Friday night's 14-game MLB slate offers a plethora of worthwhile betting opportunities for DFS player prop bettors on SuperDraft. With SuperDraft posting its typical slew of total base, strikeout, and fantasy point props, we've pinpointed several we feel yield value, hopefully resulting in some extra DFS cash at the end of the night. Users who sign up for SuperDraft can pick their favorite over/unders via SuperDraft's Fantasy Props feature, bringing them closer to the action while having a chance to win cash prizes.
SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay, the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep is challenging.
Below, we'll break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Friday night's MLB slate. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.
Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Friday 7/21
*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks
1. Kyle Bradish, SP, Orioles @ Rays - OVER 5.5 strikeouts
Bradish and the first-place Orioles look to extend their lead in the AL East race against a declining Rays offense that's ranked four percent below the league average in wRC+ (96) over the past two weeks. Tampa's also ranked in the bottom half of the league in K-rate over that span (23.4), most recently fanning 13 times in Thursday's 4-3 extra-inning loss.
Bradish enters Friday night off his most complete outing of the season against the Marlins last week, shutting them out over 7.1 innings, allowing just three hits while striking out eight (83 game score). Bradish has fared well in the strikeout department against current Rays hitters, owning a 23.1 percent K-rate over 52 previous plate appearances. He's also missing bats at a high rate of late, going OVER 5.5 Ks in five of his past seven outings.
MORE SUPERDRAFT DFS & FANTASY PROPS: How to play SuperDraft
2. Shohei Ohtani, SP, Angels vs. Pirates - OVER 7.5 strikeouts
The runaway AL MVP favorite draws a juicy matchup against an ice-cold Pirates offense whose isolated power numbers over the past two weeks (0.75 ISO) rank 30th in MLB. Pittsburgh's inability to string together consecutive base knocks could mean we see Ohtani work into the seventh tonight, giving him a real chance to eclipse 7.5 strikeouts.
Along with boasting an elite 32.2-percent K-rate (95th percentile), in the 13 starts in which Ohtani has completed six full innings this season, he's gone OVER 7.5 Ks in eight of them. We're fairly confident he can breeze through a Pirates offense ranking 52 percent below the league average in wRC+ over the past two weeks, resulting in an eight-plus strikeout night for the game's most dynamic player.
3. Marcus Semien, 2B, Rangers vs. Dodgers - OVER 1.5 bases
Outside of his most recent start against a lackluster Mets offense, Dodgers' righthander Tony Gonsolin has allowed 19 earned runs on 24 hits over his past four starts. Against a well-rounded Rangers offense ranking fifth in isolated power (.188 ISO) with a 122 wRC+, Gonsolin might be in for another rocky outing.
Semien could be one of the Rangers' who takes advantage of Gonsolin's cold stretch, splitting a gap en route to two-plus total bases. Gonsolin's struggling to miss bats this season, sitting in the 15th percentile in whiff rate and 22nd percentile in K-rate, as Texas' leadoff hitters will likely put some balls in play tonight. Semien's enjoyed hitting inside Globe Life Field in his second season with the Rangers, batting .285 with a .806 OPS at home. Back the All-Star middle-infielder to have his way against the struggling Gonsolin.
4. Luis Arraez, 2B, Marlins vs. Rockies - OVER 1.5 bases
We're backing the singles machine to churn out two-plus bases on Friday night to help the Marlins end their six-game losing skid. Arraez did his part at the plate in Wednesday's series finale against St. Louis, going two-for-five with a double and an RBI, but Miami's pitching staff couldn't hold down the surging Cardinals' offense.
The Marlins' offensive output in their weekend series opener against Peter Lambert and the Rockies should lead them back into the win column. Lambert's allowed opposing hitters to rack up a 13.9-percent barrel rate and a 51.5-percent hard-hit rate, and against the stingiest hitter in the game, who's striking out at a 5.6-percent clip, bank on Arraez to do his thing and record two-plus total bases.
