If you don't have consistent players on your fantasy football team, then what do you really have? As important as consistency is, most fantasy owners don't factor it into their preseason rankings or in their lists of potential sleepers and breakouts. That's especially true at running back, which once again reigns as fantasy's most important position. RBs have to be a steady source of double-digit points (preferably in the upper teens) for your fantasy team to contend for a championship.
Sure, it's great to have an RB spring for 25-30 points one week, but if they go for eight the following game, then you might be 1-1. Someone with a back who scores 17 each week probably stands a better chance of being 2-0. Missing the playoffs despite being one of your league's top scorers is beyond frustrating. You can blame "bad luck" because of injuries or other factors, but if you're not at least trying to control your own consistency destiny, then you have to put some of the blame on yourself.
DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Ultimate 2022 fantasy cheat sheet
BigGuyFantasySports.com takes consistency seriously. It features a "Clutch Report" that calculates a "Clutch Factor" (based on the number of teams in your league and the scoring format) that players must reach to earn a "Clutch Game." In a 12-team PPR league, a running back must earn over 11 fantasy points each week to earn a "Clutch Game."
2022 CONSISTENCY RATINGS:
Quarterback | Wide receiver | Tight end
The more consistent a player, the more beneficial they are to your fantasy team. With our tools, you can easily find the most consistent players. A very consistent fantasy player will have a "Clutch Rating" of more than 70 percent. The elite players will be between 80-90 percent.
2022 STANDARD RANKINGS:
QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | D/STs | Kickers | Top 200 | Superflex
Every year, BigGuyFantasySports.com looks at potentially undervalued players who were generally consistent and key parts of winning fantasy teams. Conversely, we project players who might be overvalued based on their lack of consistency (both in the past and in our projections).
Here's how we tier off and rank the RBs in 2022 based on projected consistency and overall potential.
2022 PPR RANKINGS:
QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | D/STs | Kickers | Top 200 | Superflex
Consistency Ratings 2022: Rankings, tiers for most consistent fantasy RBs
Rank | Tier | Sub-tier | Player | Team |
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2022 RANKINGS TIERS & DRAFT STRATEGY:
QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | D/STs
A ranking of RB1A means I expect these players to earn an 80 percent or higher "Clutch Rate" this season. Currently only Jonathan Taylor, Najee Harris, and Austin Ekeler are ranked at that level. The remaining running backs are all ranked as RB1B. This means I expect them to exceed 70 percent or higher. Obviously, the higher-ranked RBs like Christian McCaffrey, Derrick Henry, and Dalvin Cook are expected to earn much higher than 70 percent but probably won’t exceed 80 percent. The lower-ranked running backs certainly could exceed the 70 percent Clutch Rating, but the lower ranking means less probability.
The RB2A backs are currently David Montgomery, Ezekiel Elliott, Saquon Barkley, and Aaron Jones. All of these players have question marks (injuries, playing time. etc.), but all of them have the proven talent that gives me confidence they can reach 70 percent this season. Let’s look at a couple of these running backs and see which of them are undervalued or overvalued based on their current ADP’s.
2022 AUCTION VALUES (Standard & PPR):
QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | D/STs | Kickers | Overall
Undervalued: Damien Harris, Patriots
I realize that the Patriots are notorious for messing with fantasy running backs, but they stuck with Harris all season when he was healthy. Rhamondre Stevenson is a solid backup, but Harris is the main early-down back and had an impressive 2021 season. He ended the year ranked 14th in both total points and consistency. His ADP currently is RB27 in Round 6. This is some excellent value.
Overvalued: Joe Mixon, Bengals
Mixon had a great season last year when you look at his overall points, ranking fourth. The problem is that his consistency rating was only 63 percent, which ranked him 18th. As long as you draft him as your RB2, you’ll get fair value, but don’t reach for him to produce at first-round value. He’s never been over 65-percent consistency.
2022 FANTASY SLEEPERS:
QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | D/STs | One from each team
Trying to find consistent RBs should be an part of your fantasy draft strategy every year. Big scorers are great, but if players don’t do it virtually every week, then you still might miss the playoffs and have no shot at the championship.
If you want to see more of our Clutch Reports and Consistency Ratings ahead of your fantasy draft, check out our award- winning Fantasy Football Consistency Guide for 2022. You can also follow me on Twitter @bob_lung.
Don’t miss out on the 2022 Fantasy Football Expo during the weekend of Aug. 12-14, 2022 in Canton, Ohio! Go to The Fantasy Football Expo for tickets!