The reigning AFC champion and third-seeded Chiefs host the sixth-seeded Dolphins in the nightcap of Saturday's super wild-card weekend doubleheader. The Chiefs look to improve to 11-2 in home playoff games during the Patrick Mahomes era, while Tua Tagovailoa and Mike McDaniel look to notch their first-ever playoff win as a QB-HC duo.
Searching for alternative ways to get action down on Saturday night's Chiefs-Dolphins matchup outside of the traditional side and total markets? You've come to the right place! We've done our part in highlighting four valuable props on Canada's most trusted sportsbook, Sports Interaction.
Without further ado, let's break down these valuable props for Chiefs-Dolphins.
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Best Chiefs-Dolphins prop bets for wild-card playoff round
All odds courtesy of Sports Interaction
1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs — UNDER 246.5 passing yards (-115)
It's never easy betting against one of the modern-day GOATs, but in a projected positive game script -- which could lead to the Chiefs employing a run-heavy approach in the second half -- we're holding our nose and taking Mahomes' passing yards UNDER at 246.5 (-115).
His receiving corps' inability to take the top off opposing defenses figures to lead to several short completions, hindering his chances of having a vintage passing yard effort. Despite completing 20-of-30 passes against the Dolphins in Week 9, Mahomes ended his day with just 185 passing yards, averaging only 6.2 yards per completion.
MORE CHIEFS-DOLPHINS: Betting preview | DFS picks
2. Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins — OVER 6.5 receptions (-135)
Although the Dolphins' offense has hit a rough patch over the past two weeks, Hill is still seeing elite volume, with 25 targets during the Dolphins' two-game losing streak. In a game we believe will result in the Dolphins passing at a high rate, Hill's over 6.5 receptions prop catches our attention.
Hill will assuredly see at least 10-plus targets, a number he's reached in eight of his past 10 games, including his 10-target, eight-catch day against the Chiefs in Week 9. Hill had a couple of uncharacteristic drops in last week's 21-14 home loss to the Bills, but still ended the night with seven receptions on 13 targets. His ability to consistently win at the line of scrimmage (65.2% route win rate; first among WRs) should lead to plenty of volume, helping him end the night with seven-plus catches.
3. Isiah Pacheco, RB, Chiefs — OVER 65.5 rushing yards (-115)
With the Chiefs potentially playing with a lead throughout, look for Pacheco to see enough work to reach 66-plus rushing yards. Kansas City's RB1 found his groove over the home stretch of the regular season, averaging 79.3 yards on 16.2 carries per game in his past six outings.
That includes a 16-carry, 66-yard day against Miami back in Week 9, a game in which the Chiefs controlled throughout, owning a commanding 21-0 lead at halftime. Pacheco's ability to break off explosive runs -- totaling 11 runs of 20-plus yards (11th among RBs) -- gives us confidence the second-year back will have success on the ground against an ailing Dolphins defense.
4. Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Dolphins — OVER 32.5 passing attempts (-125)
Even when dealing with frigid temperatures, we think the Dolphins will be forced into a pass-heavy game script, leading to Tagovailoa attempting 33-plus passes. Yes, the potential addition of Raheem Mostert in the backfield boosts the 'Phins' run game, but Miami is likely to need to put the game on Tagovailoa's shoulders if they want to keep their Super Bowl aspirations alive.
His propensity to get rid of the ball in an average of just 2.36 seconds could result in plenty of short completions, helping him total 33-plus pass attempts for the seventh time in 11 games.
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