No. 10 Miami meets No. 11 Iowa State in the Sweet 16 round of the 2022 men's basketball tournament on Friday.
The game is at the United Center in Chicago. Tip off is scheduled for approximately 9:59 p.m. ET, and the game will be televised on TBS.
Miami (25-10) is making its second Sweet 16 appearance under Jim Larranaga, the 72-year-old coach who took George Mason to the Final Four in 2006. The Hurricanes are an experienced team with three senior starters and are the unexpected favorite in this matchup.
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Iowa State (22-12) continues to enjoy a remarkable turnaround from a two-win season in 2021. First-year coach T.J. Otzelberger guided the Cyclones to upsets against No. 6 LSU and No. 3 Wisconsin in the first two rounds. Iowa State also is a team heavy on upperclassmen.
This marks the fourth time a No. 10 seed has played a No. 11 seed with an Elite Eight berth on the line, and the last one also was at the United Center. No. 10 Syracuse beat No. 11 Gonzaga 63-60 en route to a Final Four berth in 2016.
Here's everything to know about betting on Miami vs. Iowa State in the 2022 NCAA Tournament, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for the second-round game.
Miami vs. Iowa State odds
This hasn't moved from its opening line, and the betting trends behind it suggest this will be a toss-up game. Sports Interaction has the latest lines and movement.
- Spread: Miami -2.5
- Over/under: 133
- Moneyline: Miami -150, Iowa State +125
Three betting trends to watch
— The Hurricanes have been a superdog all season, but now they are a surprise favorite. Miami is 15-6 S/U as a favorite, but they are 8-13 ATS.
— Iowa State has been a dangerous underdog throughout the season. The Cyclones are 7-2 S/U and 7-2 ATS in games where they are an underdog of five points or less.
— Iowa State is 11-4 ATS against non-conference opponents this season. Miami is 5-8 ATS against non-conference opponents this season.
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Miami key players
The Hurricanes have an experienced starting five with three transfers in Kameron McGusty, Charlie Moore and Jordan Miller. McGusty leads the Hurricanes with 17.5 points per game. Isaiah Wong (15.5 ppg.), Moore (12.8 ppg.) and Miller (10.1 ppg.) give Miami four guards that average double figures. Sam Waardenburg, a 6-10 center for Auklkand, New Zealand, averages 8.4 points and 4.2 rebounds.
Iowa State key players
The Cyclones have a dynamic guard tandem in senior Izaiah Brockington (17.1 ppg.) and freshman Tyrese Hunter (10.9 ppg.) that carries the scoring load. Hunter hit seven 3-pointers in the first-round victory against LSU. Guards Gabe Kalscheur (9.5 ppg) and Caleb Grill (6.5 ppg.) complete the four-guard attack, and 6-8 senior Aljaz Kunc averages 6.1 points and 3.9 rebounds.
Best individual matchup: Isaiah Wong vs. Izaiah Brockington
Wong and Brockington are effective scorers from the wing, and the head-to-head matchup should be intriguing. Brockington has shot just 27.7% from the floor in Iowa State's last three games, but he's scored 30 or more points twice this season. Wong is another high-volume shooter who is just 31.4% in Miami's last three games. Will one of these wings catch a hot hand?
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Miami vs. Iowa State stat to know
The teams might have similar starting lineups, but they play with contrasting styles. Iowa State is a defense-first team that allowed 62.3 points per game this season. LSU and Wisconsin shot a combined 6 of 41 from 3-point range against the Cyclones last weekend. Miami likes to push the tempo with its offense, which averaged 74.7 ppg. Miami shot 4 of 29 from three-point range in victories against USC and Auburn. They will have to be better than that against Iowa State.
Get to know ... Charlie Moore, G, Miami
Moore is a Chicago native who played at Morgan Park High School. He is a sixth-year player who tried Cal, Kansas and DePaul before finding a home with Miami. He's become a more-efficient scorer who is shooting 45.7% from the floor, and the chance to play for a Final Four close to home is huge. Expect Moore to bring his A-game.
Miami vs. Iowa State prediction
Iowa State was also in the United Center when Syracuse beat Gonzaga in the Sweet 16. The Cyclones lost to Virginia, and now they need to steal a page from the Cavaliers' playbook. Miami is 1-6 when it scores 65 points or less this season. Iowa State is comfortable playing at different speeds, and the key will be weathering an early punch from Miami's up-tempo offense. This might be a game between double-digit seeds, but it's going to be entertaining. Which team can knock down a few 3's in the second half? That will be the difference. We'll go with the Cyclones in yet another upset.
Final score: Iowa State 67, Miami 65
