Lazio vs Roma prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Serie A derby

Nathan Evans

Lazio vs Roma prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Serie A derby image

Arguably the most fierce rivalry in Italy reignites this weekend as Lazio and Roma lock horns and do battle in the 159th edition of the Rome derby in Serie A. 

Designated home side for this one, Lazio, head into this latest league outing after claiming a crucial 1-0 win against Feyenoord in Champions League action in the week, but their form in Italy's top tier remains poor. 

If they lose here against their most-hated foes, Maurizio Sarri's side will have already lost six times in Serie A this season, their joint most this far into a campaign since the three points for a win rule was introduced. As such, this match takes on even more importance than usual for the hosts.

BET ON LAZIO VS ROMA HERE WITH DRAFTKINGS (USA)

Roma will also be desperate to take victory here though, as Jose Mourinho's outfit lost both of their two meetings in the league last season without even scoring. The Sporting News previews the game below.

MORE: When does Jose Mourinho contract end at AS Roma? Salary, expiry date for coach of UEFA Europa League finalists

Lazio vs Roma match facts

  • Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
  • Kickoff time: 6:00 p.m. local (12:00 p.m. ET / 9:00 a.m. PT)
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome, Italy)
  • Last meeting: Lazio 1-0 Roma (Mar. 19, 2023 | Serie A)

Lazio vs Roma prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+205)
  • Score prediction: Lazio 1-1 Roma
  LAZ
win
Draw ROM
win
Both teams
to score Y / N
Over / Under
2.5 goals
DraftKings
(USA)
+175 +205 +155 -110 / -115 +130 / -170

    Lazio vs Roma best bet

    • Pick: Both teams to score - YES
    • Odds: -110 (DraftKings)

    In these derby matches between Lazio and Roma, it's either a case of of all or nothing from a scoring perspective. 

    Last season in Serie A, Lazio won both meetings between the side via a 1-0 scoreline, making it five of the last six head-to-heads that hadn't seen both teams score in the same match.

    That said, this season feels a little different with both sides struggling a bit when it comes to keeping clean sheets. Both Lazio and Roma have kept just three clean sheets each across 11 league outings, whilst Lazio have additionally kept just one across four European matches. 

    That leads us to believe that both sides will have their chances here and at -110, the 'both teams to score - YES' pick seems the way to go. 

    Lazio vs Roma prop bet

    • Pick: Red card to be shown 
    • Odds: +220 (DraftKings)

    Given this is one of European football's most fierce rivalries, the tension is usually palpable when these two sides meet. 

    That has led to some of the craziest matches in recent memory in terms of cards on both sides, and as such, we're taking the red card to be shown pick at +220 with DraftKings.

    That actually offers a decent amount of value when you consider that the last five meetings between these two foes have seen four red cards shown. This is truly a match that could ignite at any point, and this meeting won't be any different. 

    Nathan Evans

    Nathan Evans Photo

    A Sports Journalism Masters graduate, Nathan Evans joined The Sporting News in 2022 after working at Opta/Stats Perform for six years. He's an avid fan of Bradford City, FC Köln and the Pittsburgh Penguins.