The 2022 Tour de France kicks off Friday, July 1, as 176 cyclists will compete through 21 stages over the 23-day event to claim cycling’s most prestigious title. The futures markets provide an interesting projection of the event, as the 23-year-old Slovenian sensation and betting favorite Tadej Pogacar is aiming for his third straight Tour de France title.
Below, we’ll look at the odds and break down a couple of favorites and sleepers worth wagering on who could win the 2022 Tour de France.
2022 Tour de France Title Odds: Top 20
All odds correct and courtesy of TAB
| Cyclist | Country | Odds |
| Tadej Pogacar | Slovenia | $1.65 |
| Primoz Roglic | Slovenia | $5.50 |
| Jonas Vinegaard | Denmark | $5.00 |
| Geriant Thomas | United Kingdom | $13.00 |
| Alexander Viasov | Russia | $17.00 |
| Daniel Martinez | Colombia | $21.00 |
| Ben O'Connor | Australia | $34.00 |
| Enric Mas Nicolau | Spain | $41.00 |
| Damiano Caruso | Italy | $51.00 |
| Adam Yates | United Kingdom | $51.00 |
| Jakob Fuglsang | Denmark | $51.00 |
| Jack Haig | Australia | $51.00 |
| Wout Van Aert | Belgium | $67.00 |
| Nairo Quintana | Colombia | $67.00 |
| Romain Bardet | France | $67.00 |
| John Esteban Chaves | Colombia | $101.00 |
| Chris Froome | United Kingdom | $201.00 |
| Rigoberto Uran | Colombia | $101.00 |
| David Gaudu | France | $101.00 |
| Mathieu van der Poel | Netherlands | $301.00 |
Tour de France 2022 betting odds: Favourites
Tadej Pogacar $1.65 (implied probability 58.33 per cent)
Pogacar enters the 2022 Tour de France as the overwhelming favorite with his implied probability sitting at 58.33 per cent to win in the 176-man field. Pogacar is warranted as the odds-on favourite, as he’s likely to win a high number of stages, controlling the pace in the process.
Pogacar won by a wide margin in 2021, finishing five minutes and 20 seconds ahead of Jonas Vingegaard. There’s always risk with the Tour de France, as crashes are common and can wreak all sorts of havoc, but Pogacar is a deserved favorite. If you’re willing to bet the chalk and risk the relatively small return, Pogacar is the easy pick.
Primoz Roglic $5.50 (implied probability 20 per cent)
Roglic’s projected to be one of Pogacar’s biggest threats to his three-peat chances. He enters the 2022 field with the third-lowest odds at $5.50. The 32-year-old Slovenian won gold in the 2020 Tokoyo Olympics’ time trials, but he abandoned last year’s Tour de France before Stage 9 due to a crash on Stage 3 that left him bruised and cut. Roglic knows he’s in for a big test racing against Pogacar, but he’s capable of taking him down and offers a nice return on even a relatively modest bet.
Tour de France 2022 betting odds: Sleepers
Geriant Thomas +1600 (implied probability 5.88 percent)
Thomas won the Tour back in 2018, and at +1600, he could surprise en route to his second title in four years. Thomas’ experience navigating through the 21-stage event gives him a fighting chance to upend Pogacar’s reign and reclaim a yellow jersey, but you don’t want to bet a lot on the 36-year-old Welshman.
Chris Froome +10000 (implied probability 0.99 percent)
Froome’s a Tour de France legend, as he’s the only rider outside of Lance Armstrong (titles later stripped) to win the Tour at least three times. At 37, Froome has his work cut out for him to win his fifth ever Tour title, but the +10000 odds make the Brit an intriguing sleeper and worth a small sprinkle.
