One of the marquee matchups of the new Champions League league phase pits two European giants with title hopes together as Arsenal host PSG at the Emirates Stadium on Tuesday.
Both these clubs have long coveted the continent's most illustrious crown, and both have put themselves in strong position to end that drought.
Arsenal have never won the Champions League title, coming closest in 2006 when they reached the final with Thierry Henry but fell to Barcelona. The Gunners have slowly rebuilt themselves under Mikel Arteta and are poised to pounce not just in the Premier League where Man City's grip appears to be slipping, but on the European stage as well.
The story is the same for PSG, who famously failed to capture a European title during the Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe, and Neymar days. With their big three now all departed and a new younger generation hoping to achieve what those three legends could not, the time is now to prove they are serious contenders.
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Arsenal vs. PSG prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Draw (+260)
- Score prediction: Arsenal 1-1 PSG
Arsenal are legitimate Premier League and Champions League title contenders, but Mikel Arteta is not one to unleash the dogs unless the situation warrants. Amidst a league campaign where any slight slip is perilous, he will know that a draw at home against a top side like PSG is still a strong result in a forgiving league phase setup.
Points will be on hand for both teams to secure down the road, and a level result here will be both achievable and acceptable for both foes.
| BetMGM (USA) | |
| Arsenal win | -140 |
| Draw | +260 |
| PSG win | +400 |
| Both teams to score | Y: -130 N: -110 |
| Over / Under 2.5 goals | O: -120 U: -115 |
| Arsenal -0.5 goals | -145 |
| PSG +0.5 goals | +100 |
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Arsenal vs. PSG match facts
- Date: Tuesday, October 1, 2024
- Kickoff Time: 8 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
- Location: Emirates Stadium (London, England)
- Referee: Slavko Vincic (SVN)
- Last meeting: Arsenal 2-2 PSG (Nov. 23, 2016 | Champions League)
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Arsenal vs. PSG best bet
- Pick: Half with most goals — 2H
- Odds: +115 (BetMGM)
Both these teams have been leaky at times to start the year, but Arsenal have been especially open in the second half as opposed to before the break. The Gunners have conceded just one goal on 1.91 xG through the first half of their six Premier League games to this point, but have allowed four of them after halftime.
Even in their scoreless draw with Atalanta, most of the pressure from their Italian opponents came after the break.
Meanwhile, PSG's winner in their 1-0 victory over Girona to start Champions League play came in second-half stoppage time of a game where 1.81 of their 2.10 xG came after the break, while they held Girona without a single shot through the first 45 minutes.
Arsenal vs. PSG prop bet
- Pick: Bukayo Saka to score or assist a goal
- Odds: +100 (FanDuel)
There should be goals in this match, and Bukayo Saka loves a home Champions League fixture. The Arsenal star has produced seven goal contributions in five career home Champions League matches, with four goals of his own plus three assists to teammates.
Saka has picked up goal contributions at home against Bayern Munich, Sevilla, PSV, and Lens, with the only European opponent to keep him off the scoresheet at the Emriates Stadium being Porto in a game where Saka was still a star performer. He should feast here against a leaky PSG side featuring Nuno Mendes or Lucas Beraldo at left-back.
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