Everton's proud record of never being relegated from the Premier League looks to be in real danger ahead of the 2022/23 season run-in.
Sean Dyche has struggled to solidify his team following the former Burnley boss' arrival in January, and Everton find themselves braced for another rollercoaster end to the season.
The Blues edged to safety under Frank Lampard last year, but time is against Dyche, with his experienced team scoring the fewest goals in the Premier League this season.
Dyche will be hoping the battle hardened experience of Jordan Pickford, James Tarkowski and Dwight McNeil can give Everton a lifeline, but the pressure continues to mount.
A 99th-minute equaliser from Yerry Mina to rescue Everton a point against Wolves on May 20 gave the Toffees hope... but will it be enough to keep them up?
MORE: Have Everton been relegated in club history? Last time Toffees dropped to second division
Everton's remaining Premier League fixtures in 2022/23
Everton have one Premier League game left to secure survival.
May, 28. vs Bournemouth (Home)
Gary O'Neil's Bournemouth have been the surprise package of the relegation battle, proving the doubters wrong to dig out huge wins, and put themselves in the Premier League for another season.
Everton will fancy a win with the Cherries safe, but O'Neil's side are more than capable of frustrating Everton on home soil.
Everton's Premier League relegation odds
Everton have one game left to save their Premier League position in the 2022/23 run-in with that match coming against Bournemouth.
Projections by FiveThirtyEight place Everton as the third most likely team to be relegated and join basement boys (and already demoted) Southampton.
Leeds have one match left against Tottenham while Leicester face West Ham on the final day.
If there were no changes from the current table, Leicester and Leeds United would go down with Saints and Everton would survive by the skin of their teeth.
Premier League table: The bottom four
*Standings correct as of May 28, 2023
| Pos | Team | Points | Matches Played | Goals Scored | Goal Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17. | Everton | 33 | 37 | 33 | -24 |
| 18. | Leicester City | 31 | 37 | 49 | -18 |
| 19. | Leeds United | 31 | 37 | 47 | -27 |
| 20. | Southampton - R | 24 | 37 | 32 | -37 |
What Everton need to survive relegation
Despite the mythology surrounding the magic 40-point survival mark, the real bottom line for average Premier League safety is almost always lower.
Since the Premier League became a 20-team competition in 1995/96, the average points total of the 18th-placed team has been 35.2, meaning 36 points has often been enough to secure safety. Since 2000, 37 points has been enough to retain Premier League status on all but four occasions.
Everton have 33 points from 37 games, meaning they need to win to make absolutely sure they avoid relegation. A draw or a defeat would allow Leicester or Leeds the chance to move above them in the table if they were to win their final matches.
Premier League latest relegation odds 2022/23
Here are the latest relegation odds available at the various sports books around the world.
*Odds updated as of May 28, 2023.
| USA (BetMGM) | UK (Sky Bet) | Australia (Neds) | |
| Leeds United | -3300 | 1/20 | 1.03 |
| Leicester City | -700 | 1/10 | 1.14 |
| Everton | +300 | +333 | 4.00 |
Relegation probabilities
ESPN's FiveThirtyEight projects the relegation probability for each club involved in the scrap to avoid the drop. Here's how each team has been tracking since early April.
| May 28 | May 21 | May 14 | May 6 | April 30 | April 27 | April 5 | |
| Everton | 23% | 24% | 31% | 63% | 66% | 75% | 37% |
| Nott'm Forest | — | — | 32% | 49% | 54% | 56% | 65% |
| Leeds | 96% | 92% | 67% | 60% | 57% | 40% | 10% |
| Leicester | 81% | 84% | 70% | 29% | 24% | 31% | 30% |
