Switzerland vs. Italy prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Euro 2024 Round of 16

Brad Cox

Switzerland vs. Italy prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Euro 2024 Round of 16 image

Switzerland take on Italy in the first knockout game of the 2024 European Championship.

Italy qualified by finishing second in their group, only bettered by Spain who were the only side to win all three group games. 

Switzerland come into this one on the back of a monumental performance against the hosts of the tournament, Germany.

They led Julian Nagelsmann's side right until added time when Niclas Fullkrug headed home a late equaliser. 

The Sporting News provides some of the best picks and bets ahead of the clash in Berlin.

MORE: Euro 2024 schedule and results, updated LIVE | Who will win Euro 2024? Latest odds and predictions

Switzerland vs. Italy prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Tie (2.85) but also Italy to qualify (1.70)
  • Score prediction: Switzerland 1-1 Italy

While Switzerland looked incredibly good versus Germany, Italy are the reigning champions and even though they've looked vulnerable at times, their experience should get them through to the quarterfinals. 

History is also on their side as the last European Championship tournament that didn’t feature Italy in the quarterfinals was back in 2004, when they went out in the group stage.

Excluding shootouts, Switzerland have failed to win any of their seven Round of 16 matches at major international tournaments.

 Unibet
(AU)
Switzerland win3.40
Draw2.85
Italy win2.48
Both teams
to score
Y: 2.08
N: 1.65
Over / Under
2.5 goals
O: 2.65
U: 1.46

Switzerland vs. Italy match facts

  • Date: Saturday, June 29, 2024 (Sun, Jun 30 AEST)
  • Kickoff time: 6 p.m. local (2:00am AEST / 12 p.m. ET / 9 a.m. PT)
  • Location: Olympic Stadium (Berlin, Germany)
  • Referee: Szymon Marciniak (POL)
  • Last meeting: Italy 1-1 Switzerland (Nov.12, 2021 | FIFA World Cup qualifying)

Switzerland vs. Italy best bet

  • Pick: To go to extra time
  • Odds: 2.85 (Unibet)

Overall, the Italian national team has played more games that have gone to extra-time (21) in World Cup and European Championship history than any other nation. Additionally, only Spain (11) has participated in more penalty shootouts than Italy (10).

Italy are an incredibly tough team to beat, with their matches frequently going to extra-time. Of their last 26 knockout games in major international tournaments, 15 have gone to extra-time, including four of their last five.

Switzerland vs. Italy prop bet

  • Pick: Dan Ndoye anytime goalscorer 
  • Odds: 7.50 (Unibet)

Dan Ndoye is coming into this game fresh after putting Switzerland ahead versus Germany. His goal was a precise finish after a wonderful cross from Remo Freuler.

He consistently found space behind Germany's backline and will look to do so against Italy. 

  • Pick: Under 2.5 goals
  • Odds: 1.46 (Unibet)

Knockout games are ridiculously tense and with neither side wanting to slip up, this can see few goalscoring opportunities or chances created.

Italy's record for matches heading to extra-time says it all, as previously mentioned, and Switzerland's determination will help them defensively. 

Expect it to be cagey and tight right until the final whistle.

Switzerland vs. Italy live stream, TV channel

 TV channelStreaming
USAFS1, Univision, TUDNFubo, Fox Sports app/website, ViX, Univision Now, TUDN app/website
CanadaTSN1, TSN4, TLN, CTV, TVA SportsTVA+, CTV app, VIVA
UKBBC OneBBC iPlayer/website
Australia —Optus Sport
IndiaSony Ten 2, 3, 2HD, 3HDJioTV, Sony LIV

USA: Switzerland vs. Italy from the Olympiastadion will be televised in the United States on FS1, with a Spanish-language broadcast via TUDN, and Univision. These channels are available to stream on Fubo with the latter offering a FREE seven-day trial. ViX is also an option.

Radio coverage of the match can be followed on SiriusXM FC.

UK: Saturday’s match will be shown in the UK on BBC One and the free-to-air broadcaster's iPlayer and BBC Sport website platforms.

Canada: TSN and CTV are the main English language broadcasters for Euro 2024 while TVA provides French language options.

Australia: Australia's sole broadcaster for the European Championship is Optus Sport. 

India: Euro 2024 matches are available to watch on on JioTV and Sony LIV. Switzerland vs. Italy can also be viewed on Sony Ten Network on TV.

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Brad Cox

Brad Cox Photo

Brad is a content producer for The Sporting News and has previously worked for the likes of Squawka and The Athletic. His career highlight to date is reporting from the 2022 UEFA Champions League Final in Paris.