AFL Round 18 Betting Tips: Underdogs Port Adelaide provide value, Essendon to challenge Geelong

Kieran Francis

AFL Round 18 Betting Tips: Underdogs Port Adelaide provide value, Essendon to challenge Geelong image

Intriguing battles are featured throughout Round 18 with a top-four contest between Melbourne and Brisbane, while Geelong host Essendon in a Saturday night blockbuster.

Adelaide and GWS will fight to stay in touch with the eight and Carlton are favourites to end Port Adelaide's 13-game winning streak.

The Sporting News gives you the best betting tips for Round 18.

Odds courtesy of Bluebet.

Last week, we scored five of our nine predictions.

It was a bad start to the round with four of the first five bets falling short, except a dominant Jamarra Ugle-Hagan.

However, we snagged the last four bets including a juicy $2.40 on Tarryn Thomas getting 20-plus disposals.

MORE: AFL Injury List 2023

Sydney (15th) vs Western Bulldogs (7th) best bet

Tough game to pick with the fluctuating form of both teams throughout the season.

The Swans are favourites at home but they have lost to Port Adelaide, Fremantle and St Kilda at the SCG in 2023.

And they are eight spots lower on the ladder.

The game won't be a blowout so either team to win under 24.5 points is a cautious bet.

Triple Margin II Any other result (both teams to win under 24.5 points) - $1.72

Melbourne (4th) vs Brisbane (3rd) best bet

Brisbane have struggled at the MCG in recent times but Melbourne are out of form in general.

The Demons are missing the likes of Clayton Oliver and Bailey Fritsch, and are considering dropping Brodie Grundy.

The Lions have won four games in a row since their last defeat, which was incidentally at the MCG to Hawthorn.

Hoodoos are made to be broken and Brisbane are value as underdogs - with a large win unlikely.

Brisbane to win 1-39 points - $2.65

Collingwood (1st) vs Fremantle (14th) best bet

Fremantle's season was effectively ended in a 53-point walloping by Carlton at Optus Stadium last weekend.

The Dockers did beat Melbourne at the MCG in round 11 but since then have struggled for consistency.

It's difficult to see them posing a challenge to Collingwood, who just keep on getting the wins on the board.

Magpies by plenty. The wheels are off the Dockers.

Collingwood -40.5 points - $1.95

Gold Coast (13th) vs St Kilda (6th) best bet

Will there be a new coach bounce for the Suns under interim boss Steven King?

St Kilda will have quite a few changes as well, with King, Billings, Ross and Cordy all out from last week's team at a minimum.

Tough game to pick so erring on the side of a low margin appears to be a smart play.

Triple Margin II Any other result (both teams to win under 24.5 points) - $1.80

Touk Miller - Gold Coast
GettyImages

Carlton (11th) vs Port Adelaide (2nd) best

Carlton are favourites against a team that's won 13 in a row?

It's an intriguing betting prospect. The Blues are improved but they haven't faced a good team during their recent good form.

The Power at the nose is a smart bet but you can add more value by picking your own line.

Port Adelaide to win - $1.95

Geelong (8th) vs Essendon (5th) best bet

Do Essendon even know their way to Geelong?

This is only the second time in 30 years that the Bombers have played at Kardinia Park against the Cats.

Brad Scott's team are flying and could pose a challenge to a Cats team that has been beaten by GWS at home this season.

Essendon -24.5 points - $1.90

Adelaide (9th) vs GWS (10th) best bet

Who would have thought the Giants would be in finals contention when they were struggling two months ago?

It's a tough ask to beat an Adelaide side seething from a poor performance in Melbourne, however.

The Giants will have a crack but the three-goal line win to Adelaide looks the goods.

Adelaide -17.5 points - $1.90

North Melbourne (17th) vs Hawthorn (16th) best bet

Hawthorn are up-and-down like a yo-yo every week, with their quality in performance varying hugely. 

Their best is a lot better than North Melbourne's current ceiling but will they bring it?

You would expect the Hawks to get job done but not by a huge amount.

Hawthorn 1-39 points - $1.90

West Coast (18th) vs Richmond (12th) best bet

The Eagles last home outing was a much improved performance against the Saints.

But they disintegrated on the road last week against Brisbane.

Richmond will win. The question is by how much?

The 41.5 line is one the Tigers can cover against a depleted Eagles.

Richmond -41.5 points - $1.90

Kieran Francis

Kieran Francis Photo

Kieran Francis is a senior editor at The Sporting News based in Melbourne, Australia. He started at Sportal.com.au before being a part of the transition to Sporting News in 2015. Just prior to the 2018 World Cup, he was appointed chief editor of Goal.com in Australia. He has now returned to The Sporting News where his passions lay in football, AFL, poker and cricket - when he is not on holiday.