Who will win the Masters in 2024? Odds, betting favorites, expert picks and more to know

Jacob Camenker

Who will win the Masters in 2024? Odds, betting favorites, expert picks and more to know image

Jon Rahm earned his second major win at the Masters in 2023, establishing himself as one of the top golfers in the world with an impressive four-shot victory.

Much has changed since Rahm's excellent final round at Augusta National Golf Club. He left the PGA Tour to join the Saudi-backed LIV Golf tour and hasn't played against PGA Tour opponents since he tied for 18th at the Tour Championship in East Lake in August.

Now, Rahm will look to defend his Masters title, something no player has achieved since Tiger Woods did so in 2000 and 2001.

Rahm will have plenty of competition for the green jacket. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is playing the best golf of his career; Rory McIlroy will come in extra motivated to complete the career Grand Slam; and players like Brooks Koepka, Wyndham Clark and Will Zalatoris always seem to be in the mix for a title when the majors roll around.

Will Rahm repeat as champion to give LIV Golf its second win at a major, or will Scheffler and the PGA Tour continue to scoop up hardware at Augusta? The Sporting News breaks down the odds and best bets to win the Masters in 2024.

MORE: Ranking the top 30 players in the 2024 Masters field

Masters Tournament odds 2024

Scottie Scheffler (+400) enters the Masters as a heavy favorite to win the event, according to odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. The World No. 1 golfer has been hot to start the 2024 PGA Tour season, finishing top 10 in seven of his eight tournaments and winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship in back-to-back weeks.

Scheffler's main challengers are expected to be Jon Rahm (+1100) and Rory McIlroy (+1100). Rahm is the reigning Masters champion and has performed well since his defection to LIV Golf, finishing no worse than tied for eight in his four tournaments to date.

Meanwhile, McIlroy has never won the Masters but needs to do so to complete the career Grand Slam. He has missed the cut in two of the last three quests for the green jacket, but sandwiched between those two missed cuts was a second-place finish.

Xander Schauffele (+1800), Jordan Spieth (+2000) and Brooks Koepka (+2000) are the only other golfers with better than 20-1 odds to win the event. Tiger Woods (+12500) and Phil Mickelson (+12500) are both consider long shots to take home the green jacket.

Below are the odds for the top golfers in this year's Masters tournament. Only competitors with odds of 100-1 or better odds are listed.

Golfer Odds
Scottie Scheffler +400
Jon Rahm +1200
Rory McIlroy +1200
Xander Schauffele +1800
Jordan Spieth +2000
Brooks Koepka +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Cameron Smith +2500
Will Zalatoris +2500
Justin Thomas +2500
Ludvig Aberg +2500
Wyndham Clark +2500
Viktor Hovland +2800
Collin Morikawa +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Joaquin Niemann +2800
Cameron Young +3300
Tony Finau +3300
Jason Day +3300
Dustin Johnson +3300
Bryson DeChambeau +3300
Max Homa +3500
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Shane Lowry +4000
Sam Burns +5000
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Sahith Theegala +5000
Brian Harman +5000
Min Woo Lee +5000
Sungjae Im +5500
Tom Kim +6600
Corey Conners +6600
Justin Rose +6600
Patrick Reed +6600
Rickie Fowler +6600
Russell Henley +8000
Adam Scott +8000
Cam Davis +8000
Stephan Jaeger +8000
Chris Kirk +10000
Si Woo Kim +10000
Tiger Woods +10000
Phil Mickelson +10000
J.T. Poston +10000
Eric Cole +10000
Nick Taylor +10000
Nicolai Hojgaard +10000

Masters course breakdown: Augusta National Golf Club

As always, the Masters will be played at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Ga. The course is a par-72 layout that will play at 7,555 yards in length. It is one of the PGA Tour's longest courses and contains four par-5 holes and three par-4 holes that are at least 495 yards long.

Augusta's course length will allow the game's bigger hitters to find a lot of success at the course. Those with great driving distance can take advantage of the course's wider fairways while those who produce the most strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) should set themselves up for shorter, easier approach shots.

Speaking of the approach game, it will be important at Augusta, per usual. Why? Because putting at Augusta is fairly easy provided that you can get the ball within 10 feet of the hole, per Mark Broadie of Golf.com. That said, Augusta is known for having the highest three-putt rate of any PGA Tour course, so it will be important for golfers to minimize the distance of putts they have to make during the event.

The best way to do that? Snuggle the ball up to the hole on the approach shot. That will make stats such as strokes gained on approach (SG:APP) and average proximity to the hole among the most important stats to evaluate during the tournament. It will also put a premium on hitting greens in regulation (GIR), as players who hit the green at a high rate will avoid scrambling for tough chip shots;

Finally, it will be important to evaluate which players are the best at avoiding three-putts given that they happen at a higher rate than average at Augusta National. Paying attention to which players have the best putting stats from inside of 10 feet will also give bettors an advantage in this matchup.

Wyndham Clark
(Getty Images)

Masters expert picks

Below is a breakdown of the best candidates to consider betting in this year's Masters field. You can feel free to bet them all as winners, but some are better options on betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers, or DFS value picks.

Masters best bets to win tournament

Yes, it's boring, but if you're planning to bet on the Masters, Scottie Scheffler (+400) should probably be on your card. The World No. 1 golfer has won two of his last three tournaments and nearly made it three with a T-2nd finish at the Houston Open.

Scheffler ranks No. 1 on the PGA Tour in SG:APP and GIR percentage and has consistently ranked top-five in SG:OTT over the last few seasons. His putting used to be a weakness compared to his tee-to-green game, but a change to a mallet putter appears to have him catching fire with the short stick at the right time.

Add in that Scheffler won the Masters in 2022 and he seems like a safe bet to contend. Getting 4-1 odds on him may not seem ideal, but unless he endures a difficult opening to the tournament, it's hard to imagine getting him at a better price.

Elsewhere, backing the reigning Masters champion Jon Rahm (+1100) seems like a solid move. He dominated on the course last year in his four-stroke win and he has predictably succeeded on the LIV Golf tour, logging four top-8 finishes in four tournament appearances.

Again, these picks may not be adventurous, but odds are that both Scheffler and Rahm will be in contention throughout the weekend. That makes them safe bets and quality hedges for longer-shot winners on each bettor's card.

BUY NOW: Cheapest ticket prices for Masters 2024

Masters value picks for top-10 finish, DFS lineups

Those looking for a bit more value than Scheffler and Rahm may want to consider Xander Schauffele (+1800). The World No. 5 golfer hasn't yet won a major but he routinely plays well at them, logging 11 top-10 finishes across the four events since 2017.

Schauffele's well-rounded game is a good fit for Augusta. He ranks top-10 in SG:OTT and top-20 in SG:APP, so his tee-to-green game can put him on par with Scheffler and Rahm, albeit with a bit less length than the other big boppers.

What really could separate Schauffele is his ability to avoid three-putting. He has three-putted just three times in 486 holes on the PGA Tour this season, good for a mark of 0.62 percent, entering the Masters. That's the lowest three-putt percentage on the tour.

Similarly, Wyndham Clark (+2500) is a player worth considering as a mid-tier value. Clark ranks top-15 in both driving distance and SG:OTT, so that will give him an advantage on the longer holes at the Masters.

Clark also ranks top-15 in GIR percentage and SG:Putting while ranking top-40 in proximity to the hole. If he is dialed in, he should set himself up for some easier putts and should be able to go low. That makes his 25-1 price-tag an excellent value and potential steal.

Masters sleeper picks

Sahith Theegala (+5000) is an intriguing sleeper option for the Masters. The 26-year-old made his tournament debut in 2023 and earned a ninth-place finish while showcasing his game is a good fit for the Augusta National course.

Theegala ranks top-20 in SG:OTT, GIR percentage and SG:Putting. There isn't much of a weakness in his rounded skill set — save for maybe his ability to make plays consistently when he misses the green.

Theegala has four top-10 finishes in nine events this season and just one missed cut. His recent form should provide him a boost as he looks to win his first-ever major tournament.

If you're looking g for a mega long-shot, Si Woo Kim (+10000) is worth considering. Kim's 149th-ranked driver distance may make some wonder why that's the case, but his tee-to-green accuracy — 12th in SG:OTT and top-30 in SG:APP and GIR percentage — should allow him plenty of scoring chances.

The main concern with Kim? He ranks a poor 138th in SG:Putting for the season. That said, he has the 12th-highest three-putt avoidance rate on the PGA Tour, so if he is a bit hotter than usual with his short stick, he could put himself in contention.

At the very least, consider Kim for a potential top-20 finish bet. He and Theegala will provide value in that category as they look to separate themselves in the field of less than 100 golfers.

Masters Tournament winners by year

Jon Rahm is the reigning Masters champion. He won the event by four strokes over Brooks Koepka in 2023. It marked Rahm's second career major win and his last before he left the PGA Tour to join the upstart, Saudi-backed LIV Golf circuit.

Rahm will be at the Masters in 2024 and will attempt to become the first back-to-back winner of the event since Tiger Woods, who accomplished the fear in 2000 and 2001.

Woods is also expected to be in the field as he attempts to win his sixth Masters. That would tie him with Jack Nicklaus for the most green jacket wins of all time.

Woods last won the Masters during his shocking 2019 victory at Augusta. Since then, Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, Hideki Matsuyama and Dustin Johnson have all won the tournament.

Below is a look at every Masters winner since the event began in 1934.

Year Winner Score
2023 Jon Rahm -12
2022 Scottie Scheffler -10
2021 Hideki Matsuyama -10
2020 Dustin Johnson -20
2019 Tiger Woods -13
2018 Patrick Reed -15
2017 Sergio Garcia -9
2016 Danny Willett -5
2015 Jordan Spieth -18
2014 Bubba Watson -8
2013 Adam Scott -9
2012 Bubba Watson -10
2011 Charl Schwartzel -14
2010 Phil Mickelson -16
2009 Angel Cabrera -12
2008 Trevor Immelman -8
2007 Zach Johnson +1
2006 Phil Mickelson -7
2005 Tiger Woods -12
2004 Phil Mickelson -9
2003 Mike Weir -7
2002 Tiger Woods -12
2001 Tiger Woods -16
2000 Vijay Singh -10
1999 José María Olazábal -8
1998 Mark O'Meara -9
1997 Tiger Woods -18
1996 Nick Faldo -12
1995 Ben Crenshaw -14
1994 José María Olazábal -9
1993 Bernhard Langer -11
1992 Fred Couples -13
1991 Ian Woosnam -11
1990 Nick Faldo -10
1989 Nick Faldo -5
1988 Sandy Lyle -7
1987 Larry Mize -3
1986 Jack Nicklaus -9
1985 Bernhard Langer -6
1984 Ben Crenshaw -11
1983 Seve Ballesteros -8
1982 Craig Stadler -4
1981 Tom Watson -8
1980 Seve Ballesteros -13
1979 Fuzzy Zoeller -8
1978 Gary Player -11
1977 Tom Watson -12
1976 Raymond Floyd -17
1975 Jack Nicklaus -12
1974 Gary Player -10
1973 Tommy Aaron -5
1972 Jack Nicklaus -2
1971 Charles Coody -9
1970 Billy Casper -9
1969 George Archer -7
1968 Bob Goalby -11
1967 Gay Brewer -8
1966 Jack Nicklaus E
1965 Jack Nicklaus -17
1964 Arnold Palmer -12
1963 Jack Nicklaus -2
1962 Arnold Palmer -8
1961 Gary Player -8
1960 Arnold Palmer -6
1959 Art Wall Jr. -4
1958 Arnold Palmer -4
1957 Doug Ford -5
1956 Jack Burke Jr. +1
1955 Cary Middlecoff -9
1954 Sam Snead +1
1953 Ben Hogan -14
1952 Sam Snead -2
1951 Ben Hogan -8
1950 Jimmy Demaret -5
1949 Sam Snead -6
1948 Claude Harmon -9
1947 Jimmy Demaret -7
1946 Herman Keiser -6
1942 Byron Nelson -8
1941 Craig Wood -8
1940 Jimmy Demaret -8
1939 Ralph Guldahl -9
1938 Henry Picard -3
1937 Byron Nelson -5
1936 Horton Smith -3
1935 Gene Sarazen -6
1934 Horton Smith -4

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Jacob Camenker

Jacob Camenker Photo

Jacob Camenker first joined The Sporting News as a fantasy football intern in 2018 after his graduation from UMass. He became a full-time employee with TSN in 2021 and now serves as a senior content producer with a particular focus on the NFL. Jacob worked at NBC Sports Boston as a content producer from 2019 to 2021. He is an avid fan of the NFL Draft and ranked 10th in FantasyPros’ Mock Draft Accuracy metric in both 2021 and 2022.