In the nightcap of Sunday's 14-game slate, the AFC West-leading Chiefs head to MetLife Stadium to face the reeling 1-2 Jets (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC). For SuperDraft users looking to make an entry via SuperDraft's Fantasy Props feature, we're here to guide you in the right direction toward profitability.
SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay, the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep is challenging. If you were to put down a $20 entry fee and all four of our props below hit, you'd get a $200 payout.
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Below, we'll break down four of our favorite SuperDraft player props for Sunday night's Chiefs-Jets contest. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate multi-leg parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all three picks come through.
If you're looking for more action, you can enter Sunday's Progressive Jackpot contest and hit it big like one SuperDraft user did last week:
The Vikings may be 0-3, but Shane, the Minnesota electrician, scored a massive W this Sunday by taking down our $21,410 Player Prop Jackpot with his $5 entry.
— SuperDraft Daily Fantasy (@superdraftdfs) September 26, 2023
Watch his reaction 🔥 pic.twitter.com/Q01n7d5zET
Best Chiefs-Jets prop bets: SuperDraft player prop picks for Week 4
*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks
1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs — OVER 277.5 passing yards
Through three games, the Jets' pass defense ranks in the bottom third of the league in dropback EPA (0.183) and success rate (49.6%), which could lead to a solid night through the air for the reigning MVP. Mahomes totaled just 272 passing yards in Kansas City's 41-10 beatdown over the Bears but was pulled in the latter stages of the third quarter with the game out of hand. Look for Mahomes to go OVER his passing yardage prop this time around.
MORE SUPERDRAFT DFS & FANTASY PROPS: How to play SuperDraft
2. Zach Wilson, QB, Jets — OVER 16.5 passing completions
While we don't expect much offensive success from the Jets tonight, a negative game script likely leads to Wilson attempting 35-plus passes. His high pass attempt volume leads us to believe he totals 17-plus passing completions, similar to last week's game script. Wilson completed 18-of-36 passes in Week 5, going OVER his passing completion total of 17.5 thanks to a pass-heavy offensive approach in the fourth quarter.
With the Jets priced as 8.5-point underdogs, look for offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett to dial up a heavy dosage of passing plays in the second half.
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3. Breece Hall, RB, Jets — UNDER 50.5 rushing yards
Although Hall operated as the Jets' RB1 last week, he still played less than 50 percent of the team's offensive snaps (31 snaps, 49% snap share). Fellow RBs Dalvin Cook and Michael Carter cut into Hall's snap share, and we expect a similar split of the backfield on Sunday night. Couple that with a negative game script that results in the Jets passing at a higher-than-normal rate, and Hall's UNDER 50.5 rushing yardage prop looks like the right side.
4. Isiah Pacheco, RB, Chiefs — OVER 54.5 rushing yards
Betting on Pacheco's OVER might be conflicting since we're also recommending Mahomes' passing yards OVER. However, we think Kansas City mounts a multi-possession lead in the second half, giving Pacheco every opportunity to reach 55-plus rushing yards. Yes, the Jets' run defense has been stingy, allowing the fifth-lowest rush EPA (-2.40), but a potential 15-plus carry night for Pacheco puts him in a prime position to go OVER this number.
