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Today's MLB DFS Picks: DraftKings, FanDuel advice for Wednesday, June 5
SP: Jimmy Nelson, Brewers vs. Marlins. Obviously, everything about this play is risky, but are we expecting the Marlins to score 16 runs again? They rank last in OPS and 28th in wRC+ versus righthanders this year, so Nelson has that going for him. Back in 2017 before his injury he averaged 10.2 K/9, which is quite impressive, and he’s shown a lot of the same stuff at the Triple-A level this season, averaging 10.9. As long as there isn’t a pitch count, Nelson is firmly in play here.
C: Matt Wieters, Cardinals vs. Reds. Considering Anthony DeSclafani’s struggles against lefty batters, Wieters is in play here. He’s also been strong against RHP, batting .361 with a .431 wOBA, which correlates perfectly with DeSlafan’s .321 BAA and .441 wOBA against LHH.
MORE WEDNESDAY MLB: SP rankings | Betting picks
1B: Daniel Murphy, Rockies @ Cubs. Again, I like Yu Darvish, but it’s hard to ignore Murphy’s latest stretch of games. Over the past five, he’s driven in 10 runs and has at least one hit in each. Lefties have a .370 wOBA vs. Darvish this year, and that’s not uncharted territory, as last year he gave up a .366 mark and a .333 the season before.
2B: Brandon Lowe, Rays @ Tigers. Lowe’s opponent in Spencer Turnbull is having a very strong season, but he has struggled against lefthanded swingers which is where Lowe has thrived. He’s batting .286 with a very strong .378 wOBA against them. Tampa Bay has one of the better team totals on the slate, and it’s only rising as the day has progressed.
SS: Javier Baez, Cubs vs. Rockies. Even in a tough matchup I’d be willing to roll with Baez based on his price. He’s homered in back-to-back games and has now raised his average at home to .336 with an OPS over 1.018. Righties have a 39.7-percent hard-hit rate against German Marquez this year.
3B: Asdrubal Cabrera, Rangers vs. Orioles. As the weather gets warmer so does Cabrera’s bat. He’s hitting .353 over his past 10 games and has a .917 OPS over the past 14 days. The Rangers have a strong five implied run total and face off against John Means -- and once Means is out, arguably the worst bullpen in the league.
OF: Michael Brantley, Astros @ Mariners. Brantley continues to hit batting .368 over his past 10 games raising his average to .332. He’s shown more power against RHPs, belting eight of his 10 this year against them with a .398 wOBA. Seattle, surprisingly, has catered to the hitters this year, ranking in the top five in runs and home runs per game. I really like Josh Reddick and Derek Fisher, as well, in this game.
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| Pos | Player | Matchup | Opp. SP | DK | FD | Y! | ANALYSIS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | C. Morton (R) | TB@DET Wed 7:10 | S. Turnbull (R) | $11600 | $10400 | $55 | UPGRADE | |
| SP | J. Paxton (L) | NYY@TOR Wed 7:07 | T. Thornton (R) | $11300 | $10000 | $55 | UPGRADE | |
| SP | C. Sale (L) | BOS@KC Wed 8:15 | J. Junis (R) | $10600 | $11500 | $62 | UPGRADE | |
| SP | J. Nelson (R) | MIA@MIL Wed 7:40 | S. Alcantara (R) | $8200 | $8500 | $33 | See above | |
| SP | M. Pérez (L) | MIN@CLE Wed 7:10 | T. Clippard (R) | $7400 | $8900 | $40 | UPGRADE | |
| SP | Y. Darvish (R) | COL@CHI Wed 8:05 | G. Márquez (R) | $7100 | $8200 | $37 | UPGRADE | |
| SP | J. Vargas (L) | SF@NYM Wed 7:10 | T. Beede (R) | $7200 | $6400 | $31 | UPGRADE | |
| C | G. Sánchez (R) | NYY@TOR Wed 7:07 | T. Thornton (R) | $5600 | $4300 | $21 | UPGRADE | |
| C | E. Díaz (R) | ATL@PIT Wed 7:05 | K. Gausman (R) | $3500 | $2500 | $12 | UPGRADE | |
| C | P. Severino (R) | BAL@TEX Wed 8:05 | M. Minor (L) | $3500 | $2700 | $11 | UPGRADE | |
| C | W. Ramos (R) | SF@NYM Wed 7:10 | T. Beede (R) | $4500 | $2600 | $18 | UPGRADE | |
| C | M. Wieters (B) | CIN@STL Wed 8:15 | A. DeSclafani (R) | $3800 | $2600 | $14 | See above | |
| 1B | F. Freeman (L) | ATL@PIT Wed 7:05 | J. Musgrove (R) | $5400 | $4300 | $21 | UPGRADE | |
| 1B | J. Choi (L) | TB@DET Wed 7:10 | S. Turnbull (R) | $3800 | $2800 | $13 | UPGRADE | |
| 1B | P. Alonso (R) | SF@NYM Wed 7:10 | T. Beede (R) | $5500 | $3900 | $21 | UPGRADE | |
| 1B | T. Austin (R) | SF@NYM Wed 7:10 | J. Vargas (L) | $4200 | $2500 | $14 | UPGRADE | |
| OF | G. Cooper (R) | MIA@MIL Wed 7:40 | J. Nelson (R) | $3900 | $3100 | $14 | UPGRADE | |
| 1B | D. Murphy (L) | COL@CHI Wed 8:05 | Y. Darvish (R) | $4300 | $3500 | $12 | See above | |
| 2B | B. Lowe (L) | TB@DET Wed 7:10 | S. Turnbull (R) | $4400 | $3400 | $15 | See above | |
| 2B | M. Moustakas (L) | MIA@MIL Wed 7:40 | S. Alcantara (R) | $5600 | $4000 | $20 | UPGRADE | |
| 2B | S. Castro (R) | MIA@MIL Wed 7:40 | J. Nelson (R) | $3100 | $2800 | $7 | UPGRADE | |
| 2B | H. Alberto (R) | BAL@TEX Wed 8:05 | M. Minor (L) | $3200 | $2400 | $7 | UPGRADE | |
| 3B | R. Devers (L) | BOS@KC Wed 8:15 | J. Junis (R) | $5300 | $3900 | $25 | UPGRADE | |
| 3B | A. Bregman (R) | HOU@SEA Wed 10:10 | M. Leake (R) | $5200 | $4300 | $24 | UPGRADE | |
| 3B | M. Carpenter (L) | CIN@STL Wed 8:15 | A. DeSclafani (R) | $4300 | $3200 | $16 | UPGRADE | |
| 3B | A. Cabrera (B) | BAL@TEX Wed 8:05 | J. Means (L) | $4200 | $3300 | $14 | See above | |
| 3B | M. Gonzalez (B) | MIN@CLE Wed 7:10 | T. Clippard (R) | $3800 | $2700 | $13 | UPGRADE | |
| 3B | C. Moran (L) | ATL@PIT Wed 7:05 | K. Gausman (R) | $4100 | $2800 | $16 | UPGRADE | |
| SS | J. Báez (R) | COL@CHI Wed 8:05 | G. Márquez (R) | $4300 | $4000 | $13 | See above | |
| SS | F. Lindor (B) | MIN@CLE Wed 7:10 | M. Pérez (L) | $4600 | $3700 | $20 | UPGRADE | |
| SS | O. Arcia (R) | MIA@MIL Wed 7:40 | S. Alcantara (R) | $4100 | $2700 | $15 | UPGRADE | |
| SS | L. Forsythe (R) | BAL@TEX Wed 8:05 | J. Means (L) | $4400 | $2900 | $17 | UPGRADE | |
| OF | C. Yelich (L) | MIA@MIL Wed 7:40 | S. Alcantara (R) | $6000 | $4900 | $27 | UPGRADE | |
| OF | S. Marte (R) | ATL@PIT Wed 7:05 | K. Gausman (R) | $5100 | $3700 | $20 | UPGRADE | |
| OF | A. Meadows (L) | TB@DET Wed 7:10 | S. Turnbull (R) | $5800 | $4400 | $27 | UPGRADE | |
| OF | A. Benintendi (L) | BOS@KC Wed 8:15 | J. Junis (R) | $4600 | $3700 | $18 | UPGRADE | |
| OF | D. Dahl (L) | COL@CHI Wed 8:05 | Y. Darvish (R) | $4600 | $3600 | $18 | UPGRADE | |
| OF | M. Brantley (L) | HOU@SEA Wed 10:10 | M. Leake (R) | $4600 | $3900 | $19 | See above | |
| OF | J. Winker (L) | CIN@STL Wed 8:15 | D. Hudson (R) | $3800 | $2500 | $12 | UPGRADE |
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