The 2023 U.S. Open tees off this Thursday, marking the start of the third major of the calendar year. The star-studded annual national championship, now 128 years old, will be held at the Los Angeles Country Club's expansive North Course for the first time. We already detailed the event and listed the odds-on favorites, but today we will dive deeper into the field and uncover some sleepers, value bets, long shots, and exotic props that offer much more bang for your buck.
We have seen some tremendous golf over the past couple of months, including Jon Rahm's magisterial win at the Masters and Brooks Koepka's brilliant last three rounds at the PGA to win over Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland. Last weekend's RBC Canadian Open might have provided us with the best finish of the season, though. Canadian Nick Taylor sank a 72-footer to win his third playoff hole over Tommy Fleetwood and cement the first Canadian Open win by a native of Canada since 1954.
Who doesn't love golf -- and betting on golf? Majors at new courses liven up the betting market and make wagering even more fun, and while betting on favorites like Scheffler and Rahm may seem like the best course of action, the most value and highest profitability can often be found on the sleeper and exotic prop market. So, let's go over the odds for the 2023 U.S. Open and discuss our favorites among the non-favorites.
MORE U.S. Open: Odds and picks
2023 U.S. Open Odds
| Golfer | Winner | Top 5 | Top 10 |
| Scottie Scheffler | +700 | +140 | −140 |
| Jon Rahm | +900 | +210 | +105 |
| Brooks Koepka | +1100 | +240 | +115 |
| Rory McIlroy | +1400 | +280 | +140 |
| Patrick Cantlay | +1400 | +320 | +150 |
| Xander Schauffele | +1600 | +350 | +165 |
| Viktor Hovland | +1800 | +350 | +165 |
| Max Homa | +2500 | +550 | +250 |
| Jordan Spieth | +2500 | +400 | +210 |
| Cameron Smith | +2500 | +550 | +250 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +2800 | +550 | +250 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +3500 | +600 | +280 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +3500 | +750 | +330 |
| Dustin Johnson | +3500 | +700 | +330 |
| Collin Morikawa | +3500 | +600 | +275 |
| Tony Finau | +4000 | +600 | +275 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +4000 | +750 | +330 |
| Justin Rose | +4000 | +750 | +330 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +4000 | +800 | +360 |
| Cameron Young | +4500 | +900 | +400 |
| Rickie Fowler | +4500 | +850 | +360 |
| Sungjae Im | +5000 | +1000 | +400 |
| Justin Thomas | +5000 | +750 | +330 |
| Jason Day | +5000 | +800 | +360 |
| Si Woo Kim | +6000 | +1100 | +450 |
| Shane Lowry | +6000 | +1000 | +450 |
| Sam Burns | +6500 | +1200 | +500 |
| Patrick Reed | +7000 | +1200 | +550 |
| Corey Conners | +7000 | +1200 | +500 |
| Adam Scott | +7000 | +1200 | +550 |
| Wyndham Clark | +7000 | +1200 | +550 |
| Russell Henley | +8000 | +1400 | +600 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +8000 | +1400 | +600 |
| Mito Pereira | +8000 | +1400 | +600 |
| Sahith Theegala | +9000 | +1600 | +700 |
| Keegan Bradley | +10000 | +1800 | +700 |
| Denny McCarthy | +10000 | +1600 | +700 |
| Min Woo Lee | +10000 | +1800 | +750 |
| Gary Woodland | +11000 | +2000 | +800 |
| Joohyung Kim | +13000 | +2200 | +850 |
| Ryan Fox | +13000 | +2500 | +1000 |
| Cam Davis | +15000 | +2800 | +1000 |
| Eric Cole | +15000 | +3000 | +1100 |
| Phil Mickelson | +18000 | +3500 | +1200 |
| Kurt Kitayama | +18000 | +3000 | +1100 |
| Nick Taylor | +18000 | +3000 | +1200 |
| Sergio Garcia | +20000 | +3500 | +1200 |
| Patrick Rodgers | +20000 | +3500 | +1200 |
| Harris English | +20000 | +3500 | +1200 |
| Chris Kirk | +20000 | +3500 | +1200 |
| Matt Kuchar | +20000 | +3500 | +1200 |
| Lucas Herbert | +20000 | +3500 | +1200 |
| Adrian Meronk | +20000 | +3500 | +1200 |
| Thomas Pieters | +25000 | +4500 | +1600 |
| Seamus Power | +25000 | +4000 | +1400 |
| Adam Hadwin | +25000 | +3500 | +1200 |
| Taylor Moore | +25000 | +4000 | +1400 |
| Sepp Straka | +25000 | +4000 | +1400 |
| Keith Mitchell | +25000 | +3500 | +1400 |
| Justin Suh | +25000 | +4000 | +1600 |
| Andrew Putnam | +25000 | +4000 | +1400 |
| Emiliano Grillo | +25000 | +4000 | +1400 |
| Adam Schenk | +25000 | +3500 | +1400 |
| Sebastian Munoz | +30000 | +5000 | +1800 |
| Kyoung-Hoon Lee | +30000 | +4500 | +1600 |
| Brian Harman | +30000 | +4500 | +1600 |
| Abraham Ancer | +30000 | +5000 | +1800 |
| Victor Perez | +30000 | +5000 | +1600 |
| Tom Hoge | +30000 | +4500 | +1600 |
| Taylor Montgomery | +30000 | +5000 | +1800 |
| Gordon Sargent | +30000 | +5500 | +2000 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | +35000 | +6000 | +2200 |
| Padraig Harrington | +35000 | +5500 | +2000 |
| Jordan Smith | +35000 | +5500 | +2000 |
| J.T. Poston | +35000 | +6000 | +2000 |
| Austin Eckroat | +35000 | +6000 | +2000 |
| Adam Svensson | +35000 | +6000 | +2000 |
| Luke List | +35000 | +6000 | +2200 |
| Billy Horschel | +40000 | +6500 | +2200 |
| Aaron Wise | +40000 | +7000 | +2500 |
| Hayden Buckley | +40000 | +6000 | +2200 |
| Francesco Molinari | +40000 | +7000 | +2200 |
| Carlos Ortiz | +40000 | +6500 | +2200 |
| Sam Stevens | +40000 | +6000 | +2200 |
| Taylor Pendrith | +40000 | +7000 | +2200 |
| Alex Noren | +40000 | +7000 | +2200 |
| Michael Kim | +40000 | +6000 | +2200 |
| Pablo Larrazabal | +40000 | +7000 | +2200 |
| Nick Hardy | +50000 | +9000 | +3000 |
| Joel Dahmen | +50000 | +8000 | +2800 |
| Scott Stallings | +50000 | +9000 | +2800 |
| Sam Bennett | +50000 | +8000 | +2800 |
| Vincent Norrman | +50000 | +9000 | +3000 |
| Davis Thompson | +50000 | +8000 | +2800 |
| Kevin Streelman | +50000 | +8000 | +2500 |
| Romain Langasque | +50000 | +8000 | +2500 |
| Dylan Wu | +50000 | +8000 | +2500 |
| Matthieu Pavon | +60000 | +10000 | +3500 |
| Carson Young | +60000 | +10000 | +3500 |
| Charley Hoffman | +60000 | +10000 | +3500 |
| Stewart Cink | +60000 | +11000 | +3500 |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | +60000 | +11000 | +3500 |
| Wilco Nienaber | +80000 | +13000 | +4000 |
| Hank Lebioda | +100000 | +20000 | +6000 |
| David Puig | +100000 | +18000 | +5500 |
| Nicolas Echavarria | +100000 | +20000 | +6500 |
| Frankie Capan III | +100000 | +15000 | +4500 |
| Simon Forsstrom | +100000 | +20000 | +6000 |
| Thriston Lawrence | +150000 | +25000 | +7000 |
| Ross Fisher | +150000 | +25000 | +7000 |
| Roger Sloan | +150000 | +30000 | +8000 |
| Paul Haley | +150000 | +25000 | +7000 |
| Brent Grant | +150000 | +25000 | +7500 |
| Alejandro Del Rey | +150000 | +25000 | +7500 |
| Ryan Gerard | +150000 | +25000 | +7000 |
| Ryan Armour | +150000 | +25000 | +7000 |
| Mac Meissner | +150000 | +30000 | +8000 |
| Preston Summerhays | +150000 | +25000 | +7000 |
| Martin Kaymer | +150000 | +25000 | +7000 |
| Jacob Solomon | +200000 | +30000 | +9000 |
| Paul Barjon | +200000 | +30000 | +9000 |
| Wenyi Ding | +250000 | +40000 | +13000 |
| Ryutaro Nagano | +250000 | +40000 | +13000 |
| Ryo Ishikawa | +250000 | +35000 | +10000 |
| Mateo Fernandez de Oliveira | +250000 | +40000 | +15000 |
| Jens Dantorp | +250000 | +40000 | +13000 |
| Gunn Charoenkul | +250000 | +40000 | +15000 |
| Deon Germishuys | +250000 | +35000 | +10000 |
| David Horsey | +250000 | +40000 | +15000 |
| Aldrich Potgieter | +250000 | +40000 | +18000 |
| Austen Truslow | +250000 | +40000 | +25000 |
| Kyle Mueller | +250000 | +40000 | +11000 |
| J.J. Grey | +250000 | +40000 | +18000 |
| Berry Henson | +250000 | +40000 | +20000 |
| Andrew Svoboda | +250000 | +40000 | +15000 |
| Jordan Gumberg | +250000 | +40000 | +18000 |
| Patrick Cover | +250000 | +35000 | +10000 |
| Alexander Yang | +250000 | +40000 | +25000 |
| Yuto Katsuragawa | +250000 | +40000 | +11000 |
| Michael Brennan | +250000 | +40000 | +18000 |
| David Nyfjall | +250000 | +40000 | +18000 |
| Nick Dunlap | +250000 | +40000 | +20000 |
| Corey Pereira | +250000 | +40000 | +15000 |
| Barclay Brown | +250000 | +40000 | +20000 |
| Omar Morales | +250000 | +40000 | +13000 |
| Karl Vilips | +250000 | +40000 | +20000 |
| Maxwell Moldovan | +250000 | +40000 | +13000 |
| Bastien Amat | +250000 | +40000 | +20000 |
| Ben Carr | +500000 | +50000 | +25000 |
| Matthew McClean | +500000 | +50000 | +25000 |
| Olin Browne Jr. | +500000 | +50000 | +25000 |
| Isaac Simmons | +500000 | +40000 | +25000 |
| Christian Cavaliere | +500000 | +40000 | +25000 |
| Jesse Schutte | +500000 | +50000 | +25000 |
| Alex Schaake | +500000 | +50000 | +25000 |
| Brendan Valdes | +500000 | +40000 | +25000 |
U.S. Open 2023 Best Bets: Top sleeper picks
Tommy Fleetwood (+4000)
Fleetwood was our top PGA expert Keith Stewart's best bet to win the RBC Canadian Open last weekend, and he very nearly delivered us the +2200 payout. The 32-year-old Brit forced a playoff with Canadian native Nick Taylor, but he ultimately lost when Taylor sunk a 72-foot miracle putt on their third playoff hole. Fleetwood was as excited for Taylor's shot and win as anyone, and he showed the world that he's one of the humblest sportsmen in golf.
Fleetwood also showed the world how skilled he is at just about every facet of the game — and how even when he makes mistakes, he can quickly get himself out of trouble. The TOUR veteran had a clutch putt of his own (albeit far less impressive than the 72-footer) when he sank a clutch 20-footer on the first playoff hole to stay alive. He also had a plethora of incredible drives on the weekend, some highlight-reel approach shots, and scrambling saves you have to see to believe. The Englishman ranks seventh on the TOUR in around-the-green play and his long iron continues to wow the world.
Fleetwood has two runner-up finishes in majors — the 2018 U.S. Open and '19 Open — and he finished T5 at the '22 PGA Championship. We're putting a modest wager on the veteran taking down his first major victory this weekend in sunny southern California.
Justin Rose (+4000)
Rose always seems to be a great pick, and at +4000 to win, we can't imagine staying away from him. He's not a massive striker or the best scrambler in the sport, but his proficiency from the fairway and around the greens make him a constant contender.
Rose won earlier in the season at Pebble Beach, so the South African-born Englishman certainly seems to enjoy warmer-weather climates. He also finished 12th at Colonial, ninth at the PGA Championship, and eighth at the RBC Canadian Open, so he's been as solid as anyone in this weekend's field when it comes to consistency across the board. We'll be betting $5 on Rose to win and $20 on him to finish in the top 20 (+330).
U.S. Open 2023 Best Bets: Top value bets
Patrick Reed (+7000)
Like Fleetwood, Reed has proven himself to be a masterful long-course competitor who also possesses a tremendous short game. However, unlike Fleetwood, Reed has won a major — the 2018 Masters — to go along with three other top-10 major finishes and two other finishes of fourth or better.
Reed certainly ranks as one of the more unpopular personalities in the sport, but the LIV golfer is also quite adept at blocking out the noise from his detractors. What makes him a fantastic sleeper bet in any big-tournament event or major is his aggressiveness, confidence, and ability to thrive under pressure and in clutch moments. So, while he may not check the "likability" box, he checks plenty when it comes to "winnability."
Wyndham Clark (+7000)
Clark can absolutely murder the ball off the tee and on approaches, so we love him on this course measuring over 7,500 yards. He also scrambles and putts well when he's on, and he's come a long way in terms of mental focus and patience. The highlights from his win at the Wells Fargo Championship last month showcase his across-the-board skills and show us why he has as good of a chance as anyone to take down the U.S. Open.
The biggest question for Clark is whether he can balance driving power with driving accuracy. He ranks seventh in total distance off the tee this season but just 158th in driving accuracy. If he can keep his drives on the fairway — and he continues to play confidently on the green — he should be able to get out to an early lead. He certainly has enough talent on the approach, where he ranks 23rd on TOUR. His scrambling and iron play have also been elite as of late. A modest wager on Clark to win could make you a very happy bettor come Sunday evening.
U.S. Open 2023 Best Bets: Top long shot
Eric Cole (+15000)
Cole has been quietly taking golf by storm, making noise at just about every level of the game. The rookie can do it all: drive with strength, hit fairways, land on the green, and last but not least, putt brilliantly. He holds the longest current streak without a three-putt at 331 attempts.
Cole's parents both played professionally, so winning golf is in his genes. The 34-year-old has already established himself as a winner in the minors, and he has performed admirably in his eight PGA starts this season. Among his highlights, he has a T5 finish at the Mexico Open at Vidanta, a T15 finish at the PGA Championship, and most recently, a T6 finish at the RBC Canadian Open. What a story — and what a payout — an outright win would be for this Rookie of the Year contender.
U.S. Open 2023: Top bets to place
Adam Scott to place top 10 (+550)
After a slow start to the season, Scott has caught fire as of late, logging three top-10 finishes over his past four starts. He also has plenty of experience in majors, having played a whopping 88 throughout his illustrious career (including 23 U.S. Opens). He has also pulled down a win in SoCal as recently as 2020 at the Genesis Invitational at the Riviera, just a short drive from LA Country Club.
Scott has showcased a calm demeanor and strong off-the-tee and around-the-green game. If he can keep his greens-in-regulation percentage high this weekend, we think he's a fantastic bet to finish in the top 10 for the fourth time in five tournaments.
Collin Morikawa to place top 20 (+130)
Morikawa started off 2023 sizzling hot, thanks in large part to his superb tee-to-green and approach-the-green numbers. The American has four top-10 finishes on the season, and he finished T10 at the Masters. However, the 26-year-old has not finished better than T26 in the six tournaments he has started since Augusta. Morikawa's surprising withdrawal because of back spasms from the Memorial Tournament two weeks ago, despite sitting just two shots off the lead, cast some light on why he was struggling.
After taking the RBC Canadian Open off last weekend to prepare for this weekend's Open, Morikawa apparently feels a lot better. He should be feeling very confident entering this weekend considering his past success at majors and his experience at Los Angeles Country Club's North Course since its renovation in 2010.
The winning US Walker Cup team from Los Angeles Country Club in 2017, featuring the likes of Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Will Zalatoris and Cameron Champ 🇺🇸🏆 pic.twitter.com/5sA5dR9gMm
— Golf Monthly (@GolfMonthly) June 10, 2023
As a Cal-Berkley junior in 2017, Morikawa famously won all four of his Walker Cup matches at LACC to help lead Team USA to a 19-7 victory over Great Britain and Ireland. The L.A. native looked right at home on the North Course, riding his flawless iron game and strong putter to birdies upon birdies. One of his most impressive was this 303-yard par-three in which he effortlessly landed on the green and then one-putt it home from eight feet away. Here's betting we see similar positive results from Morikawa this weekend.
Keegan Bradley to finish top 40 (-105)
Bradley always seems to be underrated even though he has distinguished himself as a golfer with a solid all-around skill set. He ranks 39th on the TOUR in shots gained off-the-tee, 30th in putting average, and 25th in birdie average. What makes Bradley an elite dark-horse option at the LACC is his efficiency on approach shots between 100 and 300 yards. Take a look at how the 37-year-old ranks on the TOUR from different approach levels:
| Approach Distance | Average | TOUR rank |
| From 125-150 yards | 19' 7 | 3rd |
| From 175-200 yards | 33' 1 | 28th |
| From >200 yards | 49' 9 | 30th |
| From 200-225 yards | 39' 8 | 40th |
| From 225-250 yards | 46' 9 | 13th |
That's a long-winded way of saying the man is an approach-game maestro from just about every level. With his driving efficiency, scrambling from the fringe skills, and underrated putting game, Bradley can absolutely make some noise this weekend. We like the 24th-ranked golfer in the OWGR to finish top 40 in Los Angeles come Sunday evening.
U.S. Open 2023: Top finish parlays
Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka to both finish top five (+750)
At this point, when you're prop-betting a major, you better have some action on one of these guys. Koepka remains one of the most stellar majors performers in the world, fresh off a PGA Championship and a T2 in the 2023 Masters. Scheffler continues to contend in nearly every tournament he plays, including a T2 at the PGA, T10 at the Masters, and top-five finishes in four consecutive starts.
Koepka's reputation as an ice-in-the-veins clutch player precedes him. The LIV defector got heckled throughout the PGA Championship but never once appeared rattled. The five-time major champion's calm, cool, collected demeanor and elite ability to adapt to new courses should help separate himself from the pack and finish among the top five. It also helps that he's paired with Rory McIlroy, one of the best golfers on the planet and a world-famous LIV critic since the Saudi tour's inception, which should keep Koepka motivated from the start.
Scheffler's off-the-tee, approach, and around-the-green games remain the best in the world and consistently carry him to the top of leaderboards. If he can get some better results with his short-stick, he can easily win his second career major. If he continues to lose strokes on the green — failing to cut three-putts into two-putts or two-putts into one-putts — he might end up with his third straight T2 at a major or fifth-straight top-five finish. A $12 bet here pays out $102, so we're happy to bet on two of the game's best and root for more majors greatness from both of them.
Other Koepka and Scheffler props we like: Koepka +200 to have the lowest tournament score of the LIV golfers; Scheffler +600 to finish Round 1 as the tournament leader (early); Koepka +1100 to finish Round 1 as the tournament leader (late)
U.S. Open 2023: Top matchup prop
Round 1 head-to-head: Tommy Fleetwood (+100) over Tyrrell Hatton
As we said about Fleetwood in our sleepers section, the man is on top of the world right now. He's driving the ball well, dazzling around the green, and exhibiting a consistent MasterClass of short-game prowess. He scrambles with the best of them when he gets in a jam and certainly proved his proclivity for clutch putts at the RBC Canadian Open. Fleetwood is a par-3 maestro coming into Thursday with sky-high confidence, and perfect weather and course conditions should have him picking up where he left off in Toronto.
Hatton has also been pretty dang good as of late. He finished T3 at the RBC Canadian, his third top-five finish since May, and he finished solo second at The Players in March. However, the 31-year-old often struggles in majors. The Brit's best major finish was a T5 at the British Open in 2016, and his last place in a major was T18 at the Masters in '21. Fleetwood, meanwhile, has two solo seconds at majors ('18 U.S. Open and '19 Open) and a T5 at the '22 Masters. With the momentum and superior results in past majors, we're going with Fleetwood over Hatton in the Battle of the Brits.
