The final week of the 2022-23 regular season has arrived.
While some teams have already clinched a playoff berth and have an idea of who they could be facing in the first round, there are still a number of teams jockeying for positioning and fighting for their Play-In lives, like the Raptors.
The Raptors have built enough distance between themselves and the Wizards to earn a spot in the Play-In. What remains to be seen is where they finish in the Eastern Conference standings, whether they'll have to win one or two Play-In games to make the playoffs and, of course, who they will face.
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Where Raptors rank in updated Eastern Conference Play-In standings
The Raptors currently have a one-game lead over the Bulls in 10th place. They could still move up to eighth or seventh depending on how the final week of the regular season plays out for them, the Hawks and the Heat.
As detailed here, there is a big difference between finishing in seventh or eighth compared to ninth or 10th. Whereas teams Nos. 7 and 8 will have two opportunities to win one Play-In game, teams Nos. 9 and 10 have to win two Play-In games to make the playoffs.
If the Raptors do make it out of the Play-In Tournament, they'd likely face one of the Bucks, Celtics or 76ers in the first round of the NBA Playoffs.
Seed | Team | Record | Games Back |
---|---|---|---|
1. | Bucks* | 57-22 | — |
2. | Celtics* | 54-25 | 3 |
3. | 76ers* | 52-27 | 5 |
4. | Cavaliers* | 50-30 | 7.5 |
5. | Knicks* | 46-33 | 11 |
6. | Nets | 43-36 | 14 |
7. | Heat | 42-37 | 15 |
8. | Hawks | 40-39 | 17 |
9. | Raptors** | 40-39 | 17 |
10. | Bulls** | 38-41 | 19 |
— | 34-45 | 23 | |
— | 34-45 | 23 | |
— | 34-45 | 22.5 | |
*clinched NBA Playoff berth
** clinched Play-In berth
Eliminated from NBA Playoff contention: Pacers, Wizards, Magic, Hornets, Pistons
What are the Raptors' NBA Playoff and Play-In Tournament chances?
Basketball Reference's Playoff Probabilities Report is based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
That currently gives the Raptors a 36.5 percent chance of finishing at No. 8, a 39.4 percent chance of finishing at No. 9, and a 22.4 percent chance of finishing at No. 10.
The Raptors made the playoffs in 47.4 percent of Basketball Reference's simulations. FiveThirtyEight's forecast is slightly lower, giving Toronto a 44 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Raptors tiebreakers and head-to-head records with Bulls, Hawks and Heat
As things currently stand, the Raptors would have to defeat the Bulls in the first round of the Play-In Tournament and then either the Heat or Hawks in the second round to make the NBA Playoffs.
Here's how the Raptors fared against each team this season...
Bulls (2-1)
Nov. 6: Raptors 113, Bulls 104
Without Pascal Siakam, Fred VanVleet led the Raptors to victory with a 30-point, 11-assist double-double.
Fred VanVleet in the Raptors win Sunday:
— NBA (@NBA) November 7, 2022
30 PTS
5 REB
11 AST
5 3PM pic.twitter.com/yGUnSIC1bc
Nov. 7: Bulls 111, Raptors 97
Zach LaVine scored 30 points in a blowout win over the Raptors, who were without Siakam once again.
Feb. 28: Raptors 104, Bulls 98
The Raptors overcame a poor shooting night by dominating the Bulls on the offensive glass (19) and forcing 19 turnovers.
Hawks (1-2)
Oct. 31: Raptors 139, Hawks 109
Siakam's 31-point, 12-rebound double-double powered the Raptors to a 30-point win.
Pascal Siakam tallied 31 PTS, 2 3PT, 12 REB, 6 AST & 2 BLK in the Raptors big win over Atlanta! @Raptors | #WeTheNorth pic.twitter.com/CqBTbu1OC8
— NBA Canada (@NBACanada) November 1, 2022
Nov. 19: Hawks 124, Raptors 122 (OT)
Trae Young posted game-highs of 33 points and 12 assists, but rookie AJ Griffin played the hero with a game-winner in overtime.
AJ Griffin reacts to his first career #TissotBuzzerBeater!
— NBA (@NBA) January 14, 2023
(half a season in, he already has two 🤯)
HAWKS/RAPTORS, 7:30pm/et, NBA App pic.twitter.com/zGwzt7gyBO
Jan. 14: Hawks 114, Raptors 103
Young and Dejounte Murray combined for 56 points as the Hawks clinched their season series with the Raptors.
Heat (3-1)
Oct. 22: Heat 112, Raptors 109
A near triple-double from Siakam wasn't enough as Jimmy Butler scored a team-high 24 points and Max Strus contributed with 20 points off the bench.
Oct. 24: Raptors 98, Heat 90
The Raptors outscored the Heat 27-14 in the fourth quarter to come away with a comeback win.
Nov. 16: Raptors 112, Heat 104
O.G. Anunoby recorded his first 30-point game of the season and pulled down 10 rebounds to lead the Raptors to victory.
OG Anunoby posted a 30-point double-double in a @Raptors win 🔥
— NBA Fantasy (@NBAFantasy) November 17, 2022
32 PTS | 10 REB | 3 AST | 72% FG | 48.5 FPTS#WeTheNorth pic.twitter.com/TtfL1dPWF7
March 28: Raptors 106, Heat 92
Scottie Barnes dished out a career-best 12 assists as the Raptors took advantage of the Heat being without Butler.
Look at Scottie dawg...
— Toronto Raptors (@Raptors) March 29, 2023
Some of his 12 assists from last night 👀 pic.twitter.com/4tUxxCu8FY
MORE: Explaining tiebreaker rules ahead of 2023 NBA Playoffs
Raptors remaining 2022-23 schedule
Here are the final games remaining on Toronto's schedule:
Date | Opponent | Time (ET) |
April 5 | at Celtics | 7:30 p.m. |
April 7 | at Celtics | 7:30 p.m. |
April 9 | vs. Bucks | 1 p.m. |