Game 4 of the 2022 NHL Stanley Final is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday at Amalie Arena between the Avalanche and Lightning. Before placing any wagers for tonight’s game, we’ll give you all the betting insight you need to know, including the latest odds, trends, and predictions.
After getting embarrassed in Game 2 last weekend, the Lightning dominated the Avalanche 6-2 at home in Game 3 on Monday. With the victory, Tampa Bay has now won eight-straight games at home, and the Avs suffered their first playoff road loss. The Lightning asserted themselves from the first period and cashed in on Colorado’s miscues. Steven Stamkos was one of the stars for Tampa Bay, scoring his first goal of the Stanley Cup and recording two points. The Lightning will need Stamkos, Ondrej Palat, and goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy to carry their momentum into a pivotal Game 4. Vasilevskiy was outstanding in net for the Lightning, allowing two goals on 39 shots from the Avs.
Avalanche vs. Lightning: Odds, betting trends for Stanley Cup Final Game 4
- Spread: Avalanche -1.5 (+213)
- Over/under: 6
- Moneyline: Avalanche -107, Lightning -112
Betting odds per Sports Interaction
The Lightning salvaged their chance at a three-peat with a blowout win in Game 3 over the Avs and made some history on Monday night. Tampa Bay became the 25th team in NHL history to win Game 3 after facing a 2-0 series deficit in a Stanley Cup Final (best-of-seven) and the first to do it since the Predators in 2017, per ESPN Stats and Info. Furthermore, 13 of the 24 teams who won Game 3 also won Game 4 (54.2 percent of the time).
Avalanche vs. Lightning Game 4: Expert betting picks
Against the spread
Avalanche -1.5. Heading into Game 3, Colorado averaged 4.75 goals per game and was held to only two goals on Monday. The last time the Avs scored two or fewer goals in a playoff game was in the first round against Nashville (2-1 win in Game 2).
We should expect Colorado to bounce back after suffering their third loss in the postseason. The last time the Avs lost by multiple goals in the playoffs (Game 2 vs. St. Louis, 4-1), they ripped off two-straight wins by three goals per game. Take the plus-money on the Avs in what should be a fun Game 4.
Over/Under
OVER 6 goals. We learned our lesson in Game 2 and took the over in Game 3 on Monday, which was a good play.
This series has not seen a shortage of scoring by either team, with 22 total goals scored. If you remember, the series prop for total goals scored was 32.5, so we should see that total go over within the next two games. However, looking forward to Game 4, the books still have the O/U for goals at 6.
Even though the Avalanche struggled in Game 3, they are still the highest-scoring team in the postseason. Take the OVER, which is 7-1 in the last eight games between the Avs and Lightning.
Player prop
Odds courtesy of FanDuel
Nathan MacKinnon to score a goal (+164). If the Avalanche want to take a 3-1 series lead over the Lightning, they need MacKinnon to find the back of the net on Wednesday night.
Throughout the first three games of the Stanley Cup Final, Cale Makar, Gabriel Landeskog, and Valeri Nichushkin have carried the scoring load for Colorado. However, the Avs would like MacKinnon, who has scored 11 goals in this year’s playoff, to join the party. The last time he was held scoreless for three or more games was between April 24- 28 against the Jets, Blues, and Predators. Look out for MacKinnon to snap his mini three-game skid on the road against Vasilevskiy.
