Napoli vs AC Milan prediction, odds, best bets, TV channel, live stream for Serie A match

With Napoli leading the Serie A title race by a gargantuan 19 points, two Italian giants meet at Stadio Diego Maradona in what feels like an exhibition prior to their slated Champions League quarterfinal matchup.

Napoli were drawn on the side of the Champions League bracket featuring both Milan clubs, picked to face AC Milan first before a potential meeting with either Inter or Benfica. They now have the awkward dance of playing this weekend's opponent in what for them could be considered somewhat meaningless, while they will meet again across two legs in mid-April with a European semifinal spot on the line.

For AC Milan, the match is far from meaningless, as they sit in the center of a heated top four race. They are fourth in the table, just a point above fifth-placed Roma and two back of third-place Inter, as the best teams in Italy not named Napoli all dance around each other.

Milan entered the international break with an absolutely catastrophic result, a 3-1 loss to Udinese where they were a man up for the entire second half, but they remain a solid squad that can play anyone tough on any day.

The Sporting News football betting expert Kyle Bonn shares his best bets, props, and high risk/high return fliers for some of the biggest matches in the sport each week. Since the start of 2023, his best bets have hit 51.4% of the time, while his overall selections have generated a profit of over 38 units thus far. He has also correctly predicted 39 of 67 match outcomes via his 3-way moneyline leans to date.

Napoli vs AC Milan match facts

• Date: Sunday, April 2
• Kickoff Time: 2:45 pm ET / 7:45 pm BST / 4:45 am AEST (Mon, Apr. 3)
• Location: Stadio Diego Maradona (Naples, Italy)
• Official: Antonio Rapuano
• Last meeting: AC Milan 1-2 Napoli (Sept. 18, 2022 | Serie A)

Napoli vs AC Milan prediction, odds

• Moneyline lean: AC Milan (+360)
• Against the spread lean: AC Milan +0.5 (+100)
• Score prediction: Napoli 1-2 AC Milan

This match arrives in a super weird spot. Napoli won't want to show too much given that these two teams will meet in a match that, for them, will be far more important. Milan, however, have every reason to empty the chamber, knowing they could earn valuable points in the race for a top four spot.

Napoli will be without Victor Osimhen, who is injured from international duty, a potentially catastrophic turn to their season. Furthermore, they could potentially rest some starters in this game, potentially giving players returning from international duty, like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Hirving Lozano, and Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, some time off. This could be a spot for Milan to capitalise on, understanding that Napoli may look to save their best punches for European play.

Napoli vs AC Milan best bet

• Pick: AC Milan double chance
• Odds: +100 (BetMGM)

There's no guarantee that Napoli will rest their starters, but it seems a real possibility. Even if they don't, it's unlikely that Napoli will throw their A+ game and game plan at Milan, looking to save that for later and not give Milan their real tactical look until the European matches. Additionally, the Osimhen injury looms large as now the Napoli playmakers will need to find ways to finish their own chances.

Picking against Napoli comes with enormous risk, and Milan are in brutal form, but against a big club where they may rest starters and are looking to save their most effective tweaks, this seems like most opportune time to do so. If not now, when?

Napoli vs AC Milan prop bet

• Pick: Both teams to score — YES
• Odds: -110 (BetMGM)

Even if Napoli do end up coming out in front, this matchup could see Milan find a way through, especially if the hosts do indeed rest some starters.

This fixture can often end with a low-scoring total, but AC Milan have put up over 1.0 xG in all but two league games since the start of 2023, and they managed to register a goal on 2.25 xG against Napoli way back in September. They remain a potent side, even against the league's best defence.

Napoli vs AC Milan live stream, TV channel

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