Oh, how the mighty have fallen. The once-promising seasons for the Jets and Bills have gone up in flames, with firefighters hoping to salvage something as they attempt to put out the blaze. With each passing week, more alarms keep going off, indicating just how dire it is. Before 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Sept. 11, both teams were eyeing flights to Vegas for the Super Bowl in February. As we approach their second and final meeting of the 2023 season, it looks like both teams will need to buy a ticket in order to gain entry on Super Bowl Sunday.
Both stories are well documented by now. Of course, the Jets season ended when Aaron Rodgers went down on the fourth play of the year, while the Bills are a more recent entrant into the club. Buffalo's loss last Monday night resulted in a change at offensive coordinator, as Ken Dorsey was fired not even 24 hours later. This spiral doesn't appear to be ending anytime soon, however, with a gauntlet to finish the regular season that looks even worse when Josh Allen can't stop turning the ball over. They are injured and appear emotionally exhausted. Stefon Diggs continues to be a talking point for all the wrong reasons, and we still have more than a month to go. Things could get ugly real fast in western New York, and there aren't enough folding tables in the world for Bills Mafia to take their frustrations out on. There's a real chance their window to win is firmly shut now.
As for the Jets, they'll continue trying to stay afloat as they hold on to the dream that Rodgers can return. However, it means nothing if this offense doesn't start gaining some traction and finding the end zone soon. All in all, a game that was once hyped as a pivotal AFC East matchup is now a loser-leaves-town match with both teams' respective playoff football hopes fading rapidly with a loss. Wonder if that's what Jim Nantz and Tony Romo expected when the schedule was released way back in the spring? You're welcome, America.
Things aren't all bad, though. There are plenty of ways to make some money on this fascinating matchup. That's why we're headed over to Sports Interaction, who will hopefully be in a giving mood when our bets cash on Sunday afternoon.
MORE: Bet the Jets-Bills game on Sports Interaction now!
Best Jets-Bills prop bets Week 11
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction
1. Garrett Wilson, WR, Jets — OVER 64.5 receiving yards (-115)
What do Taylor Swift, Santa Claus, and the Jets have in common? They've all scored the same amount of touchdowns over the past two weeks -- zero. Don't let this drought and hideous offense distract you from the fact that Wilson is actually a great receiver. He's been easily OVER this number in four straight, averaging 90.6 yards per game during that span. More important, Wilson's targets are through the roof, checking in at 13 a game. The Bills have been victimized by receivers in recent weeks and saw Courtland Sutton turn in a solid showing on Monday night, collecting eight catches on 11 targets. With Wilson's increased involvement and the fact that he's seemingly always open, it's up to Zach Wilson to ensure he gets his namesake the ball as Gang Green tries to find the end zone for the first time in a long time. Even against a solid-but-banged-up Bills defense, that volume should be there to cash this OVER with ease.
2. Dalton Kincaid, TE, Bills — OVER 48.5 receiving yards (-120)
The Jets' defense got off to a tough start in 2023, struggling to defend tight ends earlier in the year. That switch has flipped in recent history, as New York has allowed just 22.5 yards per game to TEs in its past four contests. It's a significant decrease from the almost 60 yards per game surrendered earlier this season, but it's also one that's hard to envision continuing in western New York on Sunday. Buffalo will have a bit of a new-look offense thanks to the firing of Dorsey, and it's unclear how that will shift under Joe Brady. The personnel otherwise remains the same, meaning we should still continue to get a heavy dosage of Kincaid in the passing game. The Bills could try to move Diggs to the slot like the Raiders did for Davante Adams on Sunday, but we're opting for the volume Kincaid brings to the folding table this week. The rookie is averaging eight targets and 68 yards per game over the past four games, besting this line in each of them. In many ways, Kincaid has become Buffalo's second option in the passing game behind Diggs. The opportunity here is definitely worth the price of admission.
3. Zach Wilson, QB, Jets — UNDER 0.5 interceptions (+120)
It's not glamorous, but it's honest work. That's our approach to this prop -- one that has been quite profitable this season. Wilson has tossed six interceptions in nine games, and only two of them have come in the past seven games. He isn't having those killer mistakes throwing the ball this season, though fumbling has become a problem at times. Regardless, Wilson has thrown a pick just once in three career games against the Bills, which came in the Week 1 opener this year after Aaron Rodgers went down with a torn Achilles. The Jets' coaching staff appears insistent on coaching the offense to avoid mistakes and play some of the most conservative football you'll ever see, especially in the red zone. Nathaniel Hackett's offense typically opens it up in between the 20s but shuts down in the red zone, opting for a run-run-pass sequence of play calls. Even though the odds are against them, the Jets are still trying to compete for a playoff spot in the unlikely event that Rodgers returns, and even though Wilson has struggled, it hasn't been the interceptions that are a problem. Trust that he won't make the boneheaded mistake on Sunday.
4. James Cook, RB, Bills — OVER 15.5 receiving yards (-120)
One of Allen's biggest issues with facing the Jets' defense is that they force him to play a boring brand of football. It's the reason why Dak Prescott and the Cowboys were so effective in Week 2. The Jets don't blitz often and choose to send four rushers on most plays. As a result, dropping seven in coverage leaves Allen with little opportunity to make the splash plays he craves. It's the reason why we saw him throw three interceptions in Week 1 and the reason why Cook will go OVER this number in Week 11. The best thing Brady could do for this offense on a short week is to get Allen to play boring and take those easy throws. That starts with Cook getting the ball out of the backfield with some screens and quick passes. He went OVER this number in Week 1, his most targeted game of the season to date with six on the night. Cook isn't a consistent option in the passing game, but the Jets have struggled to defend running backs on the ground and through the air, something we're willing to bet will continue in a must-win game for both teams.
