Arsenal odds to win Premier League 2023: Where Gunners rank among favourites for EPL title

Kyle Bonn

Arsenal odds to win Premier League 2023: Where Gunners rank among favourites for EPL title image

Arsenal are a point behind Manchester City with three matches of the Gunners' campaign left to play in the 2022/23 Premier League season – but their biggest rivals have a game in hand.

The Gunners slumped to three straight draws before capitulating in a big way to Man City in their head-to-head matchup on April 26, falling 4-1 and seeing City take firm control of the title race. They have since bounced back - including an impressive 2-0 win at third-placed Newcastle on May 7 - but the damage seems to be already done.

Mikel Arteta's side had the chance to open up a seven-point lead at one point but reigning champions City are considered by many as favourites to win the title again.

The Sporting News brings you a full look at the most recent Premier League title odds as the Gunners hope to secure their first top-flight crown since The Invincibles back in 2004.

MORE: How many times have Arsenal been English champions?

Arsenal odds to win Premier League 2022/23

The Gunners might be top of the league for now, but they are not the favourites to win the Premier League.

City have the shortest odds to win a third-straight title, with the result between the teams as well as City's extra game a major factor in the calculations.

Odds as of Sunday, May 7, 2023.

Club USA
(BetMGM)
India
(Dafabet)
UK
(Sky Bet)
Australia
(Neds)
Man City -1600 TBD 1/14 1.06
Arsenal +800 TBD 7/1 9.00

Arsenal Premier League fixtures schedule 2023

Manchester City have that game in hand thanks to their run to the FA Cup final, which has seen them play fewer Premier League games and had the effect of skewing the table and odds a little during recent weeks.

According to ESPN's FiveThirtyEight, Manchester City have an 87% probability of winning the title, falling slightly after Arsenal successfully navigated their tricky trip to Tyneside.

Outside of their head-to-head matchup, Manchester City's league run-in includes Brighton & Hove Albion (away), Everton (away), Chelsea (home), and Brentford (away). 

Arsenal remaining schedule 2022/23

Matchday Date Match Result Arsenal
Table
Position
Points
Gap
Title
Probability
18 Tue, Jan. 3 vs. Newcastle D / 0-0 1st 8 49%
19 Sun, Jan. 15 at Tottenham W / 2-0 1st 8 57%
20 Sun, Jan. 22 vs Man United W / 3-2 1st 5 63%
21 Sat, Feb. 4 at Everton L / 1-0 1st 5 58%
22 Sat, Feb. 11 vs Brentford D / 1-1 1st 3 47%
23 Wed, Feb. 15 vs Man City L / 3-1 2nd 0 34%
24 Sat, Feb. 18 at Aston Villa W / 2-4 1st 2 50%
25 Sat, Feb. 25 at Leicester W / 1-0 1st 2 52%
7 Wed, Mar. 1 vs Everton W / 4-0 1st 5 57%
26 Sat, Mar. 4 vs Bournemouth W / 3-2 1st 5 54%
27 Sat, Mar. 11 at Fulham W / 3-0 1st 5 59%
28 Sat, Mar. 18 vs C. Palace W / 4-1 1st 8 56%
29 Sat, Apr. 1 vs Leeds W / 4-1 1st 8 51%
30 Sat, Apr. 8 at Liverpool D / 2-2 1st 6 41%
31 Sun, Apr. 16 at West Ham D / 2-2 1st 4 34%
32 Fri, Apr. 21 vs Southampton D / 3-3 1st 5 25%
33 Wed, Apr. 26 at Man City L / 4-1 1st 2 10%
34 Tues, May 2 vs Chelsea W / 3-1 1st 2 11%
35 Sun, May 7 at Newcastle W / 2-0 2nd 1 13%
36 Sun, May 14 vs Brighton        
37 Sat, May 20 at Nott'm Forest        
38 Sun, May 28 vs Wolves        

Last time Arsenal won Premier League

It's been nearly 20 years since Arsenal supporters have seen their club finish the season at the top of the English top-flight. 

"The Invincibles" — the only team in Premier League history to finish an entire campaign with an unblemished league record — claimed the Gunners' last English league title in 2003/04

Arsene Wenger and Patrick Vieira of Arsenal with Premier League trophy
Getty Images

That Arsenal side, led by manager Arsene Wenger, finished 11 points ahead of second-place Chelsea thanks to 26 victories and 12 draws in the 38-match Premier League season.

The attacking star of that side was club legend Thierry Henry, who won the league's Golden Boot as top scorer with 30 goals, which were eight better than runner-up Alan Shearer. 

The squad also included German 'keeper Jens Lehmann, midfield marshal Patrick Vieira, creators Robert Pires and Freddie Ljungberg, Brazilian national team fixture Gilberto Silva, and defenders Sol Campbell, Ashley Cole, and Kolo Toure.

How many times Arsenal won Premier League

Since the English top division was relaunched as the Premier League in 1992/93 there have been 30 seasons played and Arsenal have emerged as champions on just three occasions: 1997/98, 2001/02, and 2003/04.

But before the Premier League, Arsenal had tasted championship success in 10 seasons, with first one coming back in 1930/31. Five of the Gunners' 10 titles prior to the launch of the Premier League came during the 1930s.

Remarkably, Arsenal won two of its titles on a tiebreaker. They bested Preston North End in 1952/53 on goal average (goals scored per game), which was used before the advent of goal difference.

Then in 1988/89 they famously edged out Liverpool for the title on the final day of the season on a late Michael Thomas goal that put Arsenal level on goal difference with Liverpool and allowed them to win the title on the second tiebreaker (total goals scored).

Arsenal league titles (13)

Season Arsenal
Points
Runner-up
(Points)
Margin
2003/04 90 Chelsea (79) +11
2001/02 87 Liverpool (80) +7
1997/98 78 Man United (77) +1
1990/91 83 Liverpool (76) +7
1988/89 76 Liverpool (76) —**
1970/71 65 Leeds United (64) +1
1952/53 54 Preston (54) —*
1947/48 59 Man United (52) +7
1937/38 52 Wolverhampton (51) +1
1934/35 58 Sunderland (54) +4
1933/34 59 Huddersfield (56) +3
1932/33 58 Aston Villa (54) +4
1930/31 66 Aston Villa (59) +7

* Won title on goal average (1.52 vs. 1.42)
** Won title on goals scored (73 vs. 65)

Kyle Bonn

Kyle Bonn Photo

Kyle Bonn, is a Syracuse University broadcast journalism graduate with over a decade of experience covering soccer globally. Kyle specializes in soccer tactics and betting, with a degree in data analytics. Kyle also does TV broadcasts for Wake Forest soccer, and has had previous stops with NBC Soccer and IMG College. When not covering the game, he has long enjoyed loyalty to the New York Giants, Yankees, and Fulham. Kyle enjoys playing racquetball and video games when not watching or covering sports.