NFL Week 14 Betting Guide: Spread, moneyline, over/under picks

Dan Karpuc

NFL Week 14 Betting Guide: Spread, moneyline, over/under picks image

The Week 14 NFL betting slate features nine spreads between one and three points, a pair of 13-point spreads, and three more between eight and nine points. With so many contests expected to go down to the wire, finding an edge can be difficult.

Fortunately, BetQL can help in that area. Our subscribers can view NFL ATS picks from BetQL’s model and make the most informed, data-driven wagers possible. Let’s get into some of the Sunday slate’s top options.

WEEK 14 NON-PPR RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker

All data presented is as of Wednesday morning. You can track all NFL line movement on BetQL’s Line Movement Dashboard. Figures below calculated by wagering one unit on each touted bet with -110 spread odds.

NFL Week 14 Betting Picks: Spread pick of the week

Giants (+8.5) at Eagles 

It only took a few hours for the betting community to lose all faith in the Eagles (5-7). Philadelphia has lost three straight games SU and ATS (to the Patriots and Seahawks at home and against the Dolphins on the road last week). At just 4-8 ATS on the season, the Eagles have fallen short of their expectations, to say the least. Meanwhile, the Giants are 2-10 and also 4-8 ATS, and although they’ve lost eigh straight games SU, they could play their first game of the season with Golden Tate (concussion), Evan Engram (foot), Sterling Shepard and Saquon Barkley all healthy. If Ryan Fitzpatrick and DeVante Parker made the Eagles defense look pathetic, even Eli Manning and that core can. The 8.5-point spread is simply too large. 

Per BetQL’s Public Betting Dashboard, 60 percent of the total tickets and 63 percent of the money has been wagered on the Giants ATS.

WEEK 14 PPR RANKINGS: Running back | Wide receiver Tight end

NFL Week 14 Betting Picks: Moneyline pick of the week

Ravens (-250) at Bills 

The Ravens have won eight straight games and their Lamar Jackson-led offense looks like the most dangerous unit in the NFL. Baltimore passed its recent tough stretch with flying colors, beating the Patriots 37-20, Texans 41-7, Rams 45-6 and 49ers 20-17 (in the rain) in four of its past five contests. They recently surpassed New England as the new Super Bowl favorites and are clicking on both sides of the ball. Defensively, they’ve allowed 17, 16, 20, 13, seven, six, and 17 points, respectively, in consecutive contests. While the Bills are one of the NFL’s pleasant surprises and have a solid defense, it doesn’t seem like they can match up on either side of the ball, even at home in front of Bills Mafia.

Via BetQL’s Sharp Picks Dashboard, a shocking percentage of the money has been wagered on one team’s moneyline in this matchup. Find out what it is!

WEEK 14 DFS LINEUPS:
DK Cash | DK GPP | FD Cash | FD GPP | Y! Cash | Y! GPP

NFL Week 14 Betting Picks: Over/under pick of the week

Colts at Buccaneers OVER 46.5

The OVER has gone 9-3 in Buccaneers games this season, due mostly to everyone’s favorite reckless quarterback Jameis Winston. He didn’t throw an interception last week, which led to the score staying UNDER the total against the Jaguars. However, the OVER hit in the nine games prior, most of which had something in common: Winston turnovers. In fact, he threw 17 interceptions in that span, which allowed opposing teams to capitalize on improved field positions while setting up pass-first game scripts for the Bucs, who frequently played from behind. Now, seemingly out of the playoff mix, Winston, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin all particularly have reasons to keep producing with urgency. Winston is in a contract year while Evans and Godwin are in the hunt to lead the league in receiving yards (Godwin is second with 1,121 and Evans is third with 1,096 heading into this week, and they trail Michael Thomas’ 1,290). How many straight weeks can Winston go without inevitably returning to his usual reckless self? 

You can find all of BetQL’s NFL over/under picks on their Totals spread dashboard.

Dan Karpuc