The north London derby needs no added spice, and yet there's still an extra twinge of tension as Arsenal's run-in amidst the Premier League title race faces its most difficult challenge with a visit to Tottenham on Sunday.
Arsenal reside three points clear at the top of the Premier League table, but do not control their own destiny thanks to having played a game more than second-place Liverpool and two more than third-place Man City who sit four points adrift.
The cruel week in early April saw the Gunners crash out of the Champions League and slip in the domestic title race in back-to-back matches, but they have recovered nicely, topping Wolves last weekend before a midweek dismantling of Chelsea by a lopsided 5-0 scoreline which renewed the positive vibes around Mikel Arteta's side.
Get on a same game Multi with Unibet
With a European place of their own still to play for, Tottenham would love nothing more than to ruin the title hunt for their hated rivals and take a big step towards late-season Champions League qualification in the process. Spurs sit fifth in the table, six points back of Aston Villa for the last UCL spot, but holding two games in hand, meaning it's anybody's call who will snatch that final place.
Arsenal's exit from the Champions League in the quarterfinals, alongside Man City, actually dented Spurs' chances of making next year's competition, as England lost its grip on a fifth qualifying spot, so they will look to make the Gunners pay for forcing them to do it the hard way.
Odds via Unibet
Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Arsenal (1.70)
- Score prediction: Tottenham 1-3 Arsenal
Regardless of where either side is in the larger context of their season, this match almost always delivers. Sure, there's the chance of a big-game letdown from a neutral perspective, but this fixture usually provides the bite billed pre-match.
The hallmark of Ange Postecoglou's managerial mantra is play their way to a fault — that was evident in last weekend's 4-0 pasting by Newcastle, as Spurs were continually punished on the counter as they remained open going forward. Arsenal are capable of beating Spurs in this manner as well, but Tottenham know they need max points from this match if they are to keep hold of their own destiny in the Champions League hunt, so they will go for it, to their own demise.
| Unibet (AU) | |
| Tottenham win | 4.60 |
| Draw | 4.10 |
| Arsenal win | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score | Y: 1.50 N: 2.50 |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | O: 2.16 U: 1.70 |
| Arsenal -0.5 goals | 2.16 |
| Tottenham +0.5 goals | 1.71 |
Tottenham vs Arsenal match facts
- Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024
- Kickoff time: 2 p.m. local (11 p.m. AEST / 9 a.m. ET / 6 a.m. PT)
- Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London, England)
- Referee: Michael Oliver, VAR: Jarred Gillett
- Last meeting: Arsenal 2-2 Tottenham (Sep. 24, 2023 | Premier League)
Tottenham vs Arsenal best bet
- Pick: Arsenal over 2.5 total goals
- Odds: 2.65 (Unibet)
This is an extremely high bar to clear, even considering the 5-0 thrashing of Chelsea last time out, but if there's any opponent Arsenal can put three past it's Spurs. Tottenham have coughed up over 2.0 xG in three of their last five league games, including against Fulham and Nottingham Forest.
Arsenal don't always present the high-flying attacking onslaught they unveiled against Chelsea, but they have hit for three against Spurs twice in their last five meetings, and also won 2-0 against an Antonio Conte-led Spurs side in their last visit to this venue, a benchmark they should be able to top in a much more open affair.
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