Today's MLB DFS Picks: Advice, strategy for Thursday's DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy baseball contests

James Grande

Today's MLB DFS Picks: Advice, strategy for Thursday's DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy baseball contests image

Editor's Note: This is a FREE preview of Thursday's Fantasy Alarm's MLB DFS Playbook. For full analysis every day and more ways to dominate your daily fantasy baseball competition, check out DFS site-specific advice and the rest of Fantasy Alarm's great season-long and DFS tools available to subscribers.

SIGN UP for a FREE 30-day trial of DAZN and watch LIVE baseball games and programming on MLB Network

Today's MLB DFS Picks: DraftKings, FanDuel advice for Thursday, June 13

SP: Homer Bailey, Royals vs. Tigers. Bailey is risky, which isn't a sercet I’m letting anyone in on. He can be hit by anybody, even the lowly Tigers offense. Bailey does have the benefit of pitching at home, which everyone can appreciate considering there have only been 60 home runs hit at Kauffman Stadium, the third fewest at any ballpark in the league. Bailey picked up a win against Detroit earlier in the year, allowing two earned over six innings. If we got that again out of him, chalk it up as a massive win. Oh, by the way, the Tigers rank 28th in wRC+ against righthanded hurlers this season, just for the record.

C: Travis d'Arnaud, Rays vs. Angels. d’Arnaud has become the guy behind the plate for the Rays, and he's taken advantage of it. He’s slashing .333/.385/.697 over his past 10 games with three home runs, three doubles and 11 RBIs. d’Arnaud has faced Skaggs three times and has taken him deep once.

MORE THURSDAY MLB: SP rankings

1B: Luke Voit, Yankees vs. White Sox. It’s very hard to ignore the fact that Ivan Nova has a 6.28 ERA, allows 1.63 HR/9, and allows hard contact 34.5 percent of the time. Righties have a .302 average, .840 OPS and .364 wOBA off of Nova. Voit has monster numbers vs. RHP himself, notching a .908 OPS, .249 ISO & 143 wRC+.

2B: Eric Sogard, Blue Jays @ Orioles. He has to be mispriced on DK because nobody is paying $5.1K for him, but $3.2K on FD is very reasonable. He’s riding high right now, slashing .353/.343/.588 over his past 10 games, including two home runs and a stolen base.

SS: Niko Goodrum, Tigers @ Royals. We’re unsure if he’s going to play, but it was only a bruised knee so how long will he be out? Goodrum has been rollin’ at the dish, batting .341 with a .996 OPS over his past 10 games. He’s cheap across the industry even in a meeting with Homer Bailey.

3B: Manny Machado, Padres @ Rockies. Look, it’s been a down year. I get it. Maybe this is the perfect time for a Coors trip? Machado has been better away from San Diego this year, batting .271 with a .364 wOBA and has a meeting with Jon Gray who has struggled more against righties, allowing a .338 wOBA. Stacking SD could be a profitable approach tonight.

OF: Michael Conforto, Mets vs. Cardinals. He’s been really good against RHP all year, and his meeting with Jack Flaherty is a good one. Flaherty is allowing 2.2 HR/9 and 47-percent hard-hit rate to lefties this season. Conforto has a .406 wOBA against LHP and is a prime HR candidate here. Dom Smith from the Mets is also hitting righties well and is in play.

MORE: Fantasy Alarm PRO tools

For more player recommendations and analysis, become a Fantasy Alarm subscriber today!                                                                                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 
Pos  Player Matchup Opp. SP DK FD Y! Analysis
SP M. Boyd (L) DET@KC
Thu 8:05
H. Bailey (R) $10700 $10500 $53  
SP J. deGrom (R) STL@NYM
Thu 7:10
J. Flaherty (R) $10400 $10200 $53  
SP D. Price (L) TEX@BOS
Thu 7:10
A. Sampson (R) $9700 $9800 $44  
SP J. Happ (L) NYY@CWS
Thu 8:10
I. Nova (R) $8700 $8800 $46  
SP M. Stroman (R) TOR@BAL
Thu 7:05
G. Ynoa (R) $7600 $7200 $36  
SP H. Bailey (R) DET@KC
Thu 8:05
M. Boyd (L) $5200 $6700 $28  
SP A. Sampson (R) TEX@BOS
Thu 7:10
D. Price (L) $7100 $8000 $31  
C T. d'Arnaud (R) LAA@TB
Thu 7:10
T. Skaggs (L) $3300 $2600 $9  
C J. McCann (R) NYY@CWS
Thu 8:10
J. Happ (L) $3900 $2900 $10  
C A. Avila (L) ARI@WSH
Thu 7:05
E. Fedde (R) $3700 $2400 $8  
1B A. Pujols (R) LAA@TB
Thu 7:10
R. Yarbrough (L) $4000 $3000 $15  
1B M. Cabrera (R) DET@KC
Thu 8:05
H. Bailey (R) $3400 $2900 $17  
1B L. Voit (R) NYY@CWS
Thu 8:10
I. Nova (R) $5100 $4200 $23  
1B J. Abreu (R) NYY@CWS
Thu 8:10
J. Happ (L) $4100 $3800 $12  
1B E. Hosmer (L) SD@COL
Thu 8:40
J. Gray (R) $4300 $3700 $18  
2B E. Sogard (L) TOR@BAL
Thu 7:05
G. Ynoa (R) $5100 $3200 $8  
2B K. Marte (B) ARI@WSH
Thu 7:05
E. Fedde (R) $4900 $3900 $17  
2B J. McNeil (L) STL@NYM
Thu 7:10
J. Flaherty (R) $4000 $3100 $10  
2B D. LeMahieu (R) NYY@CWS
Thu 8:10
I. Nova (R) $4800 $3800 $22  
3B V. Guerrero Jr. (R) TOR@BAL
Thu 7:05
G. Ynoa (R) $4200 $3000 $16  
3B Y. Díaz (R) LAA@TB
Thu 7:10
T. Skaggs (L) $4000 $3500 $13  
3B M. Machado (R) SD@COL
Thu 8:40
J. Gray (R) $4400 $4000 $14  
SS D. Gregorius (L) NYY@CWS
Thu 8:10
I. Nova (R) $4300 $3400 $18  
SS N. Goodrum (B) DET@KC
Thu 8:05
H. Bailey (R) $4300 $3300 $18  
SS T. Story (R) SD@COL
Thu 8:40
M. Strahm (L) $5700 $4700 $25  
SS W. Adames (R) LAA@TB
Thu 7:10
T. Skaggs (L) $3500 $2900 $12  
OF J. Dyson (L) ARI@WSH
Thu 7:05
E. Fedde (R) $4700 $2900 $9  
OF L. Gurriel Jr. (R) TOR@BAL
Thu 7:05
G. Ynoa (R) $4300 $2900 $19  
OF A. Santander (B) TOR@BAL
Thu 7:05
M. Stroman (R) $3800 $2800 $7  
OF M. Conforto (L) STL@NYM
Thu 7:10
J. Flaherty (R) $4500 $3700 $17  
OF T. Pham (R) LAA@TB
Thu 7:10
T. Skaggs (L) $4100 $3600 $18  
OF C. Puello (R) LAA@TB
Thu 7:10
R. Yarbrough (L) $4100 $3500 $24  
OF A. Hicks (B) NYY@CWS
Thu 8:10
I. Nova (R) $4800 $3700 $19  
OF H. Renfroe (R) SD@COL
Thu 8:40
J. Gray (R) $5200 $3800 $22  
OF I. Desmond (R) SD@COL
Thu 8:40
M. Strahm (L) $4400 $3600 $19  

James Grande