Two bitter AFC North rivals do battle Sunday afternoon in Cleveland, as the 6-3 Browns (-1) host the 6-3 Steelers in Week 11 (1:00 p.m. ET, CBS). With starting quarterback Deshaun Watson (shoulder) done for the year, Cleveland hands the reigns to rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who's slated to make his second career start under center. Pittsburgh is attempting to secure a regular-season sweep over Cleveland after narrowly defeating the Browns 26-22 in Week 2.
Searching for alternative ways to get action down on Sunday's Steelers-Brown showdown outside of the traditional side and total markets? You've come to the right place! We've done our part in highlighting four valuable player props on Canada's most trusted sportsbook, Sports Interaction.
Without further ado, let's break down these valuable props for Steelers-Browns.
MORE: Bet on the Steelers-Browns on Sports Interaction now!
Best Steelers-Browns prop bets Week 11
1. Dorian Thompson-Robinson, QB, Browns — UNDER 0.5 interceptions thrown (+150)
Cleveland's preseason standout had a rocky NFL debut against Baltimore in Week 4, completing 19-of-36 passes for 121 yards while throwing three interceptions. A quick glance at his interceptions thrown market in his second career start sees -210 odds on DTR to go OVER 0.5 INTs.
While the rookie signal-caller could get flustered by a strong Steelers defensive line, the betting market's already baking in a rough day at the office for DTR, as the -210 price on his OVER 0.5 interceptions says there's a 67.74-percent chance he indeed throws a pick.
We'll take a contrarian stance and bet on DTR's second start going much smoother, resulting in Cleveland's new QB1 ending the contest with zero INTs.
2. George Pickens, WR, Steelers — Longest reception OVER 19.5 yards (-110)
Not many teams have been able to move the ball through the air against Cleveland, as the Browns defense boasts the league's lowest dropback success rate (34.9%). That said, we think Kenny Pickett and George Pickens connect on a 20-plus yard reception against Jim Schwartz's man-heavy defense.
Cleveland employs man coverage at the third-highest clip in the league (40.6%), and Pickens sees a respectable 24.6-percent target rate against man. He also sees 1.4 deep targets (20-plus yards) per game, so it could lead to a chunk play through the air if he gets a one-on-one matchup outside.
3. Elijah Moore, WR, Browns — OVER 27.5 receiving yards (-115)
Given how stout the Steelers defensive line is, Thompson-Robinson knows he'll have to get rid of the ball quickly to negate Pittsburgh's pass rush. That could lead to Cleveland utilizing Moore in the WR screen game, boosting his chances of totaling 28-plus receiving yards.
Right as we were breaking this prop down, some bettors with market influence clearly agreed with us that Moore should see high usage on Sunday, as his yardage prop spiked up from 23.5 to 27.5. Although we're not getting the best of the number, we still see some value in his OVER.
4. Jerome Ford, RB, Browns — OVER 49.5 rushing yards (-120)
We expect head coach Kevin Stefanski to make life as easy as possible for DTR on Sunday, meaning there's a good chance he dials up a high number of run plays, putting Ford in a solid spot to reach 50-plus rushing yards. Ford's second-highest rushing output of the season came against Pittsburgh in Week 2 once he assumed lead-back duties after Nick Chubb's devastating knee injury.
With Ford having 20-carry upside, we love his chances of going OVER 49.5 rush yards against a middle-of-the-pack run defense.
