Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, and the powerhouse 49ers host Jordan Love and the young-gunning Packers on Saturday night (8:30 p.m. ET, FOX). The Niners' -9.5 spread makes this a tough game to make traditional wagers on, but we have pinpointed plenty of value on the prop betting market.
The Packers just went on the road and hung 48 on the Cowboys on the backs of monster games from Jordan Love and Aaron Jones. Love has 21 touchdowns against just one pick over the last two months while Jones scored three times in Dallas and has racked up four straight 100-yard rushing games.
Is there value in taking Green Bay's explosive playmakers for a second straight week? Or will a well-rested 49ers defense shut down the Pack?
49ERS-PACKERS: Model projections | Expert picks | Updated lines
Let's get to our best bets. Below, we will detail our six favorite player props from the 49ers-Packers divisional-round tilt on Saturday night. Good luck!
Best bets for 49ers vs. Packers: Top player props
All odds courtesy of Sports Interaction, Canada's most trusted sportsbook. Bet on this weekend's NFL games now!
Jordan Love passing yards: OVER 251.5 (-115)
We get it — the 49ers have the third-best scoring defense, the most interceptions, and they rank top-eight in the NFL in total yards and passing TDs allowed. However, Kyle Shanahan's squad ranked just 14th in passing yards surrendered this season, and we all know Love will be throwing early and often to keep Green Bay in this game.
Steve Wilks and his Niners defense are probably well aware of the Pack's success when stud running back Aaron Jones gets 20-plus touches. Dating back to Dec. 2018, Green Bay has gone 23-1 when Jones gets 20-plus touches in a game. That should make Jones public enemy No. 1 in Santa Clara on Saturday night, and we think the San Fran D will be up to the task considering it ranks top-four in the league in ground yards and rushing TDs allowed.
Jones might get used a bunch as a pass-catcher, and the Pack will need him to chip Nick Bosa and the Niners' front-seven to keep Love's pocket clean. We don't think Love will have a particularly clean game — the OVER of 0.5 interceptions (-185) is juiced but still tempting — but we do think he will surpass 251 passing yards for the fourth game in a row and ninth time in 11 weeks.
Brandon Aiyuk most receiving yards in game (+210)
Aiyuk put up a monstrous 2023 season, finishing with 1,342 receiving yards and seven touchdowns, and earning All-Pro selections by the AP and PFF. However, somehow the wideout didn't make the Pro Bowl, a slight the fourth-year receiver will likely not soon forget. A date with Green Bay's soft zone coverage should be just what the football doctor ordered for Aiyuk, especially with the Niners coming off a first-round bye.
Over the past 12 weeks, the Packers have surrendered 284-plus passing yards five times. In just the past five weeks, Green Bay has given up passing-yard totals of 353 to Tampa Bay, 298 to the lowly Panthers, and 387 to the Cowboys. That gives us a tremendous amount of confidence in Brock Purdy, Deebo Samuel, and especially Aiyuk this weekend.
Aiyuk has recorded 113-plus receiving yards in two of San Francisco's past three games, and he might have done it a third-consecutive game but he played just 38 percent of the Niners' offensive snaps in the meaningless Week 18 tilt with the Rams. All said, Aiyuk recorded seven games with 109-plus receiving yards in the regular season. He's a great bet to lead this game in receiving yards.
Aaron Jones rushing yards: UNDER 67.5 (-115)
We already alluded to this earlier, but it bears repeating: Aaron Jones will not have a great game on Saturday night, at least on the ground. The 49ers allowed the second-fewest rushing yards to running backs this season (64.5 per game), and they've held the past three RB1s they've faced to ground yard totals of 52, 44, and 31.
Jones has been cooking over the past month, we'll give him that. But the bet here is on the 49ers defense holding strong.
Aaron Jones longest run UNDER 14.5 yards (-110)
Second verse, same as the first — Jones amassed just 15 runs of 10-plus yards and three explosive runs of 20-plus yards all season. The average of the longest run the 49ers have allowed to opposing RBs over their past three games is 13 yards.
Famous last words: All-in on the Jones UNDER bets!
Christian McCaffrey to score 2+ touchdowns (+145)
There's no value in CMC to score a TD — that sits at an insane -300 odds since he has scored in 13 of his 16 games this season. However, we're intrigued by his two-TD prop at +145, considering he logged two-plus scores in five of his past 13 outings. The Packers allowed 15 rushing TDs on the season — well above the league average — and we know CMC will see plenty of volume from the opening kick to the final whistle. Put a modest wager on this one.
Christian McCaffrey wins race to 20 rushing yards (-105)
We're all over CMC this weekend, as the two-time All-Pro is coming off a season in which he led the NFL with 1,459 rushing yards, 2,023 scrimmage yards, and 21 total TDs in just 16 games. Now he's coming off a bye to face a Green Bay defense that has surrendered 131.2 rushing yards per game since Week 10? And all he has to do here is get to 20 ground yards before Jones, Love, and Purdy? Yeah, sign us up.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation. Learn more >