Spain vs. Germany prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Euro 2024 quarterfinal

Brad Cox

Spain vs. Germany prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Euro 2024 quarterfinal image

Spain and Germany meet in a heavyweight matchup in the first quarterfinal of Euro 2024.

Julian Nagelsmann's Germany head to the MHPArena where, perhaps surprisingly for a host nation. they will start as the slight underdogs. That is because Spain won all three group-stage games and then cruised past Georgia in the Round of 16, despite conceding the first goal.

BET NOW: Latest odds for Euro 2024 and best bets for Spain vs. Germany on BetMGM

One thing in Germany's favour is that no host nation has ever been eliminated from the quarterfinal stage of the European Championship. All four previous host quarterfinalists have progressed: England won a penalty shootout against Spain in 1996, Netherlands beat Yugoslavia 6-1 in 2000, Portugal beat England on penalties in 2004 and France defeated Iceland 5-2 back in 2016.

Can Germany keep that run going or will the Spanish swagger their way into the semis? The Sporting News takes a look at some of the latest odds and best bets. 

MORE: Euro 2024 schedule and results, updated LIVE Who will win Euro 2024? Latest odds and predictions

Spain vs. Germany prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Germany (+175)
  • Score prediction: Germany 3-2 Spain

Riding with the host nation given the history at this tournament is a smart pick. No matter how good Spain have been, home support is a huge advantage in soccer and is not to be overlooked. Nagelsmann's side were tested vs. Denmark in the Round of 16 but once they clicked in the second half, they rarely needed to get out of first gear.

 BetMGM
(USA)
Spain win
(90 mins)
+170
Draw
(90 mins)
+200
Germany win
(90 mins)
+175
Both teams
to score
Y: -140
N: +100
Over / Under
2.5 goals
O: +100
U: -135
Spain
to advance
-115
Germany
to advance
-110

Spain vs. Germany match facts

  • Date: Friday, July 5, 2024
  • Kickoff time: 6 p.m. local (12 p.m. ET / 9 a.m. PT)
  • Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart, Germany)
  • Referee: Danny Makkelie (NED)
  • Last meeting: Spain 1-1 Germany (Nov. 27, 2022 | World Cup 2022 Group Stage)

Spain vs. Germany best bet

  • Pick: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals 
  • Odds: +225 (BetMGM)

The two highest-scoring teams at this summer's tournament meet with Germany already into double figures with 10 team goals and Spain one behind them on nine. 

This is the first meeting between Spain and Germany since the 2022 World Cup, and that game finished with a 1-1 draw in the group stages. But these two sides are much improved since that tournament in Qatar, and Spain have looked incredibly impressive on the attack.

Spain vs. Germany prop bet

  • Pick: Jamal Musiala anytime goalscorer
  • Odds: +310 (BetMGM)

We picked Musiala to score vs. Denmark in the Round of 16 and came up trumps, so why not run with it again?  The winger has been arguably the player of the tournament so far, and no one has more to offer than the young German prodigy. 

  • Pick: Germany to win from behind
  • Odds: +1150 (FanDuel)

Some really high odds on this pick but the way Germany had to grow into the Denmark game has convinced us that this could be worth a small unit. Spain have also been high-flying right from the off but again, the home support could, and should, be able to see Germany back into the game if it falls this way.

Spain vs. Germany live stream, TV channel

 TV channelStreaming
USAFOXFubo, Fox Sports app/website, ViX
CanadaTSN1, TSN4, TVA SportsTVA+
UKITV1ITVX App
IndiaSony Ten 1, 2, 3, 1HD, 2HD, 3HDJioTV, Sony LIV

USA: Spain vs. Germany will be televised in the United States on Fox. This is available to stream on Fubo with the latter offering a FREE seven-day trial. ViX is also an option for Spanish listeners.

Radio coverage of the match can be followed on SiriusXM FC.

UK: Friday’s match will be shown in the UK on ITV1 and the fans can stream on ITVX.

Canada: TSN are the main English-language broadcasters for Euro 2024 while TVA provides French options.

India: Euro 2024 matches are available to watch on on JioTV and Sony LIV. Spain vs. Germany can also be viewed on Sony Ten Network on TV.

If this match is not available to watch live in your location, or if you're traveling abroad, you can use a Virtual Private Network (VPN). VPNs offer a secure and private online connection, allowing you to bypass geographical restrictions to access your favorite streaming services from any device anywhere in the world.

WATCH FROM ANYWHERE: Sign up for NordVPN (30-day moneyback guarantee)

Brad Cox

Brad Cox Photo

Brad is a content producer for The Sporting News and has previously worked for the likes of Squawka and The Athletic. His career highlight to date is reporting from the 2022 UEFA Champions League Final in Paris.