We have quite the NFC Championship lined up for us, with the top-seeded 49ers hosting the ever-popular Lions on Sunday night (6:30 p.m. ET, DAZN, TSN, CTV, FOX). Today we will review our six favorite player prop bets from this NFC clash, hopefully helping you make some title-game cash.
Few die-hard football fans would consider themselves shocked at the last two teams standing in the NFC. San Francisco has easily been the team to beat all season, thanks in large part to Christian McCaffrey's brilliance and the continued improvement of Brock Purdy. An elite defense and an embarrassment of offensive playmaking riches never hurt, either. San Fran has the shortest odds to go all the way and raise the Vince Lombardi Trophy (+145).
The Lions, meanwhile, began the season as one of the betting public's favorite Super Bowl picks, and many Detroit fans feel like they're playing with house money in the city's first playoff winning streak since 1991. Jared Goff has revived his career, with the help of stud wideout Amon-Ra St. Brown, elite rookie tight end Sam LaPorta, and the 1-2 running back punch of rookie Jahmyr Gibbs and veteran power back David Montgomery.
MORE NFC CHAMPIONSHIP:
Vinnie Iyer's 49ers-Lions picks | Vinnie's Chiefs-Ravens picks | Bill Bender's best bets
This game seems like it will be much closer than the 49ers' -7 odds suggest, and we can't wait to see what unfolds on Sunday night. Let's get to our six favorite bets for the 49ers-Lions in the NFL Championship Game on Sunday night.
Best bets for Ravens vs. Texans: Top player props
All odds courtesy of Sports Interaction, Canada's most trusted sportsbook. Bet on this weekend's NFL games now!
Christian McCaffrey to score 2+ TDs (+160)
There's no surer bet than CMC near the goal line — we wouldn't even take Jalen Hurts and the tush push over the 2023 NFL leader in TDs (21 in the regular season, two last week). Kyle Shanahan doesn't get cute with the top offensive asset in football, either — when the Niners are close, they're going to McCaffrey.
The presumed Offensive Player of the Year has scored four TDs in San Francisco's past three postseason games, and he registered a first down or touchdown in a whopping 46 of his 63 red-zone totes this regular season. It may seem like a gamble, but we feel that wagering on CMC to score two TDs is an even safer bet in this game than backing any other player to score one.
Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime TD (+125)
The Sun God's props for receiving yardage (83.5) and receptions (7.5) have been priced way out of value — mostly because he has been frickin' awesome — but we're still getting plus odds on ARSB to score. And trust us when we say that's value!
St. Brown has 11 TDs since the start of the 2023 season, and he has scored in five of Detroit's past six games. His target share during that span: 32.4 percent. His red-zone target rate on the season: 31.5 percent. The only reason why this 24-year-old phenom hasn't been more widely discussed (and why he didn't make the Pro Bowl) is because the Lions also have stud rookies Jahmyr Gibbs and Sam LaPorta at running back and tight end.
ARSB knows he should have been selected for the Pro Bowl, though, and not just as an injury replacement. But maybe he will help himself do one better and punch his ticket to the Super Bowl. The 49ers have allowed just 10 rushing TDs since the season began, third-best in the NFL, so the Lions' best wideout will be busy in the scoring zone. Bet the Sun God and watch him shine this Sunday.
Brock Purdy interceptions: OVER 0.5 (-105)
We're going to toe the line of what's accepted in 2024 NFL writing — we're going to criticize Brock Purdy a little bit. Save for the 49ers' last drive of their divisional-round win over the Packers last week, Purdy and the San Francisco passing attack looked downright bad.
Now, a lot of that had to do with Deebo Samuel suffering a shoulder injury, taking a huge weapon off the field and most likely throwing a monkey wrench into Kyle Shanahan's offensive game plan. But Purdy had trouble checking through his progressions, he made poor decisions with the football, and he just flat-out missed his receivers multiple times.
If you reviewed tape from that game and only showed each pass — not the result of the passes — you would assume he threw about three picks. Luckily for him, he squeaked out of the second round with none (like he did in 10 games during the regular season, despite logging 70 poor passes).
We don't expect Purdy's luck to continue, as Aidan Hutchinson will be gunning for Mr. Relevant early and often this Sunday night. Detroit's defense has forced multiple turnovers in four of its past five games, and Dan Campell's squad has six takeaways in its past two road contests. We're Purdy sure they'll intercept the Niners' second-year man at least once.
George Kittle receiving yards: OVER 60.5 (-115)
Kittle has demonstrated time and time again that he's a big-game receiver, and while we won't bet on him to score in back-to-back weeks we are all over his receiving yardage OVER. The stud tight end has exceeded 60 receiving yards per game in 10 of his past 15 games, and he has averaged 80.7 receiving yards per game in his 10 games since Halloween weekend.
Baltimore only surrendered 47.3 yards per game to tight ends, but Kittle is not your typical tight end. With Deebo Samuel banged up and the Ravens probably selling out to contain Christian McCaffrey, Kittle seems like a fantastic bet to best 60 through the air.
Jake Moody total points: OVER 7.5 (-110)
This is an underrated prop, as Moody has been one of the more dependable kickers this season and the 49ers ranked second in total yards and third in scoring on the campaign. The rookie has three key factors on his side: accuracy (21-of-25 FG, 60-of-61 XP this season), range (his long was from 57 yards), and opportunity (he led the NFL in extra points and ranks 12th in total points with 129).
All we need is two field goals and two extra points here, or one field goal and five extra points. Since SIA has San Fran favored by seven with an over/under of 51, the Niners' implied total is 29. It's tough to get to 29 without eight-plus points from your kicker. Smash this OVER like Ace Ventura smashed Ray Finkle in "Ace Ventura."
Fred Warner tackles + assists: OVER 7.5 (-150)
There's a lot of juice here, but we think it's worth the squeeze. Warner would be the frontrunner to win Defensive Player of the Year if not for the fact that the award has turned into "Best Pass-Rusher."
Warner is constantly all over the field, he seems to play a part in every stop, and he has a chance this Sunday to get the sour taste of last year's NFC title game vs. the Eagles out of his mouth. He averaged 8.8 tackles when he played 100 percent of the Niners' defensive snaps this regular season, so we like him to pile up the stops this weekend against the run-heavy Ravens.
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