South Africa and New Zealand will clash yet again in a high-stake encounter during the semifinals of the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 on March 5 at Lahore, Pakistan.
Group B toppers South Africa have set up the semi-final clash against Group A's runner-up New Zealand. The winners will meet India in the final on March 9 at Dubai.
South Africa won two of their matches in the group stages while their clash against Australia was washed out due to rain. On the other hand, New Zealand won their first two matches against Pakistan and Bangladesh but lost to India in Dubai.
In this article, The Sporting News tracks the progress of the match and provides you with the live win probabilities for each team.
READ: ICC Champions Trophy 2025 final: Where and when will the summit clash be held?
South Africa vs New Zealand Champions Trophy 2025 semifinal: Live win probability
4:48 pm: Ravindra brings up his fifth ODI century, with all of them coming in ICC tournaments as New Zealand eyes a huge total with nine wickets in hand.
4:39 pm: New Zealand have scored 68 runs in the last ten overs (21-30) which also saw Heinrich Klaasen drop Williamson on 56 runs.
4:28 pm: Ravindra has scored four centuries in ICC One Day tournaments so far. The Kiwi southpaw is on 88, can he claim his fifth hundred today?
4:23 pm: The Ravindra-Williamson partnership extends to over 100 runs as New Zealand continue to accumulate runs at a good rate.
3:57 pm: Blackcaps led by Rachin Ravindra's half-century and a 15-run over in the 18th over sees a shift in the game's momentum. Will they score over 330 runs or under? Make your prediction here and win rewards!
Jump to: Live probability | Live match odds
3:18 pm: New Zealand are off to a good start after scoring 60 runs in the first powerplay!
3:00 pm: Lungi Ngidi provides South Africa with their first breakthrough in the eight over with the dismissal of Will Young.
Kane Williamson walks in next and is 27 runs away from the 19,000-run milestone in international cricket.
2:00 pm: New Zealand won the toss and opted to bat first. This could be an early advantage for the Blackcaps given that they go on to post a 330-plus total.
However, the Proteas could still have an edge with a strong power-hitting core in the middle order. It remains to be seen if they handle the pressure in the chase.
12:30 pm: Lahore’s pitch has been flat and run-friendly, with teams regularly crossing the 300-run mark when batting first.
Who will win the toss? Predict correctly and double your winnings!
Given that this is a knockout game, winning the toss and opting to bat first will be crucial, as teams chasing could struggle under scoreboard pressure in the second innings.
12:15 pm: The two sides haven't faced each other in a bilateral series since 2017. Although they met recently in the Tri-Series in Pakistan, South Africa did not send their full-strength team at that time.
In ICC tournaments, the Blackcaps have a 7-4 advantage over the Proteas.
12:00 pm: In the early hours before the semifinal clash, South Africa's win probability is 52% while New Zealand with 48% have a chance to snatch a win.
SA vs NZ: Live win probability
| Team | Win Probability |
| South Africa | 35% |
| New Zealand | 65% |
South Africa vs New Zealand Champions Trophy 2025 semifinal: Odds
According to Dafabet, New Zealand are currently favourites to win the semifinals.
| Team | Odds |
| South Africa | 3.70 |
| New Zealand | 1.28 |
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