Best MLB World Series prop bets today: Brandon Pfaadt, Corey Seager highlight top Game 3 picks

Nick Musial

Best MLB World Series prop bets today: Brandon Pfaadt, Corey Seager highlight top Game 3 picks image

Happy Sports Equinox! What better way to celebrate the only day in 2023 when all four major U.S. sports are in action than by putting your favorite picks into a Fantasy Props parlay on SuperDraft, particularly props for tonight's World Series Game 3. Tonight's series-shifting World Series matchup sweetens up an already-loaded sports day, and we've pinpointed several worthwhile opportunities within SuperDraft's player prop markets.

SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay, the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep is challenging. If you were to put down a $20 entry fee and all four of our props below hit, you'd get a $200 payout.

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Below, we'll break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Game 3 of the World Series. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.

 

 

 

Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Diamondbacks-Rangers Game 3

*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks

1. Brandon Pfaadt, SP, Diamondbacks - UNDER 4.5 strikeouts

Pfaadt's been a revelation this postseason, allowing two runs over 16.2 innings in the Diamondbacks' World Series surge, but we're skeptical of his chances of totaling five-plus strikeouts tonight. While he looks like an entirely different pitcher this postseason, Torey Lovuallo's reluctance to let Pfaadt work through the order a third time complicates his chances of hitting this OVER.

Pfaadt owns an 11.15 ERA with a .397 opponent average the third time through the order, so there's a good chance we see fewer than five innings from him tonight. Against a Rangers offense that ended the regular season owning the lowest chase rate (25.5%) and eighth-lowest whiff rate (24.4%), their disciplined approach hurts Pfaadt's strikeout abilities.

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2. Corey Seager, SS, Rangers - OVER 1.5 bases

After serving as one of the Rangers' Game 1 heroes following his clutch ninth-inning home run, Seager went 0-for-4 in Game 2, but we expect the Diamondbacks to feel the superstar shortstop's presence in Game 3. Seager's ability to grind out at-bats by consistently putting the ball in play (16.4% K-rate; 84th percentile) boosts his chances of totaling two-plus bases on Monday night. 

The former Dodger has had plenty of at-bats inside Chase Field and has seen the ball well there, owning a .298 batting average (51 hits) in 45 career games. That level of comfort at the plate in Arizona certainly isn't a negative.

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3. Evan Longoria, 3B, Diamondbacks - UNDER 0.5 bases

Although Longoria's gone OVER 0.5 bases in consecutive games, he's still hitting .163 this postseason (7-for-43), making his UNDER 0.5 bases an intriguing player prop in Game 3. His veteran presence and reliable defense have helped the Diamondbacks reach the Fall Classic, but Longo's offense leaves a lot to be desired.

There's a chance he only gets three at-bats tonight in the eight-hole, and there's always the chance fellow third baseman Emmanuel Rivera takes over his spot in the late innings. 

4. Marcus Semien, SS, Rangers - OVER 0.5 singles 

Semien's starting to find his groove at this dish, riding a four-game hit streak into Game 3. We like Semien's chances of extending that streak to five, totaling at least one single tonight. Semien did record one single against Pfaadt in the rookie's MLB debut. While the postseason version of Pfaadt looks vastly different, Semien's encouraging track record gives us confidence in replicating his success.

Nick Musial

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Nick Musial is a Content Producer at The Sporting News. He recently joined the team after studying sport management and journalism at the University of Kansas. Nick’s an avid sports bettor who’s always looking for value.