweek drills.