When the Ravens (10-3) travel to face the Jaguars (8-5) on "Sunday Night Football" (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC) for Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season, key seeding in the AFC playoff race will be on the line
Baltimore is the current AFC No. 1 as the first-place team in the North. The Jaguars are the No. 4, two games back while leading the South. This could tighten the race even further with Miami (9-4) and Kansas City (8-3) in between as the 2-3.
The Ravens are coming off a thrilling overtime home win over the Rams, while the Jaguars have lost consecutive key games to other AFC North foes, the Bengals and Browns.
Here's breaking down how Jacksonville will fare in this tough matchup at home, its first "SNF appearance since 2008:
Ravens vs. Jaguars odds, spread, over/under
(All odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook)
Spread: Ravens -3 (-120) | Jaguars +3 (+100)
Over/Under: OVER 42.5 (-110) | UNDER 42.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Ravens -170 | Jaguars +143
The Ravens are riding a three-game winning streak into the game. The Jaguars have lost three of five since going on an earlier five-game winning streak. Jacksonville is facing an interesting underdog status given it flopped in its recent Monday night appearance at home vs. the Bengals.
Should you bet the Ravens against the spread vs. Jaguars?
The Ravens are a very good team, but they're not unbeatable, default AFC favorites. Baltimore showed some real defensive cracks against the Rams, and it's gone from a running team to a full-on passing team with Lamar Jackson.
The Jaguars have seen Trevor Lawrence fight hard to play through injury and play much better of late despite some turnovers. He is down go-to guy Christian Kirk (core), but like Jackson, he's feeling it with many offensive weapons.
Jacksonville has to be a bit desperate given it cannot separate well from Houston and Indianapolis in the division race. Doug Pederson will have his team playing hard to push Baltimore to the brink.
Spread pick: Jaguars -3 (+100)
Should you bet the Jaguars on the moneyline?
Should the Jaguars come through in making this game tighter than a field goal, it's hard to expect them to lose by a point or two. That pick correlates to the Jaguars scoring the mild upset, buoyed by the emotional home energy playing in the NFL's premier prime-time slot.
The Jaguars can take away the run again from the Ravens, and they have been adept at forcing turnovers. Lawrence will protect the ball much better than he did in Cleveland, and that will pay off. With a lot of regression to the mean happening in the league, it makes sense we're down to one game separating the Ravens and Jaguars.
Moneyline pick: Jaguars +143
Should you bet the Ravens-Jaguars OVER?
The Ravens and Jaguars both have good kickers and enough passing pop to climb past this number. They also have some big-play backs in Keaton Mitchell and Travis Etienne. The Jaguars will grind out the winning points in a balanced game, putting the score OVER the total in the end.
Our Pick: OVER 42.5 (-110)
Final score prediction: Jaguars 23, Ravens 20
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