The stores are closing, the food is cooking, and the tree is being decorated. After a marathon sprint to this moment, time is suddenly slowing down as Christmas Day draws near. However, before we can unwrap any gifts, the NFL decided to give us one in advance as the Cowboys visit the Dolphins in Miami in a battle between two teams that haven't solidified their spot on the naughty or nice list. The narratives are certainly out in full force, as one team is going to finally win a big game on the road or defeat a team with a record above .500.
The ghosts of season's past, present, and future are sure to be discussed heavily throughout the contest while we await to see which team ultimately ends up with a lump of coal in their stocking.
As these teams enter the home stretch, the games only heighten in importance. When there's a lot on the line, there's extra motivation to deliver big results. That's why we're headed over to Sports Interaction, looking for some opportunities to profit during Week 16's late Sunday window.
MORE: Bet the Cowboys-Dolphins game on Sports Interaction now!
Best Cowboys-Dolphins prop bets Week 16
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction
1. Jake Ferguson, TE, Cowboys — OVER 43.5 receiving yards (-110)
The Dolphins have been a fairly stingy team against TEs this year but rank right in the middle when it comes to yards allowed. Sitting at 16th in the league, Miami is giving up 49.1 yards per game to the position. Luckily for our sake, Ferguson is one of the busier TEs in the NFL, seeing the seventh-most targets at 5.9 per game. He's gone OVER this number in three straight, and with eight targets in each of those contests, is well-positioned to do it again. In a high-scoring affair, Ferguson should have plenty of chances to deliver in South Beach.
2. Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Cowboys — UNDER 34.5 pass completions (-130)
One of the more interesting things to watch this week is how Kyle Shanahan-disciple Mike McDaniel deals with the Cowboys' defense. The 49ers 42-10 thrashing of this Dallas team will surely be a storyline all day long, especially if things get ugly again. In that meeting, Brock Purdy threw the ball just 24 times, with San Francisco emphasizing the running game. We expect a run-heavy approach from Miami, as well, especially after seeing how Buffalo found success against this defense last week. Better yet, this 34.5 number is propped up by the common belief it will be a high-scoring game. While we share that belief, Tagovailoa has attempted at least 35 passes in just four of his 14 games this season. It could get a little sweaty, but that trend should continue with book out on how to beat Dallas.
3. Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins — To score 2+ touchdowns (+310)
This pick goes hand in hand with our Tagovailoa UNDER. Mostert doesn't have the rushing yard total that you'd like from an RB with his opportunity, but he has a knack for finding the end zone. Despite recording 50 yards or more just once in the past three, Mostert is riding a four-game touchdown streak, scoring twice in three of them. De'Von Achane's presence hasn't changed the outlook for Mostert either, but at -190 to score one TD, we prefer the value on getting two at +310.
4. Cowboys moneyline (-110)
Sunday's game will be a battle between the Cowboys -- who can't win on the road -- and the Dolphins -- who can't beat good teams. The unstoppable force meets immovable object in a clash between two of the media's favorite narratives. The preferred outcome has already been determined, with seemingly everyone on earth using the Cowboys' road woes as the reason to bet the Dolphins. Miami is riding high after crushing the hapless Jets 30-0, while the Cowboys have been dragged all week for their beatdown in Buffalo. The Dolphins didn't need Tyreek Hill to beat the Jets, but his ankle injury could present problems against this Cowboys team that can actually score points. A limited Hill hurts Miami's passing attack and Dallas is ready to avenge a brutal loss. We're also a bit concerned about Tagovailoa's injured offensive line, and there's no real home-field advantage to point to when the Cowboys play. In a high-scoring affair, take the Cowboys to make enough plays to keep pace in the NFC East.
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