NFL head coach remains a highly insecure job. Consider that since the end of the 2014 season, 13 teams have made coaching changes.
That's almost half the league. The vicious cycle will continue with several more coaches getting their walking papers because they didn't meet their team's unreasonable and lofty expectations for '16.
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But there's a big difference between just sitting on the proverbial hot seat and actually getting burned and fired.
From the hottest to ice cold, here's what the perches look like for all 32 coaches before the season's stretch run:
They're on full heat (5)
Gus Bradley, Jaguars. Jacksonville has been more patient than most teams would be with the Dave Caldwell-Bradley rebuild. There have been the right layers added offensively and defensively, at least on paper, to complete a big turnaround. Then there have been more concerns with Blake Bortles, and still nothing out of the running game. The new pieces, young and old on defense, haven't jelled yet. There are also slow, sluggish starts and futile, frustrating finishes. The Jaguars need to get hot and finish respectably or Bradley will flame out.
Rex Ryan, Bills. Ryan did solve something by firing offensive coordinator Greg Roman and going with Anthony Lynn. Surprisingly, even with some key injuries, that side of the ball hasn't really been the issue. It's more on Ryan and his brother Rob not getting as much as they should from a talented defense. Further hurting Rex's cause is that he teased that they were back on track after an awful start, only to go right back to further derailment with three straight losses. The upcoming schedule sets up the run to be done.
Jeff Fisher, Rams. He was key to help make the move to Los Angeles a smooth one, but the results on the field were just as important. The Rams haven't been a good Hollywood entertainment product while losing, with the insistence to keep starting Case Keenum over Jared Goff until Week 11 and admitting they've not done enough to put their superstar back, Todd Gurley, in position to perform better. Then you look at what they're wasting defensively, and it gets worse. The new city and new investment requires a new coach.
Mike McCoy, Chargers. McCoy's chances have improved as San Diego has finished a few more games well to look OK in the standings. But what hurts is how much they're lagging in the top-heavy AFC West behind Kansas City, Oakland and Denver. Injuries have played a part, sure, but there's a lot of hard luck in this cold business. There's still too much smoke around McCoy to believe the Bolts won't make a move.
Chip Kelly, 49ers. He's the only first-year coach on here because things have gotten unbelievably bad in San Francisco. It's hard to remember that Kelly's first game there was a dominant shutout of the Rams, with no wins since. Sure, he's done some positive things with a limited roster, but they aren't adding up to inspired results. There's a growing chance he'll be their latest fall guy.
They're getting warmer (5)
Mike McCarthy, Packers. He's got his Super Bowl, and he has a street named after him. But the lack of creativity on both sides of the ball and the continued squandering of Aaron Rodgers' prime puts him in sudden trouble. Green Bay needs to at least make the playoffs again to make him feel safe, because the demanding fans and stockholders are getting restless.
Todd Bowles, Jets. Bowles has mishandled the quarterback situation and has gotten less out of his defense. An aging roster is a factor, and that's more on general manager Mike Maccagnan. But Bowles' issues with game management suggest he might be better suited to be a focused and aggressive play-calling coordinator.
John Fox, Bears. Foxy might get a Year 2 pass because of all the injuries on defense and it still showing some promise as a revamped unit. But the offense remains a bigger mess with less-reliable performers. Chicago feels further behind Green Bay, Minnesota and Detroit with him, and that's hard to do with no top NFC North team really standing out.
Marvin Lewis, Bengals. Lewis is the second-longest tenured coach in the NFL, and he's survived consistent playoff disappointments. But given there was a feeling this would be a make or break year for Cincinnati's breakthrough, falling to 3-5-1 and well out of contention is concerning. The constant losing of key assistants and personnel is catching up to him.
Hue Jackson, Browns. Cleveland is taking a patient approach with its rebuild, but if its season remains winless and there continues to be some regression, there should be at least some thought about replacing Jackson. It's still hard to see a rash, short-term call with this front office.
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They're feeling tepid (2)
JIm Caldwell, Lions. Because it's Detroit, you never know. But they're on the brink of two playoff trips in three seasons because of what his offensive acumen and staff have done to help Matthew Stafford.
Chuck Pagano, Colts. They had a chance to move on from him early in '16 and gave him a four-year extension. He can feel pretty safe because of that and Andrew Luck, no matter how Indianapolis finishes.
They're still way cool (3)
Sean Payton, Saints. Still won a Super Bowl. Drew Brees still humming, defense improving.
Mike Tomlin, Steelers. Still won a Super Bowl. Ben Roethlisberger still humming, defense hurting.
Johh Harbaugh, Ravens. Still won a Super Bowl. Joe Flacco still not elite, defense dominating.
They're just chilling (17)
Bill Belichick, Patriots. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl.
Jason Garrett, Cowboys. Somebody who deserves more credit for Dak and Zeke.
Gary Kubiak, Broncos. Won a Super Bowl, in the running for another.
Pete Carroll, Seahawks. The oldest coach in the league will be there until he retires.
Bruce Arians, Cardinals. The Kangol court rules heavily in his favor.
Andy Reid, Chiefs. He's cooler than the Kool-Aid Man.
Bill O'Brien, Texans. Hey, he's winning despite Brock Osweiler.
Mike Zimmer, Vikings. He's just getting started.
Ron Rivera, Panthers. Yes, last season still counts for a ton.
Jay Gruden, Redskins. Turns out Jon's brother is pretty darn good, too.
Dan Quinn, Falcons. That's a mighty rebound and rebuild.
Jack Del Rio, Raiders. Silver and Black Jack has been a great bet.
Mike Mularkey, Titans. Two words: Marcus Mariota.
Adam Gase, Dolphins. What a splash.
Ben McAdoo, Giants. He's Mc-A-doing just fine with his promotion.
Doug Pederson, Eagles. A rookie with room to grow, like his QB.
Dirk Koetter, Buccaneers. Two words: Jameis Winston.